Anaheim Ducks vs. Tampa Bay LightningNov 27, 2018

FinalTuesday, Nov 27, 2018· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
ANA	0	1	2	3		ANA	9	6	7	22
TBL	0	1	0	1		TBL	10	11	14	35

: ANA 42TBL 62
: ANA 1.76TBL 3.65
PP goals: ANA 1TBL 0
Hits: ANA 22TBL 29
Blocks: ANA 13TBL 8
PIM: ANA 8TBL 6
: ANA 50%TBL 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Anaheim Ducks beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–1

Anaheim Ducks beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–1 at TBL. Nick Ritchie (ANA) led the scoring with 1G 1A. ANA's first power-play unit (Kesler, Welinski, Aberg, Ritchie and Kase) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:13 together.

Points
Nick Ritchie had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:19.Ritchie
Points
Pontus Aberg had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 11:07.Aberg
PP1
ANA's first power-play unit (Kesler, Welinski, Aberg, Ritchie and Kase) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:13 together.Kesler Welinski Aberg Ritchie Kase
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 3.65 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for ANA: Gibbons–Aberg–Rowney skated 8:01 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gibbons Aberg Rowney
Goalie
Ryan Miller (ANA) faced 35 shots and stopped 34 (.971), +6 against a season average of 28.9; the win.Miller
Usage
Josh Manson (ANA) played 26:51, +4:36 up on his 22:15 season average over 73 games.Manson
Usage
Pontus Aberg (ANA) played 11:07, −3:32 down on his 14:39 season average over 58 games.Aberg

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← ANA attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
ANA
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 104 of 104 attempts · TBL 62 · ANA 42

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
ANA
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
ANA pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: ANA 24% of the game, TBL 51%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

ANA

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	ANA	TBL
	43	59
	1.71	3.09
	1.66	2.82
	13	7
	4	10
	12	8
	+0.012	−0.012
	24%	51%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Anaheim Ducks

L1Getzlaf – Silfverberg – Rakell
13:4534% CF
L2Henrique – Ritchie – Kase
10:2947% CF
L3Kesler – Cogliano – Sherwood
10:0235% CF
L4Gibbons – Aberg – Rowney
8:0156% CF
D1Manson – Larsson
16:0829% CF
D2Welinski – Montour
10:2461% CF
D3Dotchin – Pettersson
7:5860% CF

PP1Kesler – Welinski – Aberg – Ritchie – Kase
2:13100% CF
PP2Getzlaf – Henrique – Silfverberg – Rakell – Montour
2:00100% CF
PK1FKesler – Silfverberg
1:05
PK2FCogliano – Henrique
1:00
PK1DMontour – Larsson
1:26
PK2DManson – Pettersson
0:49

Current ANA line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Kucherov – Point
14:2463% CF
L2Stamkos – Miller – Gourde
10:4748% CF
L3Callahan – Paquette – Erne
8:4450% CF
L4Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
6:4070% CF
D1Girardi – Hedman
15:0561% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
14:2267% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
12:1950% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller – Point
3:3180% CF
PP2Killorn – Johnson – Gourde – Erne – Sergachev
1:53
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:18
PK2FCallahan – Paquette
0:44
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:47
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
1:21

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

12:04
ANAJosh Manson (Adam Henrique, Nick Ritchie)wrist0.12 xG
ANA: Henrique, Manson, Ritchie, Kase, LarssonTBL: Coburn, Callahan, Stamkos, Gourde, Sergachev
ANA 1 – 0 TBL
18:34
TBLBrayden Point (Nikita Kucherov, Ryan McDonagh)wrist0.13 xG
ANA: Getzlaf, Silfverberg, Manson, Rakell, LarssonTBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak
ANA 1 – 1 TBL

3rd period

4:51
ANANick RitchiePP (Pontus Aberg, Ondrej Kase)backhand0.11 xG
ANA: Kesler, Welinski, Aberg, Ritchie, KaseTBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli
ANA 2 – 1 TBL
5:39
ANACarter Rowney (Marcus Pettersson, Pontus Aberg)backhand0.07 xG
ANA: Gibbons, Aberg, Dotchin, Rowney, PetterssonTBL: Coburn, Callahan, Paquette, Erne, Sergachev
ANA 3 – 1 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Anaheim Ducks

ANA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jakob Silfverberg R	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	21:07	—	—	38	33
Rickard Rakell R	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.46	1	0	0	18:04	—	—	38	34
Ryan Getzlaf C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	3	2	2	17:33	—	—	33	29
Adam Henrique C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	0	1	0	15:29	—	—	53	52
Ondrej Kase R	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	0	0	0	13:34	—	—	44	43
Nick Ritchie L	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.11	4	0	0	13:19	—	—	50	43
Ryan Kesler C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	1	0	19:30	—	—	39	29
Kiefer Sherwood L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:48	—	—	40	31
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	0	0	11:28	—	—	35	25
Carter Rowney C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.14	1	0	0	12:08	—	—	60	54
Pontus Aberg L	L4	0	2	2	+1	4	0.29	0	0	0	11:07	—	—	64	64
Brian Gibbons C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	2	10:34	—	—	56	53
Josh Manson D	D1	1	0	1	0	1	0.12	2	4	2	26:51	—	—	32	36
Jacob Larsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	20:32	—	—	32	29
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	2	25:04	—	—	45	29
Andy Welinski D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	0	0	14:55	—	—	68	59
Marcus Pettersson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	18:36	—	—	52	47
Jake Dotchin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	4	0	0	10:21	—	—	38	22

ANA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ryan Miller(start)	W	35	34	1	.971	3.65	60:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.26	1	0	4	22:45	—	—	68	65
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	+1	7	0.94	0	0	2	20:55	—	—	62	63
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.26	1	0	0	20:36	—	—	66	65
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.25	1	0	0	19:59	—	—	48	50
J.T. Miller C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.18	2	0	0	18:37	—	—	48	55
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	1	2	0	16:07	—	—	46	46
Ryan Callahan R	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.25	1	1	0	12:04	—	—	44	48
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	10:59	—	—	46	61
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	6	1	0	10:42	—	—	50	61
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	12:42	—	—	71	95
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	0	0	0	6	0.27	1	0	0	12:00	—	—	73	98
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	9:25	—	—	69	98
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.44	1	1	0	24:18	—	—	56	70
Dan Girardi D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	18:10	—	—	59	80
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	1	1	0	19:33	—	—	61	64
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	5	1	0	18:10	—	—	68	75
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.08	2	0	0	17:30	—	—	52	47
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	0	0	0	13:37	—	—	50	45

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Louis Domingue(start)	L	22	19	3	.864	1.76	57:13

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.