Washington Capitals vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 13, 2022

FinalThursday, Oct 13, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

away

Washington CapitalsWSH

2

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	2	0	0	2		WSH	11	9	6	26
TOR	1	1	1	3		TOR	21	9	9	39

: WSH 63TOR 58
: WSH 2.59TOR 4.91
PP goals: WSH 0TOR 1
Hits: WSH 33TOR 37
Blocks: WSH 9TOR 17
PIM: WSH 6TOR 10
: WSH 46%TOR 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Washington Capitals 3–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Washington Capitals 3–2 at home. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 3:12 together.

Points
Morgan Rielly had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:20.Rielly
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 3:12 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
Goalie
Charlie Lindgren (WSH) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +11 against a season average of 27.5; the loss.Lindgren
Usage
Rasmus Sandin (TOR) played 14:08, −5:16 down on his 19:24 season average over 70 games.Sandin
Usage
Erik Gustafsson (WSH) played 14:59, −4:52 down on his 19:51 season average over 69 games.Gustafsson
Luck
TOR scored 3 goals on 4.91 expected goals (58 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Marcus Johansson (WSH) played 12:05, −4:28 down on his 16:33 season average over 79 games.Johansson
Usage
Dmitry Orlov (WSH) played 18:12, −4:25 down on his 22:37 season average over 65 games.Orlov

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 121 of 121 attempts · TOR 58 · WSH 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 21% of the game, TOR 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	TOR
	52	50
	2.33	2.95
	2.23	2.84
	8	11
	1	5
	22	17
	−0.062	+0.062
	21%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Oshie – Eller – Johansson
9:0742% CF
L2Mantha – Strome – Protas
8:1844% CF
L3Dowd – Sheary – Hathaway
8:0364% CF
L4Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Brown
7:2255% CF
D1Carlson – Fehérváry
14:3148% CF
D2Orlov – Jensen
12:0456% CF
D3Gustafsson – van Riemsdyk
10:5355% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Carlson – Kuznetsov – Strome
5:1173% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Johansson – Orlov – Brown – Mantha
1:210% CF
PK1FKuznetsov – Brown
1:58
PK2FDowd – Sheary
1:05
PK1DJensen – van Riemsdyk
3:20
PK2DCarlson – Fehérváry
0:52

Current WSH line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
10:4560% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Malgin
9:2862% CF
L3Aube-Kubel – Aston-Reese – Kampf
7:3338% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Engvall
6:0933% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
13:3461% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
12:4952% CF
D3Giordano – Sandin
11:4441% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
3:1291% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Bunting – Malgin
1:000% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:58
PK2FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
1:46
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
1:34
PK2DBrodie – Rielly
1:27

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:40
TORJohn TavaresPP (Morgan Rielly, Mitch Marner)tip-in0.15 xG
WSH: Jensen, Kuznetsov, Brown, van RiemsdykTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
WSH 0 – 1 TOR
9:57
WSHNic Dowd (Erik Gustafsson, Trevor van Riemsdyk)wrist0.06 xG
WSH: Dowd, Gustafsson, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, HathawayTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
WSH 1 – 1 TOR
13:52
WSHMarcus Johansson (T.J. Oshie, Lars Eller)wrist0.09 xG
WSH: Oshie, Eller, Johansson, Orlov, JensenTOR: Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall
WSH 2 – 1 TOR

2nd period

3:53
TORCalle Jarnkrok (Alexander Kerfoot, Morgan Rielly)tip-in0.09 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, BrownTOR: Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall
WSH 2 – 2 TOR

3rd period

6:55
TORAuston Matthews (Mark Giordano, Rasmus Sandin)wrist0.12 xG
WSH: Orlov, Jensen, Dowd, Sheary, HathawayTOR: Giordano, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin
WSH 2 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
T.J. Oshie R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	1	0	0	19:16	—	—	33	17
Lars Eller C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	13:44	—	—	46	23
Marcus Johansson L	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	1	0	0	12:05	—	—	44	24
Dylan Strome C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	20:37	—	—	44	43
Anthony Mantha R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	2	0	0	14:21	—	—	52	56
Aliaksei Protas L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.35	0	0	0	11:06	—	—	52	44
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	1	0	0	11:54	—	—	61	64
Nic Dowd C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.26	3	0	2	11:22	—	—	56	62
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	1	2	10:44	—	—	56	60
Alex Ovechkin L	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.53	4	0	0	22:18	—	—	55	38
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	2	0	0	21:35	—	—	53	55
Connor Brown R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:39	—	—	65	60
John Carlson D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	4	1	2	25:23	—	—	42	46
Martin Fehérváry D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	1	0	18:17	—	—	42	49
Dmitry Orlov D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.11	4	0	0	18:12	—	—	59	38
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	1	0	0	17:28	—	—	48	30
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	4	0	16:08	—	—	52	51
Erik Gustafsson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	1	1	0	14:59	—	—	56	60

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Charlie Lindgren(start)	L	39	36	3	.923	4.44	56:31

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	5	0.94	1	0	2	22:24	—	—	48	47
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.59	5	1	0	18:38	—	—	60	54
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.29	2	0	0	15:11	—	—	54	50
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	7	1.20	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	62	67
John Tavares C	L2	1	0	1	0	6	0.58	2	1	0	14:58	—	—	63	69
Denis Malgin C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	0	0	0	12:04	—	—	63	72
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	1	0	15:57	—	—	43	55
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	11:03	—	—	40	47
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	1	2	9:44	—	—	38	52
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	14:23	—	—	27	38
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.35	1	1	2	14:13	—	—	35	44
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:21	—	—	40	55
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	2	4	2	20:28	—	—	56	65
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	3	0	2	19:09	—	—	59	77
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	2	4	0	21:36	—	—	48	69
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	2	2	-1	1	0.16	3	0	0	20:20	—	—	54	68
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	4	2	0	19:43	—	—	38	36
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	5	0	0	14:08	—	—	43	38

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	26	24	2	.923	2.59	59:59

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.