Calgary Flames vs. Colorado AvalancheFeb 28, 2018

FinalWednesday, Feb 28, 2018· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CGY	1	1	0	2		CGY	7	12	13	32
COL	0	4	1	5		COL	11	18	5	34

: CGY 67COL 44
: CGY 2.76COL 2.55
PP goals: CGY 0COL 1
Hits: CGY 16COL 13
Blocks: CGY 5COL 24
PIM: CGY 31COL 17
: CGY 56%COL 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Calgary Flames 5–2

Colorado Avalanche beat Calgary Flames 5–2 at home. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Jost) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 6:45 together.

Points
Mikael Backlund had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:58.Backlund
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 8 shots in 20:30.MacKinnon
Points
Tyson Barrie had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 24:40.Barrie
Points
Blake Comeau had 2 assists (2 points) in 16:08.Comeau
Points
Carl Soderberg had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:28.Soderberg
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Jost) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 6:45 together.Barrie Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen Jost
Luck
COL scored 5 goals on 2.55 expected goals (44 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Mikael Backlund (CGY) played 23:58, +5:00 up on his 18:58 season average over 81 games.Backlund

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · COL 44 · CGY 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 29% of the game, COL 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	COL
	53	35
	1.90	1.45
	1.79	1.43
	10	5
	7	4
	2	7
	+0.037	−0.037
	29%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
8:2856% CF
L2Gaudreau – Monahan – Bennett
7:1447% CF
L3Stajan – Glass – Stewart
5:3780% CF
L4Brouwer – Jankowski – Hathaway
3:1250% CF
D1Hamonic – Brodie
11:2543% CF
D2Giordano – Hamilton
10:2676% CF
D3Stone – Kulak
8:4754% CF

PP1Giordano – Gaudreau – Hamilton – Monahan – Tkachuk
5:1088% CF
PP2Brouwer – Backlund – Stone – Brodie – Bennett
2:06100% CF
PK1FBrouwer – Backlund
4:52
PK2FStajan – Frolik
3:12
PK1DGiordano – Hamonic
7:13
PK2DStone – Brodie
3:14

Current CGY line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
10:4038% CF
L2Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
7:5847% CF
L3Bourque – Toninato – Compher
4:000% CF
L4Wilson – Kerfoot – Jost
3:3450% CF
D1Nemeth – Girard
7:4748% CF
D2Barrie – Zadorov
6:5245% CF
D3Warsofsky – Siemens
4:5125% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
6:4580% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Compher – Girard
3:1650% CF
PK1FBourque – Nieto
1:54
PK2FComeau – Soderberg
1:49
PK1DNemeth – Zadorov
2:32
PK2DWarsofsky – Siemens
0:00

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Backlund C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.28	0	0	0	23:58	—	—	67	54
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	0	5	1.06	2	0	6	19:45	—	—	69	69
Michael Frolik R	L1	1	0	1	-1	5	0.20	0	1	0	15:50	—	—	60	57
Sean Monahan C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	0	0	2	19:10	—	—	55	16
Sam Bennett C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	2	0	0	16:51	—	—	60	47
Johnny Gaudreau L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	1	12	14:40	—	—	55	26
Matt Stajan C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	1	0	0	10:12	—	—	75	95
Chris Stewart R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:34	—	—	78	73
Tanner Glass L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	7	6:22	—	—	80	76
Troy Brouwer R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:20	—	—	54	32
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:43	—	—	50	67
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	0	0	8:56	—	—	50	80
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	1	0	0	22:46	—	—	46	33
Travis Hamonic D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	1	0	22:40	—	—	47	42
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	+1	5	0.16	0	0	0	27:38	—	—	68	73
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	0	0	2	19:33	—	—	79	78
Michael Stone D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	3	2	2	16:37	—	—	44	7
Brett Kulak D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.02	0	0	0	10:40	—	—	67	45

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
David Rittich(start)	L	33	29	4	.879	2.11	58:03

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Carl Soderberg C	L1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.34	1	0	0	19:28	—	—	39	51
Matt Nieto L	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.23	0	1	0	16:22	—	—	35	33
Blake Comeau L	L1	0	2	2	0	0	0.00	3	1	6	16:08	—	—	38	33
Gabriel Landeskog L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	2	2	0	20:55	—	—	52	70
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	1	1	2	+1	8	0.59	0	0	0	20:30	—	—	52	62
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.33	0	0	0	18:32	—	—	55	83
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	2	0	15:25	—	—	8	37
Gabriel Bourque L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	10:05	—	—	18	9
Dominic Toninato C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:13	—	—	0	0
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	0	2	0	14:21	—	—	53	58
Colin Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:34	—	—	41	28
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:17	—	—	47	63
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	+2	6	0.17	0	2	2	21:13	—	—	45	29
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	18:16	—	—	38	46
Tyson Barrie D	D2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.08	1	4	0	24:40	—	—	44	62
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.04	3	2	2	20:15	—	—	42	41
Duncan Siemens D	D3	1	0	1	0	1	0.44	1	2	7	13:25	—	—	33	23
David Warsofsky D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	11:21	—	—	28	38

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	32	30	2	.938	2.76	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Calgary Flames vs. Colorado AvalancheFeb 28, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Colorado Avalanche beat Calgary Flames 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Calgary Flames

Colorado Avalanche

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Calgary Flames

Colorado Avalanche