Montreal Canadiens vs. Winnipeg JetsFeb 27, 2021

Final / OTSaturday, Feb 27, 2021· Bell MTS Place

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
MTL	0	1	0	0	1		MTL	14	13	14	0	41
WPG	0	1	0	1	2		WPG	7	9	2	3	21

: MTL 78WPG 38
: MTL 3.46WPG 3.57
PP goals: MTL 0WPG 1
Hits: MTL 26WPG 15
Blocks: MTL 6WPG 19
PIM: MTL 6WPG 4
: MTL 47%WPG 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets edge Montreal Canadiens 2–1 (OT)

Winnipeg Jets beat Montreal Canadiens 2–1 in overtime at home. Nikolaj Ehlers (WPG) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for MTL: Toffoli–Drouin–Suzuki skated 15:17 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (73.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Nikolaj Ehlers had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:20.Ehlers
New line
New look for MTL: Toffoli–Drouin–Suzuki skated 15:17 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (73.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Toffoli Drouin Suzuki
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 41 shots and stopped 40 (.976), +11 against a season average of 29.7; the win.Hellebuyck
Luck
MTL scored 1 goal on 3.46 expected goals (78 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Nathan Beaulieu (WPG) played 24:01, +7:36 up on his 16:25 season average over 24 games.Beaulieu
Luck
WPG scored 2 goals on 3.57 expected goals (38 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Corey Perry (MTL) played 8:30, −5:21 down on his 13:51 season average over 48 games.Perry
Usage
Mathieu Perreault (WPG) played 7:23, −4:24 down on his 11:47 season average over 55 games.Perreault

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MTL attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
MTL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · WPG 38 · MTL 78

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
MTL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
MTL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MTL 53% of the game, WPG 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

MTL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MTL	WPG
	82	30
	3.70	1.76
	3.51	1.73
	14	11
	4	1
	11	7
	−0.027	+0.027
	53%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Montreal Canadiens

L1Toffoli – Drouin – Suzuki
15:1774% CF
L2Armia – Lehkonen – Kotkaniemi
11:2472% CF
L3Tatar – Gallagher – Danault
9:1968% CF
L4Perry – Byron – Evans
5:5475% CF
D1Petry – Edmundson
16:4370% CF
D2Weber – Chiarot
15:4863% CF
D3Kulak – Romanov
14:1995% CF

PP1Weber – Toffoli – Armia – Drouin – Suzuki
2:07100% CF
PP2Perry – Petry – Tatar – Gallagher – Kotkaniemi
1:10100% CF
PK1FDanault – Lehkonen
1:28
PK2FByron – Evans
1:22
PK1DWeber – Chiarot
1:16
PK2DEdmundson – Romanov
1:15

Current MTL line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Stastny – Ehlers – Connor
12:5920% CF
L2Lowry – Copp – Appleton
12:5025% CF
L3Wheeler – Scheifele – Dubois
11:5233% CF
L4Thompson – Lewis – Perreault
4:4030% CF
D1Beaulieu – Morrissey
19:5727% CF
D2Forbort – Pionk
16:0133% CF
D3DeMelo – Niku
10:3318% CF

PP1Wheeler – Stastny – Scheifele – Morrissey – Connor
2:49100% CF
PP2Perreault – Copp – Ehlers – Dubois – Pionk
1:12100% CF
PK1FLowry – Copp
2:07
PK2FLewis – Appleton
0:40
PK1DForbort – DeMelo
2:07
PK2DBeaulieu – Pionk
1:07

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

10:38
WPGNikolaj EhlersPP (Andrew Copp)wrist0.08 xG
MTL: Weber, Lehkonen, Evans, RomanovWPG: Perreault, Copp, Ehlers, Dubois, Pionk
MTL 0 – 1 WPG
15:13
MTLNick Suzuki (Joel Armia, Ben Chiarot)wrist0.08 xG
MTL: Weber, Armia, Kulak, Drouin, SuzukiWPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Beaulieu, Morrissey, Dubois
MTL 1 – 1 WPG

OT period

0:36
WPGPaul Stastny (Nikolaj Ehlers, Kyle Connor)wrist0.69 xG
MTL: Petry, Armia, DanaultWPG: Stastny, Ehlers, Connor
MTL 1 – 2 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Montreal Canadiens

MTL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Suzuki C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	3	0	0	21:03	—	—	72	80
Jonathan Drouin L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.21	0	0	0	19:52	—	—	73	74
Tyler Toffoli C	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.36	0	0	0	19:19	—	—	78	81
Joel Armia R	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.21	4	0	0	16:36	—	—	74	72
Artturi Lehkonen L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	2	0	0	15:39	—	—	77	79
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	0	0	14:48	—	—	80	83
Phillip Danault C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	0	0	15:32	—	—	71	72
Brendan Gallagher R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.61	1	0	0	13:58	—	—	74	80
Tomas Tatar L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	2	0	0	12:30	—	—	76	80
Paul Byron L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	3	0	0	10:16	—	—	63	38
Jake Evans C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:51	—	—	67	37
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	8:30	—	—	69	47
Jeff Petry D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	2	4	21:47	—	—	71	80
Joel Edmundson D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	1	0	20:36	—	—	69	80
Ben Chiarot D	D2	0	1	1	0	4	0.07	3	1	0	22:54	—	—	64	47
Shea Weber D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.38	1	2	2	20:37	—	—	61	43
Alexander Romanov D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.30	1	0	0	17:20	—	—	91	90
Brett Kulak D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	0	0	14:42	—	—	96	94

MTL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Allen(start)	O	21	19	2	.905	3.57	60:36

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Connor L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.65	0	0	0	18:52	—	—	21	26
Paul Stastny C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	1.19	2	0	0	18:22	—	—	18	10
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.37	0	0	0	17:20	—	—	22	13
Andrew Copp C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.23	1	0	0	18:25	—	—	23	31
Adam Lowry C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	4	1	0	17:00	—	—	22	26
Mason Appleton C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	15:42	—	—	25	26
Mark Scheifele C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	0	0	0	19:04	—	—	41	48
Blake Wheeler R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	18:27	—	—	36	44
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.25	1	0	2	16:39	—	—	36	33
Nate Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	7:28	—	—	22	37
Trevor Lewis C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:24	—	—	21	38
Mathieu Perreault C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	0	0	0	7:23	—	—	33	52
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	2	3	0	25:36	—	—	26	29
Nathan Beaulieu D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	3	0	24:01	—	—	29	31
Derek Forbort D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	5	0	20:18	—	—	32	31
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	2	1	0	19:32	—	—	36	39
Dylan DeMelo D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	1	0	13:13	—	—	18	38
Sami Niku D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	2	13:02	—	—	17	33

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	41	40	1	.976	3.46	60:36

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.