St. Louis Blues vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 20, 2018

FinalSaturday, Oct 20, 2018· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
STL	0	3	1	4		STL	6	7	12	25
TOR	0	0	1	1		TOR	4	4	15	23

: STL 53TOR 64
: STL 2.85TOR 3.22
PP goals: STL 0TOR 0
Hits: STL 33TOR 22
Blocks: STL 23TOR 14
PIM: STL 8TOR 8
: STL 53%TOR 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

St. Louis Blues beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–1

St. Louis Blues beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–1 at TOR. Ryan O'Reilly (STL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for STL: Perron–O'Reilly–Sanford skated 8:43 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Ryan O'Reilly had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:20.O'Reilly
Points
David Perron had 2 assists (2 points) in 15:05.Perron
New line
New look for STL: Perron–O'Reilly–Sanford skated 8:43 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Perron O'Reilly Sanford
Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 3.22 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for STL: Barbashev–Blais–Kyrou skated 4:59 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (20% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Barbashev Blais Kyrou
Usage
Andreas Johnsson (TOR) played 9:25, −4:19 down on his 13:44 season average over 72 games.Johnsson
Usage
Colton Parayko (STL) played 18:57, −3:53 down on his 22:50 season average over 79 games.Parayko
Usage
Connor Brown (TOR) played 17:23, +3:38 up on his 13:45 season average over 81 games.Brown

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← STL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
STL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · TOR 64 · STL 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
STL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
STL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: STL 31% of the game, TOR 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

STL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	STL	TOR
	46	49
	1.69	1.80
	1.62	1.77
	10	8
	2	4
	29	16
	+0.045	−0.045
	31%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

St. Louis Blues

L1Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz
10:5260% CF
L2Perron – O'Reilly – Sanford
8:4333% CF
L3Steen – Maroon – Bozak
8:2360% CF
L4Barbashev – Blais – Kyrou
4:5920% CF
D1Schmaltz – Parayko
12:5954% CF
D2Pietrangelo – Dunn
12:0460% CF
D3Bortuzzo – Edmundson
11:5023% CF

PP1Steen – Perron – Pietrangelo – Schenn – Schwartz
3:2933% CF
PP2Maroon – Bozak – O'Reilly – Tarasenko – Dunn
2:52100% CF
PK1FSteen – O'Reilly
1:58
PK2FBozak – Barbashev
0:51
PK1DPietrangelo – Edmundson
2:21
PK2DBortuzzo – Parayko
1:56

Current STL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Kadri – Brown – Lindholm
9:4843% CF
L2Tavares – Hyman – Marner
9:0041% CF
L3Marleau – Kapanen – Matthews
8:2975% CF
L4Leivo – Johnsson – Gauthier
6:0869% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
12:0150% CF
D2Dermott – Ozhiganov
11:1750% CF
D3Gardiner – Zaitsev
10:2153% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
3:34100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Leivo – Brown – Johnsson
2:11100% CF
PK1FHyman – Lindholm
1:24
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
0:56
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
3:36
PK2DRielly – Dermott
1:48

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:45
STLRobert Bortuzzo (David Perron)tip-in0.08 xG
STL: Maroon, Perron, Bortuzzo, Schenn, EdmundsonTOR: Tavares, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Ozhiganov
STL 1 – 0 TOR
13:05
STLZachary Sanford (David Perron, Alex Pietrangelo)snap0.07 xG
STL: Perron, Pietrangelo, O'Reilly, Sanford, DunnTOR: Marleau, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews, Ozhiganov
STL 2 – 0 TOR
16:37
STLRyan O'Reilly (Vladimir Tarasenko, Patrick Maroon)snap0.13 xG
STL: Maroon, O'Reilly, Tarasenko, Edmundson, DunnTOR: Kadri, Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Dermott
STL 3 – 0 TOR

3rd period

4:22
TORMorgan Rielly (Mitch Marner, Jake Gardiner)snap0.12 xG
STL: Steen, Maroon, Pietrangelo, Bozak, DunnTOR: Gardiner, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner
STL 3 – 1 TOR
18:17
STLIvan BarbashevEN (Ryan O'Reilly)snap0.46 xG
STL: Pietrangelo, O'Reilly, Edmundson, BarbashevTOR: Gardiner, Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
STL 4 – 1 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Schenn C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.30	6	1	4	19:45	—	—	64	81
Jaden Schwartz L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	1	1	2	19:35	—	—	62	76
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.32	1	0	0	17:52	—	—	61	83
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	1	1	2	+3	2	0.31	1	2	0	21:20	—	—	35	48
David Perron L	L2	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:05	—	—	44	62
Zachary Sanford L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.07	3	0	0	11:53	—	—	18	22
Alexander Steen L	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	4	3	2	18:39	—	—	48	31
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.37	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	50	33
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	2	2	0	13:46	—	—	59	52
Ivan Barbashev L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.48	0	0	0	10:11	—	—	36	14
Sammy Blais L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	7:42	—	—	25	18
Jordan Kyrou R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:01	—	—	15	4
Colton Parayko D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	0	3	0	18:57	—	—	48	35
Jordan Schmaltz D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	14:56	—	—	48	35
Alex Pietrangelo D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	1	2	0	24:45	—	—	63	62
Vince Dunn D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.21	2	4	0	17:44	—	—	53	57
Joel Edmundson D	D3	0	0	0	+3	0	0.00	5	2	0	19:41	—	—	26	56
Robert Bortuzzo D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	3	3	0	17:46	—	—	37	44

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Allen(start)	W	23	22	1	.957	3.22	59:22

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nazem Kadri C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.50	0	0	2	17:33	—	—	46	30
Connor Brown R	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	1	1	0	17:23	—	—	50	34
Par Lindholm C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	2	2	14:27	—	—	42	34
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.19	0	1	0	19:55	—	—	35	40
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	0	0	16:58	—	—	38	39
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:32	—	—	32	33
Auston Matthews C	L3	0	0	0	-2	6	0.79	1	1	0	17:30	—	—	72	78
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.24	2	0	0	15:34	—	—	67	72
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	2	0	0	13:55	—	—	65	58
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	0	0	0	5	0.47	1	0	0	11:05	—	—	77	90
Andreas Johnsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	2	9:25	—	—	67	87
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	2	1	0	8:17	—	—	63	85
Morgan Rielly D	D1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.12	1	2	0	24:37	—	—	57	64
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	2	19:05	—	—	37	51
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.07	0	4	0	17:17	—	—	52	44
Igor Ozhiganov D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.06	2	1	0	14:00	—	—	54	51
Jake Gardiner D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	3	0	0	22:06	—	—	65	60
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	1	0	17:52	—	—	43	36

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	24	21	3	.875	2.39	58:29

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.