Arizona Coyotes vs. Buffalo SabresNov 8, 2022

FinalTuesday, Nov 8, 2022· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
ARI	2	0	2	4		ARI	7	11	6	24
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	13	14	6	33

: ARI 34BUF 60
: ARI 1.87BUF 3.77
PP goals: ARI 1BUF 1
Hits: ARI 15BUF 12
Blocks: ARI 9BUF 6
PIM: ARI 10BUF 10
: ARI 40%BUF 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Arizona Coyotes beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1

Arizona Coyotes beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1 at BUF. Matias Maccelli (ARI) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for BUF: Thompson–Mittelstadt–Peterka skated 6:10 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Clayton Keller had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:20.Keller
Points
Liam O'Brien had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 11:17.O'Brien
Points
Matias Maccelli had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:04.Maccelli
New line
New look for BUF: Thompson–Mittelstadt–Peterka skated 6:10 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Thompson Mittelstadt Peterka
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.77 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
ARI scored 4 goals on 1.87 expected goals (34 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Girgensons–Quinn skated 5:10 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (87.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Girgensons Quinn
New line
New look for BUF: Olofsson–Asplund–Krebs skated 4:26 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Olofsson Asplund Krebs

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← ARI attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
ARI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 94 of 94 attempts · BUF 60 · ARI 34

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
ARI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
ARI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: ARI 13% of the game, BUF 51%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

ARI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	ARI	BUF
	26	56
	1.04	3.43
	1.01	3.22
	4	10
	1	4
	11	11
	−0.103	+0.103
	13%	51%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Arizona Coyotes

L1Bjugstad – Crouse – Maccelli
10:0463% CF
L2Ritchie – Fischer – McBain
7:0314% CF
L3Boyd – O'Brien – Keller
3:4850% CF
D1Välimäki – Moser
12:4752% CF
D2Gostisbehere – Brown
10:2128% CF
D3Nemeth – Stecher
8:4018% CF

PP1Bjugstad – Boyd – Gostisbehere – Keller – Moser
2:36100% CF
PP2Crouse – Välimäki – Hayton – Maccelli – Guenther
2:2267% CF
PK1FFischer – McBain
2:38
PK2FBjugstad – Crouse
1:02
PK1DBrown – Moser
3:31
PK2DNemeth – Stecher
1:54

Current ARI line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Cozens
6:4260% CF
L2Thompson – Mittelstadt – Peterka
6:1063% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Quinn
5:1088% CF
L4Olofsson – Asplund – Krebs
4:2638% CF
D1Bryson – Dahlin
11:0079% CF
D2Clague – Power
10:1553% CF
D3Pilut – Lyubushkin
7:2055% CF

PP1Okposo – Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin
3:1486% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Cozens – Peterka – Power
2:14100% CF
PK1FTuch – Cozens
2:15
PK2FOkposo – Thompson
0:55
PK1DDahlin – Lyubushkin
1:40
PK2DBryson – Pilut
0:55

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:23
ARILawson Crouse (Matias Maccelli)wrist0.06 xG
ARI: Bjugstad, Crouse, Välimäki, Maccelli, MoserBUF: Clague, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Peterka, Power
ARI 1 – 0 BUF
14:26
BUFTage ThompsonPP (Rasmus Dahlin, Jack Quinn)snap0.11 xG
ARI: Brown, Fischer, McBain, MoserBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn
ARI 1 – 1 BUF
17:30
ARIMatias MaccelliPP (Juuso Välimäki, Barrett Hayton)deflected0.12 xG
ARI: Crouse, Välimäki, Hayton, Maccelli, GuentherBUF: Tuch, Dahlin, Lyubushkin, Cozens
ARI 2 – 1 BUF

3rd period

2:24
ARILiam O'Brien (J.J. Moser, Clayton Keller)snap0.03 xG
ARI: Boyd, O'Brien, Keller, Välimäki, MoserBUF: Olofsson, Asplund, Bryson, Dahlin, Cozens
ARI 3 – 1 BUF
17:50
ARIClayton KellerEN (Liam O'Brien, Travis Boyd)wrist0.51 xG
ARI: Nemeth, Boyd, O'Brien, Keller, StecherBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens, Power
ARI 4 – 1 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Arizona Coyotes

ARI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Bjugstad C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.22	1	0	0	19:01	—	—	46	24
Lawson Crouse L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.10	1	0	4	18:02	—	—	57	40
Matias Maccelli L	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.17	0	1	0	17:04	—	—	46	31
Christian Fischer R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	18:14	—	—	14	6
Jack McBain C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	1	0	2	13:30	—	—	17	13
Nick Ritchie L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	1	2	11:56	—	—	21	24
Clayton Keller R	L3	1	1	2	+2	1	0.52	1	0	0	20:20	—	—	32	29
Travis Boyd C	L3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.15	0	0	0	16:23	—	—	21	15
Liam O'Brien C	L3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.06	3	1	0	11:17	—	—	22	16
J.J. Moser D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	1	0	24:22	—	—	48	36
Juuso Välimäki D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.08	0	1	0	19:06	—	—	52	43
Joshua Brown D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	2	0	19:41	—	—	29	27
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	1	0	19:03	—	—	22	14
Troy Stecher D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:29	—	—	25	17
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:23	—	—	13	1
Barrett Hayton C	—	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:47	—	—	42	58
Dylan Guenther R	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	11:20	—	—	27	20
Dysin Mayo D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	7:32	—	—	13	25

ARI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Karel Vejmelka(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	3.77	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.51	0	0	0	19:03	—	—	75	73
Dylan Cozens C	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:42	—	—	59	53
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.32	1	0	0	16:40	—	—	71	63
Tage Thompson C	L2	1	0	1	-2	4	0.52	0	0	0	16:45	—	—	77	89
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.91	0	0	0	16:41	—	—	81	93
JJ Peterka R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	0	0	14:11	—	—	67	79
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	2	13:07	—	—	80	59
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	2	0	2	12:08	—	—	67	68
Jack Quinn R	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	11:41	—	—	68	74
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.30	0	0	0	14:03	—	—	63	84
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	13:33	—	—	68	90
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	4	10:58	—	—	50	69
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.16	0	0	2	27:37	—	—	77	81
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	19:22	—	—	73	75
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.26	0	1	0	23:15	—	—	73	77
Kale Clague D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	0	0	14:37	—	—	50	46
Lawrence Pilut D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	2	0	16:32	—	—	75	96
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	2	0	13:32	—	—	47	70

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Eric Comrie(start)	L	23	20	3	.870	1.36	59:53

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.