St. Louis Blues vs. Buffalo SabresNov 23, 2022

FinalWednesday, Nov 23, 2022· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
STL	0	1	1	2		STL	8	15	13	36
BUF	1	3	2	6		BUF	10	13	9	32

: STL 59BUF 59
: STL 3.43BUF 3.89
PP goals: STL 1BUF 2
Hits: STL 26BUF 15
Blocks: STL 12BUF 12
PIM: STL 8BUF 8
: STL 46%BUF 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres rout St. Louis Blues 6–2

Buffalo Sabres beat St. Louis Blues 6–2 at home. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 2:36 together.

Points
Jack Quinn had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:00.Quinn
Points
Jeff Skinner had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:06.Skinner
Points
Alex Tuch had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:34.Tuch
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 2:36 together.Skinner Tuch Thompson Dahlin Cozens
PP1
STL's first power-play unit (Krug, Buchnevich, Barbashev, Kyrou and Thomas) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:44 together.Krug Buchnevich Barbashev Kyrou Thomas
Luck
BUF scored 6 goals on 3.89 expected goals (59 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +4 against a season average of 31.9; the win.Luukkonen
New line
New look for BUF: Girgensons–Jost–Krebs skated 7:44 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Girgensons Jost Krebs

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← STL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
STL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · BUF 59 · STL 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
STL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
STL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: STL 35% of the game, BUF 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

STL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	STL	BUF
	64	53
	3.41	3.50
	3.15	3.08
	14	18
	4	8
	5	11
	+0.003	−0.003
	35%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

St. Louis Blues

L1Schenn – Barbashev – Acciari
10:4480% CF
L2Buchnevich – Kyrou – Thomas
6:1860% CF
L3Pitlick – Walker – Toropchenko
5:1314% CF
L4O'Reilly – Tarasenko – Alexandrov
1:5371% CF
D1Leddy – Parayko
15:4846% CF
D2Faulk – Krug
15:4868% CF
D3Mikkola – Rosen
12:4239% CF

PP1Krug – Buchnevich – Barbashev – Kyrou – Thomas
1:4475% CF
PP2O'Reilly – Schenn – Tarasenko – Krug – Acciari
1:21100% CF
PK1FSchenn – Acciari
1:27
PK2FO'Reilly – Buchnevich
1:24
PK1DFaulk – Mikkola
2:03
PK2DParayko – Rosen
0:36

Current STL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Hinostroza – Olofsson – Mittelstadt
10:5454% CF
L2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
10:2952% CF
L3Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
8:5963% CF
L4Girgensons – Jost – Krebs
7:4438% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
14:1239% CF
D2Samuelsson – Dahlin
12:3848% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
6:3729% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
2:36100% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Quinn – Peterka – Power
1:14100% CF
PK1FGirgensons – Jost
1:52
PK2FTuch – Thompson
1:09
PK1DSamuelsson – Lyubushkin
2:40
PK2DJokiharju – Power
0:40

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Noel Acciari C	L1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.16	4	1	0	17:16	—	—	52	65
Brayden Schenn C	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.18	0	0	0	16:57	—	—	67	66
Ivan Barbashev L	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.78	0	0	0	16:35	—	—	56	68
Robert Thomas C	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.30	0	0	0	19:38	—	—	59	43
Jordan Kyrou R	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	0	0	2	18:44	—	—	59	46
Pavel Buchnevich L	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.53	1	0	0	16:19	—	—	61	42
Nathan Walker L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	10:57	—	—	22	2
Tyler Pitlick C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	9:25	—	—	43	29
Alexey Toropchenko R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	8:48	—	—	39	32
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L4	0	0	0	-1	5	0.30	3	0	2	17:04	—	—	53	44
Ryan O'Reilly C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	0	15:50	—	—	52	48
Nikita Alexandrov C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	0	0	0	11:23	—	—	68	98
Nick Leddy D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	2	21:01	—	—	43	23
Colton Parayko D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	5	2	0	20:28	—	—	52	35
Torey Krug D	D2	0	0	0	-3	4	0.37	0	1	0	20:40	—	—	67	68
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.01	7	2	0	20:19	—	—	68	69
Niko Mikkola D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	17:11	—	—	41	39
Calle Rosen D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	0	3	0	16:35	—	—	46	35

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jordan Binnington(start)	L	32	26	6	.813	3.89	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.21	2	0	2	16:28	—	—	36	37
Victor Olofsson L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.23	1	1	0	15:12	—	—	42	41
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.16	0	0	2	13:18	—	—	47	64
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.37	0	0	2	19:32	—	—	38	42
Jeff Skinner L	L2	2	0	2	+1	4	0.45	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	37	39
Alex Tuch R	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.16	0	0	0	16:34	—	—	50	44
Jack Quinn R	L3	2	0	2	+2	4	0.74	1	0	0	17:00	—	—	43	57
Dylan Cozens C	L3	1	0	1	+2	6	0.65	0	0	0	14:28	—	—	59	69
JJ Peterka R	L3	0	1	1	+3	0	0.34	0	0	0	13:40	—	—	59	72
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	12:52	—	—	44	32
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	2	0	0	12:24	—	—	38	31
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	10:40	—	—	47	43
Owen Power D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.10	0	0	0	25:12	—	—	52	53
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	4	0	22:05	—	—	37	38
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	+3	1	0.00	2	3	2	24:36	—	—	49	62
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.08	5	1	0	19:28	—	—	53	72
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	0	15:59	—	—	32	12
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:59	—	—	31	7

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	3.43	59:34

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

St. Louis Blues vs. Buffalo SabresNov 23, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres rout St. Louis Blues 6–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

St. Louis Blues

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Buffalo Sabres