Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 1, 2023

FinalWednesday, Feb 1, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BOS	0	2	3	5		BOS	13	8	8	29
TOR	0	1	1	2		TOR	14	9	12	35

: BOS 49TOR 72
: BOS 2.67TOR 3.49
PP goals: BOS 0TOR 1
Hits: BOS 31TOR 26
Blocks: BOS 22TOR 10
PIM: BOS 11TOR 9
: BOS 49%TOR 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Boston Bruins beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–2

Boston Bruins beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–2 at TOR. Pavel Zacha (BOS) led the scoring with 2G 0A. BOS scored 5 goals on 2.67 expected goals (49 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Pavel Zacha had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 15:28.Zacha
Points
Charlie Coyle had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:08.Coyle
Luck
BOS scored 5 goals on 2.67 expected goals (49 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BOS) faced 35 shots and stopped 33 (.943), +5 against a season average of 29.7; the win.Ullmark
New line
New look for BOS: Greer–Frederic–Lauko skated 4:19 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Greer Frederic Lauko
Usage
Pierre Engvall (TOR) played 16:41, +3:05 up on his 13:36 season average over 75 games.Engvall

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BOS attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
BOS
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 121 of 121 attempts · TOR 72 · BOS 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
BOS
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
BOS pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BOS 31% of the game, TOR 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

BOS

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BOS	TOR
	53	76
	2.68	3.79
	2.54	3.54
	10	16
	6	4
	32	26
	−0.009	+0.009
	31%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Boston Bruins

L1Krejci – Pastrnak – Zacha
6:0338% CF
L2Bergeron – Marchand – Smith
6:0064% CF
L3Foligno – Coyle – Hall
4:3813% CF
L4Greer – Frederic – Lauko
4:1929% CF
D1Grzelcyk – McAvoy
15:1146% CF
D2Lindholm – Carlo
14:2043% CF
D3Forbort – Clifton
11:5232% CF

PP1Bergeron – Krejci – Marchand – Pastrnak – McAvoy
1:05100% CF
PP2Foligno – Coyle – Hall – Lindholm – Zacha
0:42100% CF
PK1FBergeron – Marchand
1:29
PK2FCoyle – Zacha
1:00
PK1DForbort – Carlo
2:05
PK2DLindholm – McAvoy
0:47

Current BOS line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Bunting – Marner
10:0648% CF
L2Engvall – Anderson – Kampf
8:5555% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Nylander
7:2176% CF
L4Simmonds – Aston-Reese – Holmberg
4:4358% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
16:5655% CF
D2Liljegren – Sandin
15:0746% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
15:0075% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Bunting – Marner
2:3875% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Engvall – Liljegren – Sandin – Holmberg
0:35100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
0:58
PK2FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
0:32
PK1DBrodie – Holl
1:02
PK2DGiordano – Liljegren
0:28

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

6:57
BOSDerek ForbortSH (Charlie Coyle, Trent Frederic)wrist0.16 xG
BOS: Coyle, Forbort, Carlo, FredericTOR: Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Holmberg
BOS 1 – 0 TOR
9:25
TORMitch MarnerPP (Ilya Samsonov, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.13 xG
BOS: Coyle, Lindholm, Zacha, CarloTOR: Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Sandin
BOS 1 – 1 TOR
12:33
BOSBrandon Carlo (Hampus Lindholm, Charlie Coyle)wrist0.20 xG
BOS: Coyle, Hall, Lindholm, Carlo, FredericTOR: Simmonds, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg
BOS 2 – 1 TOR

3rd period

2:13
BOSA.J. Greer (Jakub Lauko)wrist0.03 xG
BOS: Grzelcyk, Greer, McAvoy, Frederic, LaukoTOR: Engvall, Marner, Liljegren, Kampf, Sandin
BOS 3 – 1 TOR
8:38
TORCalle Jarnkrok (Mark Giordano, Justin Holl)slap0.15 xG
BOS: Coyle, Forbort, Clifton, Frederic, LaukoTOR: Giordano, Jarnkrok, Holl, Kerfoot, Bunting
BOS 3 – 2 TOR
9:08
BOSPavel Zacha (Charlie McAvoy, Matt Grzelcyk)wrist0.12 xG
BOS: Hall, Grzelcyk, Zacha, McAvoyTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Marner
BOS 4 – 2 TOR
12:19
BOSPavel Zacha (David Krejci, David Pastrnak)wrist0.09 xG
BOS: Krejci, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, CarloTOR: Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin
BOS 5 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Boston Bruins

BOS skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
David Pastrnak R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.23	3	0	0	19:36	—	—	55	55
David Krejci C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	2	1	0	17:45	—	—	33	29
Pavel Zacha C	L1	2	0	2	+2	6	0.57	2	0	0	15:28	—	—	33	30
Brad Marchand L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	18:35	—	—	69	65
Patrice Bergeron C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.31	0	1	0	16:02	—	—	68	70
Craig Smith C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	0	0	13:26	—	—	46	65
Charlie Coyle C	L3	0	2	2	+1	1	0.07	1	2	2	19:08	—	—	34	39
Taylor Hall L	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.28	1	1	0	16:28	—	—	31	28
Nick Foligno L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:34	—	—	26	32
Trent Frederic C	L4	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	2	2	0	12:42	—	—	32	33
A.J. Greer L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	1	0	5	7:40	—	—	22	32
Jakub Lauko C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	3	1	0	7:11	—	—	39	29
Charlie McAvoy D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.06	3	3	0	21:43	—	—	36	24
Matt Grzelcyk D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	0	1	2	18:44	—	—	50	44
Hampus Lindholm D	D2	0	1	1	+2	3	0.06	0	2	0	23:00	—	—	42	44
Brandon Carlo D	D2	1	0	1	+3	3	0.41	5	3	0	19:18	—	—	48	61
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	3	2	2	18:12	—	—	38	35
Derek Forbort D	D3	1	0	1	0	1	0.16	1	2	0	17:15	—	—	32	35

BOS goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	35	33	2	.943	3.49	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	3	0	0	20:06	—	—	53	50
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	-4	2	0.19	0	0	0	19:34	—	—	45	47
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.46	0	1	4	18:03	—	—	55	66
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	1	0	0	16:56	—	—	53	69
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.60	0	0	0	16:41	—	—	61	84
Joey Anderson R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:14	—	—	56	82
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	-3	3	0.49	0	0	0	19:57	—	—	72	59
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.42	1	0	0	16:01	—	—	81	63
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.37	3	0	0	13:46	—	—	65	50
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.26	0	0	0	8:26	—	—	53	49
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	8:20	—	—	60	41
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	4	1	5	7:29	—	—	50	37
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	23:35	—	—	58	74
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	1	0	20:50	—	—	54	65
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.08	2	1	0	18:53	—	—	49	50
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.06	3	2	0	18:00	—	—	47	40
Justin Holl D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	2	3	0	18:11	—	—	75	67
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.14	2	0	0	18:03	—	—	74	66

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	L	29	24	5	.828	2.67	59:55

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.