Washington Capitals vs. Carolina HurricanesMar 28, 2019

FinalThursday, Mar 28, 2019· PNC Arena

away

Washington CapitalsWSH

3

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	1	0	2	3		WSH	7	9	4	20
CAR	1	1	0	2		CAR	5	11	10	26

: WSH 48CAR 57
: WSH 2.41CAR 3.74
PP goals: WSH 0CAR 0
Hits: WSH 19CAR 25
Blocks: WSH 13CAR 10
PIM: WSH 2CAR 2
: WSH 39%CAR 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals edge Carolina Hurricanes 3–2

Washington Capitals beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 at CAR. Nino Niederreiter (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for WSH: Hagelin–Kuznetsov–Burakovsky skated 8:01 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for WSH: Hagelin–Kuznetsov–Burakovsky skated 8:01 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hagelin Kuznetsov Burakovsky
Usage
Nick Jensen (WSH) played 15:00, −4:55 down on his 19:55 season average over 79 games.Jensen
Luck
CAR scored 2 goals on 3.74 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Brooks Orpik (WSH) played 19:28, +3:53 up on his 15:35 season average over 52 games.Orpik
Usage
Christian Djoos (WSH) played 17:18, +3:49 up on his 13:29 season average over 44 games.Djoos
Usage
Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH) played 15:28, −3:22 down on his 18:50 season average over 75 games.Kuznetsov
Usage
Nino Niederreiter (CAR) played 19:19, +3:08 up on his 16:11 season average over 81 games.Niederreiter
Usage
Andre Burakovsky (WSH) played 15:23, +4:19 up on his 11:04 season average over 75 games.Burakovsky

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · CAR 57 · WSH 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 23% of the game, CAR 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	CAR
	53	55
	2.27	3.44
	2.22	3.29
	14	19
	7	6
	26	20
	−0.064	+0.064
	23%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
11:5748% CF
L2Hagelin – Kuznetsov – Burakovsky
8:0158% CF
L3Eller – Connolly – Vrana
6:5023% CF
L4Dowd – Boyd – Stephenson
6:4170% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
17:1654% CF
D2Carlson – Djoos
11:2050% CF
D3Orpik – Jensen
9:3250% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov – Wilson
1:13100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Carlson – Connolly – Vrana
0:44
PK1FHagelin – Eller
1:04
PK2FDowd – Wilson
0:29
PK1DNiskanen – Carlson
1:29
PK2DOrlov – Jensen
0:29

Current WSH line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Niederreiter – Aho
15:1643% CF
L2Staal – Teravainen – Svechnikov
11:3667% CF
L3Ferland – Martinook – Wallmark
10:1150% CF
L4McKegg – McGinn – Foegele
8:0050% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
18:0942% CF
D2Faulk – Pesce
15:2458% CF
D3de Haan – van Riemsdyk
11:2863% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Niederreiter – Teravainen – Aho
1:03100% CF
PP2Staal – Ferland – Hamilton – Slavin – Svechnikov
0:5550% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
0:52
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
0:21
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
1:06
PK2Dde Haan – Faulk
0:45

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:31
CARNino Niederreiter (Justin Williams, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.06 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov, WilsonCAR: Williams, Niederreiter, Hamilton, Slavin, Aho
WSH 0 – 1 CAR
5:13
WSHBrett Connolly (Brooks Orpik)snap0.16 xG
WSH: Orpik, Eller, Jensen, Connolly, VranaCAR: de Haan, Ferland, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark
WSH 1 – 1 CAR

2nd period

12:30
CARWarren Foegele (Justin Faulk, Brett Pesce)wrist0.14 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Jensen, WilsonCAR: Williams, Staal, Faulk, Pesce, Foegele
WSH 1 – 2 CAR

3rd period

1:35
WSHJakub Vrana (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Christian Djoos)backhand0.12 xG
WSH: Hagelin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Djoos, VranaCAR: de Haan, Ferland, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark
WSH 2 – 2 CAR
15:04
WSHNic Dowd (Nick Jensen)deflected0.08 xG
WSH: Orpik, Jensen, Dowd, Boyd, StephensonCAR: Williams, Niederreiter, Hamilton, Slavin, Aho
WSH 3 – 2 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.54	1	1	0	22:10	—	—	53	30
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.22	0	2	0	19:36	—	—	50	27
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.16	2	0	0	18:03	—	—	42	23
Carl Hagelin L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.38	0	0	0	15:42	—	—	59	74
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:28	—	—	61	88
Andre Burakovsky L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	15:23	—	—	57	73
Jakub Vrana L	L3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.23	1	1	0	16:10	—	—	46	53
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:57	—	—	37	33
Brett Connolly R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	0	0	0	13:49	—	—	37	27
Chandler Stephenson C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	10:28	—	—	53	41
Nic Dowd C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.30	1	1	0	9:22	—	—	47	38
Travis Boyd C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:04	—	—	58	51
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	2	1	0	21:39	—	—	54	45
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	3	0	20:00	—	—	52	50
John Carlson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	2	1	0	24:25	—	—	47	32
Christian Djoos D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:18	—	—	48	45
Brooks Orpik D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	6	1	2	19:28	—	—	38	32
Nick Jensen D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	52	37

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	W	26	24	2	.923	3.74	59:58

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.82	1	0	0	20:25	—	—	42	64
Justin Williams R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	1	0	2	19:38	—	—	46	65
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.97	1	1	0	19:19	—	—	44	59
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.30	1	0	0	19:05	—	—	75	75
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.37	1	0	0	16:44	—	—	62	66
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	3	0	0	16:11	—	—	55	62
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.36	0	0	0	13:32	—	—	58	53
Micheal Ferland L	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	4	0	0	13:13	—	—	50	48
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:57	—	—	39	41
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	1	0	0	10:48	—	—	50	55
Warren Foegele L	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.42	0	0	0	10:02	—	—	52	65
Greg McKegg C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:01	—	—	53	56
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	1	0	25:31	—	—	42	49
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	3	0	22:04	—	—	43	53
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	21:10	—	—	54	75
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.06	0	3	0	20:44	—	—	57	73
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	3	0	0	15:19	—	—	61	54
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	1	0	0	14:09	—	—	58	52

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	L	20	17	3	.850	1.97	58:08

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.