St. Louis Blues vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 7, 2019

FinalMonday, Oct 7, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
STL	0	2	1	3		STL	7	15	8	30
TOR	0	2	0	2		TOR	15	11	8	34

: STL 51TOR 77
: STL 2.89TOR 4.09
PP goals: STL 0TOR 0
Hits: STL 26TOR 15
Blocks: STL 18TOR 9
PIM: STL 6TOR 8
: STL 50%TOR 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

St. Louis Blues edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2

St. Louis Blues beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 at TOR. Alex Pietrangelo (STL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Nic Petan (TOR) played 5:41, −5:48 down on his 11:29 season average over 15 games.

Usage
Nic Petan (TOR) played 5:41, −5:48 down on his 11:29 season average over 15 games.Petan
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 4.09 expected goals (77 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Robby Fabbri (STL) played 10:14, −6:01 down on his 16:15 season average over 60 games.Fabbri
Usage
Justin Holl (TOR) played 12:51, −5:45 down on his 18:36 season average over 67 games.Holl
Usage
Zachary Sanford (STL) played 8:25, −5:25 down on his 13:50 season average over 57 games.Sanford
Usage
Carl Gunnarsson (STL) played 12:39, −3:12 down on his 15:51 season average over 35 games.Gunnarsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← STL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
STL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 128 of 128 attempts · TOR 77 · STL 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
STL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
STL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: STL 24% of the game, TOR 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

STL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	STL	TOR
	44	74
	2.44	4.06
	2.19	3.82
	5	19
	1	1
	16	25
	+0.006	−0.006
	24%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

St. Louis Blues

L1Perron – O'Reilly – Blais
9:5233% CF
L2Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz
9:4350% CF
L3Steen – Sundqvist – Barbashev
8:1138% CF
L4Bozak – Sanford – Fabbri
5:4344% CF
D1Bouwmeester – Parayko
13:0218% CF
D2Gunnarsson – Pietrangelo
9:0026% CF
D3Faulk – Dunn
8:2067% CF

PP1Perron – Pietrangelo – Bozak – O'Reilly – Faulk
2:54100% CF
PP2Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz – Fabbri – Dunn
2:49100% CF
PK1FSteen – Sundqvist
1:41
PK2FBozak – Barbashev
0:30
PK1DGunnarsson – Pietrangelo
1:30
PK2DBouwmeester – Faulk
0:54

Current STL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Kapanen – Marner
12:1563% CF
L2Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
10:1571% CF
L3Kerfoot – Moore – Mikheyev
7:1847% CF
L4Spezza – Petan – Gauthier
4:2571% CF
D1Muzzin – Barrie
12:5474% CF
D2Rielly – Ceci
12:2460% CF
D3Holl – Sandin
10:0565% CF

PP1Spezza – Barrie – Kerfoot – Nylander – Kapanen
2:2175% CF
PP2Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
1:3967% CF
PK1FKapanen – Mikheyev
1:40
PK2FMarner – Moore
1:16
PK1DMuzzin – Ceci
1:46
PK2DHoll – Sandin
0:51

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

8:30
STLOskar Sundqvist (Ivan Barbashev, Jordan Binnington)slap0.03 xG
STL: Bouwmeester, Steen, Parayko, Sundqvist, BarbashevTOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Barrie, Petan, Gauthier
STL 1 – 0 TOR
11:34
TORFrederik Gauthier (Jason Spezza, Nic Petan)wrist0.05 xG
STL: Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Schenn, Sanford, FabbriTOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Barrie, Petan, Gauthier
STL 1 – 1 TOR
11:58
TORWilliam Nylander (Cody Ceci, Andreas Johnsson)wrist0.28 xG
STL: Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Schenn, Tarasenko, SchwartzTOR: Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews
STL 1 – 2 TOR
19:12
STLBrayden Schenn (Jaden Schwartz, Vladimir Tarasenko)slap0.17 xG
STL: Schenn, Faulk, Tarasenko, Schwartz, DunnTOR: Barrie, Rielly, Gauthier, Moore, Mikheyev
STL 2 – 2 TOR

3rd period

7:51
STLAlex Pietrangelo (David Perron, Sammy Blais)wrist0.03 xG
STL: Perron, Pietrangelo, O'Reilly, Faulk, BlaisTOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Kapanen, Marner
STL 3 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	1	0	20:20	—	—	33	37
David Perron L	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.24	2	0	2	17:58	—	—	38	42
Sammy Blais L	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.18	3	1	0	11:02	—	—	33	34
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.29	3	1	0	18:06	—	—	45	30
Brayden Schenn C	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.44	1	1	0	17:12	—	—	43	22
Jaden Schwartz L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.28	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	47	31
Oskar Sundqvist C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	2	2	0	15:40	—	—	31	64
Alexander Steen L	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.42	0	2	0	14:06	—	—	27	58
Ivan Barbashev L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.29	3	0	0	12:37	—	—	35	72
Tyler Bozak C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	13:48	—	—	50	73
Robby Fabbri C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	0	0	10:14	—	—	36	14
Zachary Sanford L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	5	1	0	8:25	—	—	31	8
Colton Parayko D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	4	0	22:16	—	—	29	25
Jay Bouwmeester D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.14	4	1	0	21:07	—	—	16	30
Alex Pietrangelo D	D2	1	0	1	-1	5	0.18	0	2	0	24:33	—	—	42	22
Carl Gunnarsson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	1	4	12:39	—	—	21	10
Justin Faulk D	D3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.06	1	0	0	21:17	—	—	54	55
Vince Dunn D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	0	1	0	16:23	—	—	65	80

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jordan Binnington(start)	W	34	32	2	.941	4.09	59:38

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.39	1	0	0	23:09	—	—	67	60
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.17	1	0	0	20:29	—	—	69	66
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.45	2	0	0	18:32	—	—	67	70
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.44	0	0	0	19:20	—	—	67	78
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.28	1	0	0	18:33	—	—	67	79
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.84	0	0	0	16:14	—	—	74	92
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.23	1	0	0	14:42	—	—	44	21
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	1	0	0	13:08	—	—	57	37
Trevor Moore L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:34	—	—	42	17
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	1	1	0	3	0.64	0	0	0	8:41	—	—	73	95
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	1	0	1	-1	3	0.20	1	1	0	6:36	—	—	59	71
Nic Petan C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	5:41	—	—	73	93
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	0	2	0	23:07	—	—	68	75
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	3	2	2	20:01	—	—	72	84
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	25:05	—	—	55	62
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	1	2	0	20:13	—	—	61	66
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	2	15:20	—	—	50	22
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	1	2	12:51	—	—	65	18

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	30	27	3	.900	2.66	57:44

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.