Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa SenatorsNov 11, 2017

FinalSaturday, Nov 11, 2017· Ericsson Globe

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

3

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	2	0	3		COL	7	5	6	18
OTT	0	2	2	4		OTT	16	10	14	40

: COL 41OTT 71
: COL 1.33OTT 3.07
PP goals: COL 1OTT 2
Hits: COL 19OTT 20
Blocks: COL 20OTT 15
PIM: COL 14OTT 10
: COL 41%OTT 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge Colorado Avalanche 4–3

Ottawa Senators beat Colorado Avalanche 4–3 at home. Mike Hoffman (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 0A. OTT's first power-play unit (Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene and Stone) scored 2 power-play goals on 13 attempts in 4:41 together.

Points
Mike Hoffman had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:16.Hoffman
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:59.Kerfoot
Points
Sven Andrighetto had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:59.Andrighetto
Points
Erik Johnson had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 27:44.Johnson
Points
Erik Karlsson had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:03.Karlsson
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene and Stone) scored 2 power-play goals on 13 attempts in 4:41 together.Brassard Karlsson Hoffman Duchene Stone
Goalie
Jonathan Bernier (COL) faced 40 shots and stopped 36 (.900), +10 against a season average of 29.5; the loss.Bernier
Usage
Erik Karlsson (OTT) played 22:03, −4:45 down on his 26:48 season average over 70 games.Karlsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · OTT 71 · COL 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 13% of the game, OTT 53%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	OTT
	32	53
	0.46	1.88
	0.46	1.86
	1	6
	1	6
	16	20
	−0.043	+0.043
	13%	53%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
12:2046% CF
L2Yakupov – Kerfoot – Andrighetto
10:1645% CF
L3Comeau – Nieto – Compher
8:1423% CF
L4Wilson – Bourque – Grimaldi
6:3125% CF
D1Barrie – Girard
17:1936% CF
D2Johnson – Barberio
11:3437% CF
D3Bigras – Mironov
6:2036% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Girard
3:14100% CF
PP2Johnson – Wilson – Yakupov – Kerfoot – Andrighetto
1:49100% CF
PK1FComeau – Nieto
2:41
PK2FLandeskog – Compher
1:27
PK1DJohnson – Bigras
3:47
PK2DBarberio – Mironov
0:00

Current COL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Pyatt – DiDomenico – Pageau
6:5565% CF
L2Brassard – Stone – Dzingel
6:3440% CF
L3Burrows – Hoffman – Duchene
4:0067% CF
D1Ceci – Harpur
13:2548% CF
D2Karlsson – Claesson
12:4170% CF
D3Oduya – Phaneuf
10:3965% CF

PP1Brassard – Karlsson – Hoffman – Duchene – Stone
4:41100% CF
PP2Burrows – Phaneuf – Hoffman – Duchene – Wideman
1:47100% CF
PK1FThompson – Pyatt
2:26
PK2FStone – Pageau
1:53
PK1DOduya – Ceci
3:26
PK2DPhaneuf – Claesson
1:22

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

13:13
COLBlake ComeauSH (Mark Barberio, Erik Johnson)wrist0.28 xG
COL: Comeau, Johnson, Barberio, NietoOTT: Burrows, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Wideman
COL 1 – 0 OTT

2nd period

0:12
OTTMike HoffmanPP (Derick Brassard, Erik Karlsson)wrist0.02 xG
COL: Comeau, Johnson, Barberio, NietoOTT: Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone
COL 1 – 1 OTT
8:34
COLAlexander KerfootPP (Erik Johnson, Sven Andrighetto)wrist0.06 xG
COL: Johnson, Wilson, Yakupov, Kerfoot, AndrighettoOTT: Phaneuf, Thompson, Claesson, Paul
COL 2 – 1 OTT
9:16
OTTMark Stone (Erik Karlsson)backhand0.04 xG
COL: Comeau, Johnson, Barberio, Nieto, CompherOTT: Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone, Claesson
COL 2 – 2 OTT
10:36
COLSven Andrighetto (Alexander Kerfoot, Andrei Mironov)wrist0.02 xG
COL: Johnson, Barberio, Yakupov, Kerfoot, AndrighettoOTT: Oduya, Phaneuf, DiDomenico, Duchene, Dzingel
COL 3 – 2 OTT

3rd period

7:01
OTTJohnny Oduya (Nate Thompson, Jean-Gabriel Pageau)slap0.02 xG
COL: Johnson, Wilson, Barrie, Yakupov, AndrighettoOTT: Oduya, Thompson, Pyatt, Pageau, Ceci
COL 3 – 3 OTT
13:23
OTTMike HoffmanPPwrist0.11 xG
COL: Comeau, Johnson, Nieto, BigrasOTT: Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone
COL 3 – 4 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	4	0	2	20:59	—	—	45	41
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	0	0	20:00	—	—	45	47
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	3	0	19:02	—	—	45	42
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.06	1	1	2	14:59	—	—	46	13
Sven Andrighetto R	L2	1	1	2	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	13:59	—	—	53	36
Nail Yakupov R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	0	12:38	—	—	50	32
Blake Comeau L	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.41	1	2	0	15:32	—	—	19	0
Matt Nieto L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	13:56	—	—	20	0
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	11:45	—	—	23	0
Colin Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:12	—	—	42	32
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:58	—	—	18	17
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:09	—	—	30	26
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.17	1	3	0	25:04	—	—	33	32
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	1	0	22:39	—	—	36	34
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	2	2	0	3	0.11	2	1	0	27:44	—	—	39	14
Mark Barberio D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	6	16:32	—	—	37	11
Chris Bigras D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	3	2	16:07	—	—	38	23
Andrei Mironov D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	2	2	10:43	—	—	43	24

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	L	40	36	4	.900	3.07	58:31

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Christopher DiDomenico L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	2	2	0	15:04	—	—	65	70
Tom Pyatt L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	1	2	14:52	—	—	58	67
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.12	0	1	2	14:44	—	—	59	75
Mark Stone R	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.14	1	2	0	22:43	—	—	50	86
Derick Brassard C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.62	1	0	2	21:30	—	—	52	88
Ryan Dzingel C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.52	0	2	0	17:21	—	—	59	89
Mike Hoffman C	L3	2	0	2	0	2	0.18	0	0	0	18:16	—	—	62	63
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	0	0	-2	8	0.35	0	0	0	16:19	—	—	67	61
Alexandre Burrows R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	2	14:17	—	—	73	53
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.18	1	3	0	20:29	—	—	46	51
Ben Harpur D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	1	0	14:12	—	—	48	50
Erik Karlsson D	D2	0	2	2	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	22:03	—	—	71	96
Fredrik Claesson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	4	1	0	15:16	—	—	70	96
Dion Phaneuf D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	2	1	2	19:54	—	—	74	82
Johnny Oduya D	D3	1	0	1	0	2	0.06	0	1	0	16:37	—	—	60	75
Nate Thompson C	—	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:36	—	—	67	89
Chris Wideman D	—	0	0	0	-1	3	0.24	1	0	0	9:59	—	—	90	91
Nick Paul L	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	6:09	—	—	100	100

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Condon(start)	—	10	7	3	.700	0.96	30:29
Craig Anderson	W	8	8	0	.1000	0.37	29:24

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.