New Jersey Devils vs. Buffalo SabresJan 8, 2019

FinalTuesday, Jan 8, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NJD	1	0	0	1		NJD	5	9	7	21
BUF	0	5	0	5		BUF	11	15	7	33

: NJD 45BUF 65
: NJD 2.08BUF 2.06
PP goals: NJD 0BUF 0
Hits: NJD 11BUF 13
Blocks: NJD 19BUF 11
PIM: NJD 14BUF 20
: NJD 46%BUF 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres rout New Jersey Devils 5–1

Buffalo Sabres beat New Jersey Devils 5–1 at home. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for BUF: Sheary–Reinhart–Rodrigues skated 12:08 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (72.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for BUF: Sheary–Reinhart–Rodrigues skated 12:08 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (72.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sheary Reinhart Rodrigues
Luck
BUF scored 5 goals on 2.06 expected goals (65 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Sobotka–Skinner–Thompson skated 11:17 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sobotka Skinner Thompson
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Girgensons–Mittelstadt skated 7:47 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Girgensons Mittelstadt
Usage
Johan Larsson (BUF) played 18:07, +3:53 up on his 14:14 season average over 72 games.Larsson
Usage
Miles Wood (NJD) played 17:33, +3:55 up on his 13:38 season average over 62 games.Wood
Usage
Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF) played 20:59, −3:42 down on his 24:41 season average over 77 games.Ristolainen
Usage
Tage Thompson (BUF) played 15:41, +3:37 up on his 12:04 season average over 64 games.Thompson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NJD attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
NJD
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · BUF 65 · NJD 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
NJD
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
NJD pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NJD 24% of the game, BUF 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

NJD

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NJD	BUF
	38	71
	1.74	2.12
	1.68	2.08
	12	14
	2	1
	7	12
	−0.041	+0.041
	24%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New Jersey Devils

L1Zajac – Coleman – Wood
12:2838% CF
L2Palmieri – Bratt – Hischier
10:3332% CF
L3Pietila – Noesen – Zacha
6:309% CF
L4Boyle – Stafford – Seney
4:3350% CF
D1Vatanen – Santini
13:4728% CF
D2Greene – Severson
13:3835% CF
D3Lovejoy – Butcher
11:1538% CF

PP1Boyle – Zajac – Palmieri – Butcher – Zacha
4:2078% CF
PP2Vatanen – Severson – Wood – Bratt – Hischier
2:4075% CF
PK1FZajac – Coleman
1:05
PK2FBoyle – Zacha
0:41
PK1DGreene – Lovejoy
1:46
PK2DVatanen – Severson
0:14

Current NJD line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Sheary – Reinhart – Rodrigues
12:0873% CF
L2Sobotka – Skinner – Thompson
11:1760% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Smith
11:1272% CF
L4Pominville – Girgensons – Mittelstadt
7:4757% CF
D1Bogosian – Dahlin
16:0971% CF
D2Scandella – McCabe
14:0667% CF
D3Ristolainen – Pilut
13:0963% CF

PP1Okposo – Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Thompson
1:21100% CF
PP2Pominville – Sheary – Mittelstadt – Dahlin – Pilut
0:3950% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
3:06
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
1:42
PK1DBogosian – McCabe
4:26
PK2DScandella – Ristolainen
2:45

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:28
NJDBlake Coleman (Miles Wood, Travis Zajac)tip-in0.05 xG
NJD: Zajac, Vatanen, Coleman, Wood, SantiniBUF: Sobotka, Skinner, Ristolainen, Thompson, Pilut
NJD 1 – 0 BUF

2nd period

1:39
BUFJeff Skinner (Tage Thompson)wrist0.07 xG
NJD: Lovejoy, Palmieri, Santini, Bratt, HischierBUF: Sobotka, Skinner, Ristolainen, Thompson, Pilut
NJD 1 – 1 BUF
4:14
BUFC.J. Smith (Johan Larsson, Kyle Okposo)wrist0.02 xG
NJD: Zajac, Vatanen, Coleman, Wood, SantiniBUF: Okposo, Larsson, Ristolainen, Smith, Pilut
NJD 1 – 2 BUF
10:42
BUFCasey Mittelstadt (Zach Bogosian, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.06 xG
NJD: Greene, Palmieri, Severson, Bratt, HischierBUF: Pominville, Bogosian, Girgensons, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
NJD 1 – 3 BUF
16:00
BUFJake McCabeSH (Evan Rodrigues, Vladimir Sobotka)snap0.19 xG
NJD: Boyle, Zajac, Palmieri, Butcher, ZachaBUF: Sobotka, Bogosian, McCabe, Rodrigues
NJD 1 – 4 BUF
17:45
BUFLawrence Pilut (Conor Sheary, Rasmus Ristolainen)slap0.03 xG
NJD: Stafford, Greene, Pietila, Santini, SeneyBUF: Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Pilut
NJD 1 – 5 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New Jersey Devils

NJD skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Travis Zajac C	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:51	—	—	39	32
Miles Wood L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.11	0	1	10	17:33	—	—	33	24
Blake Coleman L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.08	2	3	0	17:02	—	—	36	32
Kyle Palmieri C	L2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.11	0	1	0	18:13	—	—	26	39
Nico Hischier C	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.36	0	0	0	17:28	—	—	40	47
Jesper Bratt L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	0	1	0	14:59	—	—	38	51
Pavel Zacha C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	1	1	0	16:11	—	—	32	60
Blake Pietila L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	3	1	0	12:47	—	—	25	47
Stefan Noesen R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	2	4	11:03	—	—	17	44
Brian Boyle C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	1	0	14:59	—	—	50	63
Drew Stafford R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	0	0	0	10:49	—	—	58	62
Brett Seney L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:39	—	—	31	45
Sami Vatanen D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	0	2	0	20:32	—	—	34	54
Steven Santini D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.05	0	0	0	17:10	—	—	27	40
Damon Severson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.22	1	0	0	21:00	—	—	36	20
Andy Greene D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	2	0	20:07	—	—	38	40
Will Butcher D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	2	0	19:26	—	—	44	73
Ben Lovejoy D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	17:20	—	—	33	42

NJD goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Keith Kinkaid(start)	L	33	28	5	.848	2.06	59:51

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evan Rodrigues C	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.15	1	2	2	16:25	—	—	67	54
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	0	0	14:45	—	—	76	56
Conor Sheary L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	0	0	0	14:23	—	—	76	57
Jeff Skinner L	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.30	0	0	2	16:38	—	—	63	61
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	1	1	0	6	0.34	1	0	0	15:41	—	—	61	57
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	15:25	—	—	64	63
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	1	0	0	18:07	—	—	68	50
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.16	2	0	0	13:55	—	—	75	50
C.J. Smith L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.05	0	0	0	12:18	—	—	72	38
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	1	0	14:41	—	—	44	55
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.21	1	0	2	11:25	—	—	59	47
Jason Pominville R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:32	—	—	50	57
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.06	0	1	0	21:57	—	—	67	43
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.08	0	0	2	20:13	—	—	67	42
Jake McCabe D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	1	3	0	20:08	—	—	63	57
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	1	0	19:54	—	—	68	78
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	4	2	2	20:59	—	—	61	67
Lawrence Pilut D	D3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.07	0	1	10	16:09	—	—	58	45

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	21	20	1	.952	2.08	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.