Washington Capitals vs. Buffalo SabresJan 14, 2021

FinalThursday, Jan 14, 2021· KeyBank Center

away

Washington CapitalsWSH

6

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	2	2	2	6		WSH	14	9	5	28
BUF	1	1	2	4		BUF	8	9	9	26

: WSH 44BUF 44
: WSH 3.60BUF 2.18
PP goals: WSH 1BUF 1
Hits: WSH 19BUF 20
Blocks: WSH 11BUF 7
PIM: WSH 11BUF 9
: WSH 51%BUF 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals beat Buffalo Sabres 6–4

Washington Capitals beat Buffalo Sabres 6–4 at BUF. T.J. Oshie (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 2A.

Points
T.J. Oshie had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:29.Oshie
Points
Jake McCabe had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:36.McCabe
Points
John Carlson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 23:43.Carlson
Points
Nicklas Backstrom had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:54.Backstrom
Points
Taylor Hall had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:30.Hall
Points
Victor Olofsson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:10.Olofsson
Points
Alex Ovechkin had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:36.Ovechkin
Points
Jack Eichel had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:12.Eichel

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 88 of 88 attempts · BUF 44 · WSH 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 34% of the game, BUF 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	BUF
	40	42
	1.50	1.69
	1.49	1.63
	4	8
	4	1
	16	11
	+0.014	−0.014
	34%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom
13:0365% CF
L2Kuznetsov – Wilson – Vrana
12:1247% CF
L3Hagelin – Dowd – Hathaway
9:2740% CF
L4Eller – Panik – Sheary
8:1722% CF
D1Chara – Jensen
17:2653% CF
D2Carlson – Orlov
16:0344% CF
D3Schultz – Dillon
13:0737% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
1:52100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Schultz – Panik – Wilson – Vrana
0:5633% CF
PK1FOshie – Eller
1:33
PK2FWilson – Hathaway
0:36
PK1DCarlson – Dillon
2:33
PK2DChara – Jensen
1:42

Current WSH line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Hall – Eichel – Thompson
14:1343% CF
L2Staal – Reinhart – Olofsson
11:5243% CF
L3Sheahan – Skinner – Lazar
7:3760% CF
L4Eakin – Rieder – Cozens
7:2367% CF
D1Montour – Dahlin
16:0750% CF
D2Miller – Jokiharju
12:2060% CF
D3McCabe – Ristolainen
12:1159% CF

PP1Hall – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:11100% CF
PP2Staal – Skinner – Ristolainen – Thompson – Cozens
1:57100% CF
PK1FEakin – Rieder
1:39
PK2FSheahan – Lazar
0:46
PK1DMcCabe – Montour
1:04
PK2DRistolainen – Jokiharju
0:56

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:43
WSHNicklas Backstrom (Alex Ovechkin, T.J. Oshie)wrist0.15 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Schultz, DillonBUF: Sheahan, Skinner, Ristolainen, Lazar, Montour
WSH 1 – 0 BUF
8:48
BUFTaylor HallPP (Victor Olofsson, Jack Eichel)wrist0.15 xG
WSH: Chara, Hagelin, Eller, JensenBUF: Hall, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
WSH 1 – 1 BUF
10:33
WSHT.J. OshiePP (Alex Ovechkin, John Carlson)slap0.57 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, PanikBUF: Sheahan, McCabe, Ristolainen, Lazar
WSH 2 – 1 BUF

2nd period

7:05
WSHJohn Carlson (T.J. Oshie, Nicklas Backstrom)wrist0.09 xG
WSH: Chara, Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, CarlsonBUF: Hall, McCabe, Eichel, Thompson, Jokiharju
WSH 3 – 1 BUF
13:23
WSHBrenden Dillon (Conor Sheary, Lars Eller)wrist0.02 xG
WSH: Oshie, Eller, Orlov, Dillon, ShearyBUF: Staal, McCabe, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson
WSH 4 – 1 BUF
18:46
BUFTobias Rieder (Dylan Cozens, Jake McCabe)wrap-around0.03 xG
WSH: Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Orlov, ShearyBUF: Eakin, Rieder, McCabe, Ristolainen, Cozens
WSH 4 – 2 BUF

3rd period

0:20
BUFJake McCabe (Jack Eichel, Tage Thompson)slap0.05 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, OrlovBUF: Hall, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel, Thompson
WSH 4 – 3 BUF
0:46
WSHJakub Vranawrist0.24 xG
WSH: Schultz, Dillon, Kuznetsov, Wilson, VranaBUF: Staal, Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Jokiharju
WSH 5 – 3 BUF
18:06
BUFVictor Olofsson (Taylor Hall, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.13 xG
WSH: Eller, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, WilsonBUF: Eakin, Hall, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
WSH 5 – 4 BUF
18:57
WSHGarnet HathawayEN (Nick Jensen)wrist0.50 xG
WSH: Chara, Hagelin, Jensen, Dowd, HathawayBUF: Eakin, Hall, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
WSH 6 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.12	3	1	0	19:36	—	—	70	84
T.J. Oshie R	L1	1	2	3	+1	3	1.30	1	0	2	19:29	—	—	50	49
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.24	0	1	0	17:54	—	—	68	84
Tom Wilson R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:11	—	—	56	51
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.21	0	1	0	16:29	—	—	50	51
Jakub Vrana L	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.52	1	0	0	14:07	—	—	50	50
Carl Hagelin L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	12:54	—	—	36	54
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.54	2	0	0	12:13	—	—	50	57
Nic Dowd C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	2	0	4	11:24	—	—	42	54
Lars Eller C	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:13	—	—	32	14
Richard Panik R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	0	0	11:18	—	—	30	15
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:40	—	—	24	10
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	20:17	—	—	56	50
Zdeno Chara D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	1	0	0	20:16	—	—	59	54
John Carlson D	D2	1	1	2	-2	6	0.28	3	1	0	23:43	—	—	50	40
Dmitry Orlov D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	0	1	0	19:41	—	—	46	39
Brenden Dillon D	D3	1	0	1	+3	1	0.02	2	4	5	17:21	—	—	46	51
Justin Schultz D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.16	1	0	0	15:56	—	—	38	49

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	26	22	4	.846	2.18	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	2	2	0	1	0.14	2	0	0	22:12	—	—	39	43
Taylor Hall L	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.31	0	0	0	19:30	—	—	44	43
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	3	0	0	17:08	—	—	41	40
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.26	1	0	0	19:34	—	—	37	47
Victor Olofsson L	L2	1	1	2	-2	2	0.24	0	1	0	18:10	—	—	40	47
Eric Staal C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	1	2	0	14:45	—	—	47	51
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.32	1	0	0	14:25	—	—	67	66
Curtis Lazar C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.29	2	0	0	11:33	—	—	67	66
Riley Sheahan C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	9:55	—	—	64	48
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:23	—	—	73	71
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:09	—	—	69	55
Tobias Rieder L	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.20	1	0	0	11:36	—	—	69	55
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	1	0	2	24:20	—	—	44	40
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	0	0	0	20:37	—	—	46	35
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	1	2	15:14	—	—	60	66
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:56	—	—	59	61
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	3	2	0	22:22	—	—	54	55
Jake McCabe D	D3	1	1	2	0	1	0.05	2	1	5	16:36	—	—	54	61

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	27	22	5	.815	2.40	58:36

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.