Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple LeafsDec 6, 2017

Final / SOWednesday, Dec 6, 2017· Air Canada Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CGY	1	0	0	0	0	1		CGY	14	12	17	5	48
TOR	0	1	0	0	1	2		TOR	12	9	7	1	29

: CGY 77TOR 74
: CGY 4.45TOR 3.77
PP goals: CGY 1TOR 0
Hits: CGY 23TOR 15
Blocks: CGY 24TOR 12
PIM: CGY 8TOR 4
: CGY 43%TOR 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Calgary Flames 2–1 (SO)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 2–1 in a shootout at home. Mark Giordano (CGY) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 48 shots and stopped 47 (.979), +15 against a season average of 33.5; the win.

Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 48 shots and stopped 47 (.979), +15 against a season average of 33.5; the win.Andersen
Luck
CGY scored 1 goal on 4.45 expected goals (77 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 3.77 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for CGY: Stajan–Brouwer–Lazar skated 7:23 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (55% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stajan Brouwer Lazar
Usage
Jake Gardiner (TOR) played 26:19, +3:50 up on his 22:29 season average over 81 games.Gardiner
Usage
Micheal Ferland (CGY) played 19:12, +4:14 up on his 14:58 season average over 76 games.Ferland
Usage
Patrick Marleau (TOR) played 20:53, +3:57 up on his 16:56 season average over 81 games.Marleau
Usage
Brett Kulak (CGY) played 16:09, +3:13 up on his 12:56 season average over 70 games.Kulak

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 151 of 151 attempts · TOR 74 · CGY 77

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 36% of the game, TOR 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	TOR
	73	67
	3.01	2.52
	2.79	2.40
	12	11
	13	10
	20	17
	−0.071	+0.071
	36%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
14:2147% CF
L2Ferland – Gaudreau – Monahan
14:0263% CF
L3Jankowski – Hathaway – Bennett
9:1450% CF
L4Stajan – Brouwer – Lazar
7:2355% CF
D1Giordano – Hamilton
16:4759% CF
D2Hamonic – Brodie
16:3045% CF
D3Stone – Kulak
12:2762% CF

PP1Brouwer – Brodie – Ferland – Gaudreau – Monahan
2:54100% CF
PP2Giordano – Frolik – Backlund – Hamilton – Tkachuk
0:16
PK1FFrolik – Backlund
2:33
PK2FStajan – Brouwer
2:03
PK1DGiordano – Hamonic
2:18
PK2DStone – Brodie
1:24

Current CGY line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Brown – Matthews
10:1564% CF
L2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Marner
10:1552% CF
L3Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
7:1535% CF
L4Moore – Martin – Nylander
4:3120% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
17:2054% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
12:4552% CF
D3Polak – Borgman
12:1735% CF

PP1Marleau – Komarov – Gardiner – Nylander – Matthews
3:05100% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:1075% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
2:04
PK2FMoore – Brown
0:33
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:24
PK2DPolak – Rielly
0:15

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:37
CGYMark GiordanoPP (Sean Monahan, Troy Brouwer)wrist0.04 xG
CGY: Giordano, Brouwer, Ferland, Gaudreau, MonahanTOR: Hainsey, Moore, Rielly, Brown
CGY 1 – 0 TOR

2nd period

18:47
TORMorgan Riellysnap0.01 xG
CGY: Giordano, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton, MonahanTOR: Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews
CGY 1 – 1 TOR

Decided in the shootout: CGY 1 – 2 TOR.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Backlund C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	2	0	0	20:47	—	—	45	27
Michael Frolik R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	2	1	0	19:47	—	—	50	63
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	16:03	—	—	48	30
Johnny Gaudreau L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.99	1	1	4	21:15	—	—	66	90
Sean Monahan C	L2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.65	0	2	0	20:37	—	—	63	82
Micheal Ferland L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.55	1	0	0	19:12	—	—	58	67
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	1	0	13:30	—	—	48	36
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	13:19	—	—	48	34
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	1	0	10:15	—	—	46	33
Troy Brouwer R	L4	0	1	1	0	4	0.17	1	1	0	12:29	—	—	55	48
Matt Stajan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	10:13	—	—	55	49
Curtis Lazar C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	8:08	—	—	55	49
Mark Giordano D	D1	1	0	1	-1	6	0.25	2	1	2	24:39	—	—	56	59
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.79	3	3	2	19:24	—	—	56	70
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	2	0	0	24:38	—	—	44	31
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	4	0	23:15	—	—	43	32
Brett Kulak D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	2	0	16:09	—	—	57	67
Michael Stone D	D3	0	0	0	0	5	0.15	2	4	0	15:20	—	—	62	52

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	O	29	28	1	.966	3.77	65:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	+1	2	0.20	0	2	0	20:52	—	—	46	13
Connor Brown R	L1	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:51	—	—	43	28
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:41	—	—	53	16
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	3	0.62	0	1	0	16:44	—	—	50	56
Tyler Bozak C	L2	0	0	0	4	0.25	0	0	0	16:34	—	—	53	63
James van Riemsdyk L	L2	0	0	0	1	0.46	0	0	0	15:35	—	—	53	65
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	2	0	20:53	—	—	48	70
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	7	0.94	0	0	0	17:50	—	—	49	71
Leo Komarov R	L3	0	0	0	2	0.29	3	1	0	15:01	—	—	48	67
William Nylander R	L4	0	0	+1	2	0.27	0	0	0	17:39	—	—	47	32
Dominic Moore C	L4	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:17	—	—	37	28
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	0.14	2	0	2	7:51	—	—	41	42
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	4	0.15	1	1	2	26:19	—	—	55	78
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	0	0.22	1	1	0	24:40	—	—	52	69
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	+1	0	0.03	0	0	0	20:02	—	—	47	20
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	1	+1	1	0.07	0	0	0	19:11	—	—	56	21
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	15:01	—	—	37	45
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.02	4	1	0	14:21	—	—	38	39

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	48	47	1	.979	4.45	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.