Colorado Avalanche vs. Minnesota WildFeb 15, 2023

FinalWednesday, Feb 15, 2023· Xcel Energy Center

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

3

@

home

Minnesota WildMIN

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	2	0	3		COL	6	4	9	19
MIN	0	1	1	2		MIN	17	13	13	43

: COL 43MIN 85
: COL 2.47MIN 3.52
PP goals: COL 0MIN 1
Hits: COL 22MIN 19
Blocks: COL 22MIN 18
PIM: COL 9MIN 7
: COL 42%MIN 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Minnesota Wild 3–2

Colorado Avalanche beat Minnesota Wild 3–2 at MIN. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Alexandar Georgiev (COL) faced 43 shots and stopped 41 (.953), +12 against a season average of 30.7; the win.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 22:09.MacKinnon
Points
Devon Toews had 2 assists (2 points) in 27:25.Toews
Points
Mats Zuccarello had 2 assists (2 points) in 21:37.Zuccarello
Goalie
Alexandar Georgiev (COL) faced 43 shots and stopped 41 (.953), +12 against a season average of 30.7; the win.Georgiev
New line
New look for MIN: Gaudreau–Greenway–Steel skated 8:07 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gaudreau Greenway Steel
Usage
Denis Malgin (COL) played 5:37, −5:23 down on his 11:00 season average over 64 games.Malgin
Usage
Matt Nieto (COL) played 6:20, −7:17 down on his 13:37 season average over 80 games.Nieto
Luck
MIN scored 2 goals on 3.52 expected goals (85 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 128 of 128 attempts · MIN 85 · COL 43

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 14% of the game, MIN 51%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	MIN
	47	86
	2.04	3.12
	1.71	2.76
	10	10
	4	4
	7	8
	−0.053	+0.053
	14%	51%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Compher – Rantanen – Rodrigues
14:3719% CF
L2Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Nichushkin
10:4954% CF
L3Cogliano – O'Connor – Newhook
10:3724% CF
D1Toews – Girard
14:2726% CF
D2Manson – Byram
10:2420% CF
D3Hunt – Englund
5:1467% CF

PP1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Rantanen – Byram
1:07100% CF
PP2Compher – Toews – Rodrigues – Girard – Newhook
0:310% CF
PK1FLehkonen – O'Connor
1:20
PK2FNichushkin – Rodrigues
1:03
PK1DToews – Girard
1:49
PK2DManson – Byram
1:24

Current COL line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov
9:1890% CF
L2Gaudreau – Greenway – Steel
8:0775% CF
L3Eriksson Ek – Duhaime – Boldy
5:2667% CF
L4Reaves – Shaw – Dewar
4:5978% CF
D1Brodin – Dumba
15:3266% CF
D2Spurgeon – Middleton
13:1472% CF
D3Goligoski – Merrill
9:0070% CF

PP1Goligoski – Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy
2:2467% CF
PP2Spurgeon – Brodin – Hartman – Gaudreau – Steel
0:47100% CF
PK1FGaudreau – Eriksson Ek
1:04
PK2FHartman – Duhaime
0:25
PK1DSpurgeon – Brodin
1:04
PK2DDumba – Middleton
0:39

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:14
COLAndrew Cogliano (Devon Toews, Samuel Girard)wrist0.01 xG
COL: Cogliano, Hunt, Toews, O'Connor, NewhookMIN: Goligoski, Merrill, Gaudreau, Greenway, Steel
COL 1 – 0 MIN

2nd period

2:20
COLDenis Malgin (Nathan MacKinnon, Josh Manson)snap0.03 xG
COL: Manson, Nieto, MacKinnon, Malgin, ByramMIN: Merrill, Dumba, Gaudreau, Greenway, Steel
COL 2 – 0 MIN
7:09
MINJoel Eriksson EkPP (Mats Zuccarello, Matt Boldy)tip-in0.14 xG
COL: Manson, Lehkonen, O'Connor, ByramMIN: Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Boldy
COL 2 – 1 MIN
16:29
COLNathan MacKinnon (Artturi Lehkonen, Devon Toews)snap0.12 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, ByramMIN: Spurgeon, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Duhaime, Boldy
COL 3 – 1 MIN

3rd period

14:07
MINKirill Kaprizov (Mats Zuccarello, Jonas Brodin)backhand0.08 xG
COL: Compher, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, GirardMIN: Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Kaprizov, Boldy
COL 3 – 2 MIN

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.66	1	2	2	21:44	—	—	25	20
Evan Rodrigues C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	21:22	—	—	17	15
J.T. Compher L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	3	2	21:08	—	—	26	21
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	1	1	2	+2	6	0.74	0	0	0	22:09	—	—	51	57
Valeri Nichushkin R	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.28	2	2	0	17:31	—	—	55	84
Artturi Lehkonen L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.27	0	2	0	17:18	—	—	50	72
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:32	—	—	21	15
Alex Newhook C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.14	2	2	0	14:14	—	—	19	22
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.06	0	1	0	12:58	—	—	21	23
Devon Toews D	D1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	27:25	—	—	33	51
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	23:49	—	—	35	60
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	2	5	20:47	—	—	29	19
Josh Manson D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	4	5	0	20:35	—	—	24	17
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:56	—	—	52	50
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	0	0	9:52	—	—	53	40
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:24	—	—	43	44
Matt Nieto L	—	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	0	0	6:20	—	—	60	52
Denis Malgin C	—	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	1	1	0	5:37	—	—	56	51

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	W	43	41	2	.953	3.52	60:00

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.28	0	0	0	24:37	—	—	72	76
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.07	3	1	0	21:37	—	—	74	79
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	1	0	16:40	—	—	77	67
Frederick Gaudreau C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.30	0	1	0	15:48	—	—	61	74
Sam Steel C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.11	1	0	0	12:37	—	—	63	49
Jordan Greenway L	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.27	1	1	0	11:29	—	—	62	48
Matt Boldy L	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.26	1	0	5	19:19	—	—	64	67
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L3	1	0	1	-1	6	1.02	0	3	0	17:42	—	—	61	67
Brandon Duhaime L	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	3	0	0	10:34	—	—	63	50
Mason Shaw C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	1	0	2	12:50	—	—	57	61
Connor Dewar C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	3	0	0	12:06	—	—	57	60
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:11	—	—	50	24
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.16	1	4	0	25:05	—	—	71	80
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	3	0	23:00	—	—	49	25
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	0	5	0.34	2	0	0	23:41	—	—	78	76
Jake Middleton D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.13	1	2	0	19:27	—	—	62	39
Alex Goligoski D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:58	—	—	72	93
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	1	2	0	11:29	—	—	56	74

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marc-Andre Fleury(start)	L	19	16	3	.842	1.85	57:50

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.