Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton OilersOct 25, 2018

FinalThursday, Oct 25, 2018· Rogers Place

away

Washington CapitalsWSH

1

@

home

Edmonton OilersEDM

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	0	1	0	1		WSH	9	9	14	32
EDM	1	1	2	4		EDM	9	14	9	32

: WSH 68EDM 54
: WSH 2.03EDM 2.28
PP goals: WSH 0EDM 1
Hits: WSH 28EDM 16
Blocks: WSH 12EDM 25
PIM: WSH 4EDM 2
: WSH 57%EDM 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Edmonton Oilers beat Washington Capitals 4–1

Edmonton Oilers beat Washington Capitals 4–1 at home. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Tobias Rieder (EDM) played 18:16, +5:42 up on his 12:34 season average over 66 games.

Points
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:39.Nugent-Hopkins
Points
Tobias Rieder had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:16.Rieder
Usage
Tobias Rieder (EDM) played 18:16, +5:42 up on his 12:34 season average over 66 games.Rieder
New line
New look for EDM: Brodziak–Khaira–Marody skated 6:54 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (55% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brodziak Khaira Marody
New line
New look for EDM: Lucic–Strome–Caggiula skated 10:05 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (52.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lucic Strome Caggiula
Luck
EDM scored 4 goals on 2.28 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
John Carlson (WSH) played 21:04, −4:03 down on his 25:07 season average over 79 games.Carlson
Usage
Chandler Stephenson (WSH) played 16:25, +4:22 up on his 12:03 season average over 63 games.Stephenson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · EDM 54 · WSH 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 32% of the game, EDM 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	EDM
	70	54
	1.83	1.45
	1.79	1.43
	8	8
	7	10
	18	24
	+0.066	−0.066
	32%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Eller – Connolly – Vrana
9:3454% CF
L2Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Smith-Pelly
9:2353% CF
L3Oshie – Backstrom – Stephenson
9:1669% CF
L4Dowd – Jaskin – Burakovsky
5:01100% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
16:2254% CF
D2Carlson – Kempny
12:5150% CF
D3Orpik – Djoos
11:4150% CF

PP1Niskanen – Eller – Orlov – Connolly – Vrana
1:13
PP2Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
0:4767% CF
PK1FDowd – Smith-Pelly
2:20
PK2FEller – Stephenson
2:15
PK1DOrpik – Niskanen
4:40
PK2DCarlson – Orlov
2:54

Current WSH line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Chiasson – Rieder – Draisaitl
12:2433% CF
L2Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid – Yamamoto
11:0750% CF
L3Lucic – Strome – Caggiula
10:0553% CF
L4Brodziak – Khaira – Marody
6:5455% CF
D1Larsson – Klefbom
17:1453% CF
D2Russell – Nurse
14:2531% CF
D3Gravel – Bouchard
5:3933% CF

PP1Lucic – Nugent-Hopkins – Klefbom – Draisaitl – McDavid
4:02100% CF
PP2Chiasson – Rieder – Strome – Bouchard
2:50
PK1FBrodziak – Caggiula
0:44
PK2FRieder – Strome
0:34
PK1DRussell – Nurse
1:16
PK2DLarsson – Klefbom
0:34

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:28
EDMEvan BouchardPP (Kailer Yamamoto, Tobias Rieder)snap0.06 xG
WSH: Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, OrlovEDM: Chiasson, Rieder, Strome, Yamamoto, Bouchard
WSH 0 – 1 EDM

2nd period

10:06
EDMRyan Nugent-HopkinsSHwrist0.09 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, KuznetsovEDM: Russell, Nugent-Hopkins, Khaira, Nurse
WSH 0 – 2 EDM
12:21
WSHAndre Burakovsky (Nic Dowd, John Carlson)wrist0.04 xG
WSH: Orpik, Dowd, Jaskin, Djoos, BurakovskyEDM: Lucic, Gravel, McDavid, Caggiula, Bouchard
WSH 1 – 2 EDM

3rd period

9:16
EDMAlex Chiasson (Tobias Rieder, Adam Larsson)wrist0.02 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, VranaEDM: Chiasson, Rieder, Larsson, Klefbom, Draisaitl
WSH 1 – 3 EDM
18:43
EDMConnor McDavidEN (Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Cam Talbot)wrist0.67 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Eller, Carlson, KuznetsovEDM: Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Nurse, McDavid
WSH 1 – 4 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Lars Eller C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	2	0	0	18:40	—	—	58	77
Brett Connolly R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.40	0	0	0	15:06	—	—	56	74
Jakub Vrana L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.32	0	0	0	13:18	—	—	48	66
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.13	1	1	0	18:00	—	—	48	27
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.21	3	0	0	16:47	—	—	48	24
Devante Smith-Pelly R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	0	0	13:40	—	—	50	22
Nicklas Backstrom C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	18:27	—	—	52	36
T.J. Oshie R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:05	—	—	56	41
Chandler Stephenson C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	1	0	16:25	—	—	57	74
Andre Burakovsky L	L4	1	0	1	+1	5	0.35	0	1	0	10:45	—	—	64	57
Nic Dowd C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	1	0	0	9:27	—	—	72	71
Dmitrij Jaskin R	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	8:08	—	—	83	90
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	3	1	0	24:32	—	—	53	57
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	4	1	0	22:20	—	—	58	61
John Carlson D	D2	0	1	1	-2	4	0.01	2	4	0	21:04	—	—	60	63
Michal Kempny D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	4	16:06	—	—	54	51
Brooks Orpik D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	4	0	0	18:44	—	—	54	52
Christian Djoos D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.07	0	1	0	15:04	—	—	59	44

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	L	31	28	3	.903	1.60	58:25

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Leon Draisaitl C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	0	0	20:16	—	—	29	32
Tobias Rieder L	L1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.16	1	2	0	18:16	—	—	30	31
Alex Chiasson R	L1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.02	3	0	0	17:39	—	—	31	33
Connor McDavid C	L2	1	0	1	0	5	1.17	0	1	0	21:15	—	—	46	56
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.10	0	0	0	19:39	—	—	55	67
Kailer Yamamoto R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.15	1	0	0	15:02	—	—	43	57
Milan Lucic L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	2	0	2	16:53	—	—	46	27
Ryan Strome C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:23	—	—	48	35
Drake Caggiula L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	0	14:29	—	—	52	35
Kyle Brodziak C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	2	0	9:26	—	—	48	40
Jujhar Khaira L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	2	2	0	8:28	—	—	52	41
Cooper Marody C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	7:45	—	—	50	41
Oscar Klefbom D	D1	0	0	0	+1	6	0.10	0	1	0	26:17	—	—	52	58
Adam Larsson D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	2	5	0	24:20	—	—	52	60
Darnell Nurse D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	0	2	0	20:58	—	—	32	21
Kris Russell D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	5	0	20:06	—	—	31	17
Evan Bouchard D	D3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.07	0	2	0	11:00	—	—	42	30
Kevin Gravel D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	10:48	—	—	42	32

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Talbot(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	2.03	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.