Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 9, 2017

Final / OTMonday, Oct 9, 2017· Air Canada Centre

away

Chicago BlackhawksCHI

3

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CHI	2	0	1	0	3		CHI	9	6	6	0	21
TOR	0	1	2	1	4		TOR	7	19	14	3	43

: CHI 44TOR 75
: CHI 2.00TOR 6.56
PP goals: CHI 1TOR 1
Hits: CHI 15TOR 25
Blocks: CHI 15TOR 12
PIM: CHI 12TOR 14
: CHI 39%TOR 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Chicago Blackhawks 4–3 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Chicago Blackhawks 4–3 in overtime at home. Richard Panik (CHI) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Anton Forsberg (CHI) faced 43 shots and stopped 39 (.907), +16 against a season average of 27.1; the overtime loss.

Points
Connor Brown had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:49.Brown
Points
Jan Rutta had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:27.Rutta
Points
Nikita Zaitsev had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:33.Zaitsev
Points
Richard Panik had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:01.Panik
Goalie
Anton Forsberg (CHI) faced 43 shots and stopped 39 (.907), +16 against a season average of 27.1; the overtime loss.Forsberg
New line
New look for CHI: Anisimov–Kane–Hartman skated 8:28 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (15.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Anisimov Kane Hartman
Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 6.56 expected goals (75 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Brandon Saad (CHI) played 22:16, +4:49 up on his 17:27 season average over 81 games.Saad

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CHI attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CHI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · TOR 75 · CHI 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CHI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CHI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CHI 23% of the game, TOR 58%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CHI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CHI	TOR
	32	60
	1.41	4.46
	1.35	4.23
	4	14
	6	7
	26	11
	−0.098	+0.098
	23%	58%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Chicago Blackhawks

L1Toews – Panik – Saad
11:0460% CF
L2Anisimov – Kane – Hartman
8:2815% CF
L3Bouma – Wingels – Hayden
6:4343% CF
L4Sharp – Kero – DeBrincat
6:1133% CF
D1Murphy – Kempny
11:4733% CF
D2Keith – Seabrook
11:2737% CF
D3Forsling – Rutta
9:0963% CF

PP1Sharp – Keith – Toews – Kane – Saad
6:14100% CF
PP2Seabrook – Anisimov – Panik – Hartman – DeBrincat
3:20100% CF
PK1FAnisimov – Kero
3:14
PK2FToews – Saad
2:06
PK1DKeith – Seabrook
2:32
PK2DMurphy – Forsling
1:32

Current CHI line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Marner
9:4176% CF
L2Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
9:0186% CF
L3Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
8:3638% CF
L4Fehr – Martin – Brown
5:0043% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
11:4675% CF
D2Rosen – Borgman
10:5980% CF
D3Gardiner – Zaitsev
10:0348% CF

PP1Marleau – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander – Matthews
4:2050% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:1367% CF
PK1FFehr – Brown
3:31
PK2FKomarov – Hyman
3:29
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
5:21
PK2DRielly – Borgman
1:37

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:46
CHIJan Rutta (John Hayden, Tommy Wingels)wrap-around0.01 xG
CHI: Toews, Bouma, Hayden, Forsling, RuttaTOR: Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner
CHI 1 – 0 TOR
7:57
CHIJonathan Toews (Richard Panik, Brandon Saad)wrist0.04 xG
CHI: Toews, Panik, Saad, Murphy, KempnyTOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander
CHI 2 – 0 TOR

2nd period

10:20
TORNikita Zaitsev (Connor Brown, Calle Rosen)snap0.11 xG
CHI: Sharp, Kane, Murphy, Hartman, ForslingTOR: Fehr, Martin, Brown, Zaitsev, Rosen
CHI 2 – 1 TOR

3rd period

7:52
CHIRichard PanikPP (Gustav Forsling, Jan Rutta)wrist0.02 xG
CHI: Panik, Saad, Forsling, DeBrincat, RuttaTOR: Hainsey, Fehr, Rielly, Brown
CHI 3 – 1 TOR
13:00
TORConnor Brown (Nikita Zaitsev, Ron Hainsey)snap0.13 xG
CHI: Keith, Kane, Panik, Kero, RuttaTOR: Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Brown, Zaitsev
CHI 3 – 2 TOR
15:42
TORJames van RiemsdykPP (Tyler Bozak, Morgan Rielly)tip-in0.11 xG
CHI: Keith, Seabrook, Wingels, HaydenTOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
CHI 3 – 3 TOR

OT period

3:43
TORAuston Matthewswrist0.07 xG
CHI: Toews, Kane, ForslingTOR: Gardiner, Nylander, Matthews
CHI 3 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Chicago Blackhawks

CHI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jonathan Toews C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.10	1	0	0	22:52	—	—	57	40
Brandon Saad L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.22	0	1	0	22:16	—	—	57	46
Richard Panik R	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.25	2	2	2	16:01	—	—	58	55
Patrick Kane R	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.11	0	0	0	22:25	—	—	15	9
Artem Anisimov C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	17:39	—	—	18	11
Ryan Hartman R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	0	0	4	15:33	—	—	19	16
Tommy Wingels C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:22	—	—	33	38
John Hayden C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	9:47	—	—	44	40
Lance Bouma L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.14	2	1	0	7:34	—	—	44	34
Patrick Sharp L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	1	0	13:27	—	—	31	11
Tanner Kero C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	12:41	—	—	33	24
Alex DeBrincat R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	1	0	0	10:59	—	—	39	37
Connor Murphy D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	2	0	16:21	—	—	30	50
Michal Kempny D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	2	1	0	14:47	—	—	29	50
Duncan Keith D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	0	2	2	28:11	—	—	30	12
Brent Seabrook D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	0	2	25:04	—	—	32	15
Jan Rutta D	D3	1	1	2	0	1	0.01	0	1	2	17:27	—	—	44	23
Gustav Forsling D	D3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.03	0	2	0	16:23	—	—	50	35

CHI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	O	43	39	4	.907	6.56	63:43

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.58	2	1	0	15:44	—	—	73	49
Tyler Bozak C	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.30	2	0	0	14:57	—	—	70	49
James van Riemsdyk L	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.89	1	0	0	14:53	—	—	73	63
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	0	1	+1	6	0.91	0	1	0	18:51	—	—	87	95
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	1.45	0	0	0	18:28	—	—	77	85
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	1	1	2	14:20	—	—	86	95
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.30	1	0	0	21:34	—	—	48	56
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	3	0	0	15:53	—	—	46	59
Leo Komarov R	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	4	2	0	15:27	—	—	41	65
Connor Brown R	L4	1	1	2	+2	2	0.30	1	2	0	17:49	—	—	62	84
Eric Fehr C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	0	0	2	9:31	—	—	38	48
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	1	0	0	5:00	—	—	43	68
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	-2	4	0.59	1	1	0	23:41	—	—	66	75
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.02	3	2	2	21:57	—	—	74	78
Andreas Borgman D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	2	0	2	14:08	—	—	80	83
Calle Rosen D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.07	1	0	2	13:31	—	—	77	85
Jake Gardiner D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	1	4	22:09	—	—	44	70
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	1	1	2	+2	1	0.11	2	1	0	20:33	—	—	50	73

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	21	18	3	.857	2.00	63:08

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.