New Jersey Devils vs. Buffalo SabresOct 5, 2019

FinalSaturday, Oct 5, 2019· KeyBank Center

away

New Jersey DevilsNJD

2

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NJD	0	1	1	2		NJD	4	8	8	20
BUF	2	3	2	7		BUF	15	12	9	36

: NJD 39BUF 60
: NJD 2.27BUF 3.40
PP goals: NJD 0BUF 3
Hits: NJD 11BUF 14
Blocks: NJD 11BUF 10
PIM: NJD 20BUF 16
: NJD 51%BUF 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres rout New Jersey Devils 7–2

Buffalo Sabres beat New Jersey Devils 7–2 at home. Jack Eichel (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 2A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 3 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 4:10 together.

Points
Jack Eichel had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:47.Eichel
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had 3 assists (3 points) in 20:04.Dahlin
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 3 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 4:10 together.Skinner Reinhart Olofsson Eichel Dahlin
Points
Sam Reinhart had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:37.Reinhart
Points
Victor Olofsson had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:28.Olofsson
Points
Jeff Skinner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 17:13.Skinner
Luck
BUF scored 7 goals on 3.41 expected goals (60 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for NJD: Gusev–Zacha–Boqvist skated 9:35 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (30.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gusev Zacha Boqvist

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NJD attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
NJD
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · BUF 60 · NJD 39

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
NJD
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
NJD pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NJD 18% of the game, BUF 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

NJD

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NJD	BUF
	38	55
	1.94	2.28
	1.88	2.24
	7	8
	2	7
	10	7
	+0.002	−0.002
	18%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New Jersey Devils

L1Palmieri – Hall – Hischier
9:5972% CF
L2Gusev – Zacha – Boqvist
9:3531% CF
L3Wood – Bratt – Hughes
9:2517% CF
L4Zajac – Simmonds – Coleman
8:3627% CF
D1Vatanen – Butcher
10:2031% CF
D2Greene – Subban
9:0250% CF
D3Severson – Mueller
7:5930% CF

PP1Zajac – Subban – Simmonds – Palmieri – Hall
2:04100% CF
PP2Gusev – Butcher – Bratt – Hischier – Hughes
1:48
PK1FZajac – Coleman
1:41
PK2FZacha – Hischier
0:49
PK1DGreene – Severson
3:03
PK2DSubban – Mueller
0:48

Current NJD line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
13:2146% CF
L2Sobotka – Johansson – Skinner
11:0065% CF
L3Vesey – Sheary – Mittelstadt
9:1250% CF
L4Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
8:2980% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
17:0544% CF
D2Scandella – Jokiharju
14:1772% CF
D3Miller – Dahlin
13:3162% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
4:10100% CF
PP2Johansson – Miller – Ristolainen – Sheary – Mittelstadt
0:52100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:45
PK2FSobotka – Vesey
1:42
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
1:45
PK2DScandella – Jokiharju
1:42

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:56
BUFVictor OlofssonPP (Jack Eichel, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.12 xG
NJD: Subban, Mueller, Zacha, HischierBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
NJD 0 – 1 BUF
17:26
BUFJack EichelPP (Jeff Skinner)wrist0.14 xG
NJD: Greene, Severson, Zacha, HischierBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
NJD 0 – 2 BUF

2nd period

0:37
NJDKyle Palmieri (Taylor Hall, Nico Hischier)wrist0.10 xG
NJD: Greene, Subban, Palmieri, Hall, HischierBUF: McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel
NJD 1 – 2 BUF
2:49
BUFKyle Okposo (Rasmus Dahlin, Zemgus Girgensons)tip-in0.07 xG
NJD: Severson, Wood, Mueller, Bratt, HughesBUF: Okposo, Larsson, Miller, Girgensons, Dahlin
NJD 1 – 3 BUF
8:57
BUFJeff Skinner (Marcus Johansson, Marco Scandella)snap0.14 xG
NJD: Subban, Severson, Gusev, Wood, HughesBUF: Sobotka, Scandella, Johansson, Skinner, Miller
NJD 1 – 4 BUF
13:33
BUFVictor OlofssonPP (Jack Eichel, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.37 xG
NJD: Subban, Mueller, Bratt, HischierBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
NJD 1 – 5 BUF

3rd period

0:58
NJDTravis Zajac (Blake Coleman, Damon Severson)wrist0.10 xG
NJD: Zajac, Coleman, Severson, Butcher, WoodBUF: Sobotka, Scandella, Johansson, Skinner, Jokiharju
NJD 2 – 5 BUF
3:56
BUFSam Reinhart (Jake McCabe, Rasmus Ristolainen)wrist0.06 xG
NJD: Vatanen, Hall, Coleman, Butcher, HischierBUF: McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel
NJD 2 – 6 BUF
16:16
BUFSam Reinhartbackhand0.10 xG
NJD: Subban, Simmonds, Butcher, Zacha, BoqvistBUF: Vesey, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
NJD 2 – 7 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New Jersey Devils

NJD skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nico Hischier C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.15	1	1	0	16:52	—	—	61	51
Taylor Hall L	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.38	2	0	0	15:54	—	—	58	52
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.31	1	0	0	14:51	—	—	70	53
Nikita Gusev L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	0	0	0	15:52	—	—	40	53
Pavel Zacha C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:05	—	—	38	67
Jesper Boqvist C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	2	0	12:16	—	—	38	67
Miles Wood L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	1	0	0	15:27	—	—	33	39
Jack Hughes C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.14	0	0	0	14:23	—	—	19	8
Jesper Bratt L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:40	—	—	13	1
Travis Zajac C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	17:55	—	—	32	51
Blake Coleman L	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.31	2	0	4	15:46	—	—	33	54
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.28	1	0	4	11:35	—	—	23	33
Sami Vatanen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	19:55	—	—	36	42
Will Butcher D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	19:29	—	—	39	30
Andy Greene D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	2	0	20:30	—	—	54	59
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	10	19:28	—	—	39	33
Damon Severson D	D3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	20:27	—	—	48	55
Mirco Mueller D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	15:48	—	—	27	61

NJD goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mackenzie Blackwood(start)	L	36	29	7	.806	3.40	59:46

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	2	0	2	+1	3	0.34	0	0	0	20:37	—	—	47	49
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	2	3	0	3	0.35	1	2	0	19:47	—	—	52	52
Victor Olofsson L	L1	2	0	2	0	4	0.84	0	0	0	19:28	—	—	46	48
Jeff Skinner L	L2	1	1	2	0	6	0.60	1	1	0	17:13	—	—	70	61
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:37	—	—	67	61
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	1	0	14:11	—	—	67	56
Jimmy Vesey L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:22	—	—	50	40
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	11:57	—	—	53	38
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.33	0	1	0	11:46	—	—	47	37
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	+1	3	0.16	0	0	0	13:16	—	—	77	83
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	12:38	—	—	82	97
Kyle Okposo R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.22	1	0	10	10:05	—	—	85	98
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.08	4	1	0	23:27	—	—	50	42
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	3	3	2	19:25	—	—	41	37
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	18:19	—	—	78	76
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	0	0	17:35	—	—	74	71
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	3	3	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	20:04	—	—	63	47
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.19	1	1	2	17:13	—	—	58	52

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	20	18	2	.900	2.27	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.