St. Louis Blues vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 3, 2018

FinalSaturday, Feb 3, 2018· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
STL	0	0	1	1		STL	9	12	12	33
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	5	10	12	27

: STL 54BUF 52
: STL 1.86BUF 2.44
PP goals: STL 0BUF 0
Hits: STL 17BUF 16
Blocks: STL 16BUF 12
PIM: STL 8BUF 2
: STL 46%BUF 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

St. Louis Blues edge Buffalo Sabres 1–0

St. Louis Blues beat Buffalo Sabres 1–0 at BUF. Carl Gunnarsson (STL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for STL: Steen–Stastny–Sobotka skated 11:52 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for STL: Steen–Stastny–Sobotka skated 11:52 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Steen Stastny Sobotka
Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 2.44 expected goals (52 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Girgensons–Rodrigues skated 9:51 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (46.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Girgensons Rodrigues
New line
New look for BUF: Pouliot–Josefson–Nolan skated 6:44 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pouliot Josefson Nolan
New line
New look for STL: Berglund–Barbashev–Thompson skated 4:24 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Berglund Barbashev Thompson
Usage
Kyle Okposo (BUF) played 21:16, +4:18 up on his 16:58 season average over 75 games.Okposo
Usage
Tage Thompson (STL) played 7:54, −4:08 down on his 12:02 season average over 40 games.Thompson
Usage
Benoit Pouliot (BUF) played 10:03, −3:41 down on his 13:44 season average over 73 games.Pouliot

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← STL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
STL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · BUF 52 · STL 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
STL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
STL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: STL 28% of the game, BUF 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

STL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	STL	BUF
	61	37
	2.09	1.11
	2.03	1.10
	8	4
	2	0
	16	11
	−0.071	+0.071
	28%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

St. Louis Blues

L1Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz
13:5063% CF
L2Steen – Stastny – Sobotka
11:5257% CF
L3Berglund – Barbashev – Thompson
4:2475% CF
L4Thorburn – Brodziak – Jaskin
2:2175% CF
D1Gunnarsson – Pietrangelo
16:4068% CF
D2Bouwmeester – Parayko
12:5571% CF
D3Edmundson – Dunn
10:4959% CF

PP1Steen – Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz – Dunn
1:3550% CF
PP2Stastny – Berglund – Pietrangelo – Parayko – Thompson
0:25100% CF
PK1FSteen – Brodziak
2:51
PK2FStastny – Sobotka
1:16
PK1DEdmundson – Parayko
3:26
PK2DBouwmeester – Pietrangelo
3:15

Current STL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Kane – Eichel
13:3643% CF
L2O'Reilly – Wilson – Reinhart
11:4629% CF
L3Pominville – Girgensons – Rodrigues
9:5147% CF
L4Pouliot – Josefson – Nolan
6:4433% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
14:5335% CF
D2Beaulieu – Nelson
12:5620% CF
D3McCabe – Antipin
12:4056% CF

PP1Okposo – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
4:58100% CF
PP2Pominville – Scandella – Kane – McCabe – Rodrigues
1:43100% CF
PK1FPouliot – O'Reilly
1:11
PK2FJosefson – Wilson
0:49
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
1:11
PK2DMcCabe – Nelson
0:49

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

14:19
STLCarl Gunnarsson (Paul Stastny)snap0.02 xG
STL: Steen, Stastny, Sobotka, Gunnarsson, PietrangeloBUF: O'Reilly, Girgensons, McCabe, Rodrigues, Antipin
STL 1 – 0 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Schenn C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	0	0	19:02	—	—	60	77
Jaden Schwartz L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	2	17:34	—	—	63	77
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.49	0	0	0	16:15	—	—	60	77
Alexander Steen L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	4	0	20:12	—	—	56	33
Paul Stastny C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	0	1	0	17:10	—	—	56	34
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.06	3	0	2	16:32	—	—	54	42
Patrik Berglund C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	3	0	2	15:34	—	—	68	82
Ivan Barbashev L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	0	0	13:48	—	—	73	75
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	7:54	—	—	58	52
Kyle Brodziak C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	0	12:30	—	—	69	59
Dmitrij Jaskin R	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.23	2	1	0	10:58	—	—	69	72
Chris Thorburn R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	0	0	0	5:40	—	—	73	81
Alex Pietrangelo D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	0	1	0	25:43	—	—	63	63
Carl Gunnarsson D	D1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.05	3	1	2	18:23	—	—	63	61
Colton Parayko D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	3	0	21:12	—	—	70	85
Jay Bouwmeester D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	2	0	19:44	—	—	60	77
Joel Edmundson D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	2	0	18:30	—	—	52	29
Vince Dunn D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	15:19	—	—	64	49

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	27	27	0	.1000	2.44	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	7	0.40	0	1	0	23:28	—	—	42	30
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	2	0.26	2	0	0	21:16	—	—	43	38
Evander Kane L	L1	0	1	0.32	0	0	0	19:54	—	—	41	29
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	-1	1	0.56	0	1	0	21:47	—	—	27	46
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	3	0.26	0	0	0	19:32	—	—	32	50
Scott Wilson C	L2	0	2	0.19	3	2	0	13:17	—	—	32	50
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	-1	2	0.05	0	1	0	14:49	—	—	38	12
Jason Pominville R	L3	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	13:09	—	—	47	24
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	-1	1	0.01	3	1	2	11:56	—	—	44	23
Benoit Pouliot L	L4	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:03	—	—	30	76
Jacob Josefson C	L4	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	9:18	—	—	30	76
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	1	0.06	1	1	0	8:00	—	—	33	76
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	3	0.14	4	0	0	27:23	—	—	31	30
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	2	0.15	0	0	0	21:50	—	—	38	30
Casey Nelson D	D2	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:10	—	—	22	48
Nathan Beaulieu D	D2	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:58	—	—	25	40
Jake McCabe D	D3	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:00	—	—	55	39
Victor Antipin D	D3	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	14:04	—	—	50	38

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	L	33	32	1	.970	1.86	58:06

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.