Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 29, 2018

FinalMonday, Oct 29, 2018· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CGY	0	0	3	3		CGY	12	12	10	34
TOR	0	0	1	1		TOR	4	11	10	25

: CGY 56TOR 58
: CGY 3.33TOR 2.63
PP goals: CGY 1TOR 1
Hits: CGY 22TOR 31
Blocks: CGY 13TOR 10
PIM: CGY 8TOR 8
: CGY 51%TOR 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–1

Calgary Flames beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–1 at TOR. Elias Lindholm (CGY) led the scoring with 1G 1A. CGY's first power-play unit (Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:21 together.

Points
Elias Lindholm had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 19:45.Lindholm
Points
Sean Monahan had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:15.Monahan
PP1
CGY's first power-play unit (Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:21 together.Giordano Gaudreau Lindholm Monahan Tkachuk
Usage
Nazem Kadri (TOR) played 21:14, +5:07 up on his 16:07 season average over 72 games.Kadri
New line
New look for TOR: Brown–Johnsson–Lindholm skated 6:27 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brown Johnsson Lindholm
Usage
Andreas Johnsson (TOR) played 7:20, −6:25 down on his 13:45 season average over 72 games.Johnsson
Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 2.63 expected goals (58 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Morgan Rielly (TOR) played 26:40, +3:35 up on his 23:05 season average over 81 games.Rielly

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · TOR 58 · CGY 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 42% of the game, TOR 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	TOR
	55	54
	2.59	2.12
	2.53	2.05
	10	10
	4	5
	40	31
	+0.051	−0.051
	42%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
14:1050% CF
L2Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan
11:5163% CF
L3Hathaway – Ryan – Dube
8:1833% CF
L4Neal – Jankowski – Bennett
7:4053% CF
D1Giordano – Brodie
16:5858% CF
D2Hamonic – Hanifin
13:0353% CF
D3Andersson – Välimäki
9:5250% CF

PP1Giordano – Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Tkachuk
3:21100% CF
PP2Neal – Backlund – Bennett – Hanifin – Ryan
0:31
PK1FBacklund – Lindholm
1:42
PK2FHathaway – Ryan
1:01
PK1DGiordano – Hamonic
1:42
PK2DBrodie – Välimäki
0:29

Current CGY line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kadri – Marner
11:1342% CF
L2Tavares – Hyman – Kapanen
10:1362% CF
L3Ennis – Leivo – Gauthier
6:4070% CF
L4Brown – Johnsson – Lindholm
6:2743% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
13:4959% CF
D2Gardiner – Zaitsev
12:5038% CF
D3Marincin – Ozhiganov
10:4243% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Kapanen – Marner
3:33100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Ennis – Leivo – Marner
0:24
PK1FBrown – Lindholm
1:26
PK2FTavares – Hyman
0:43
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
3:12
PK2DMarincin – Rielly
0:30

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

5:39
CGYSean MonahanPP (Elias Lindholm, Mark Giordano)wrist0.07 xG
CGY: Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, TkachukTOR: Hainsey, Brown, Zaitsev, Lindholm
CGY 1 – 0 TOR
6:34
CGYElias Lindholm (Johnny Gaudreau, Sean Monahan)wrist0.19 xG
CGY: Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, MonahanTOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
CGY 2 – 0 TOR
16:07
TORNazem KadriPP (Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.11 xG
CGY: Hamonic, Brodie, Lindholm, TkachukTOR: Marleau, Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
CGY 2 – 1 TOR
19:54
CGYMichael FrolikENwrist0.68 xG
CGY: Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Hanifin, TkachukTOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
CGY 3 – 1 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	0	2	20:14	—	—	50	49
Mikael Backlund C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.30	1	0	0	18:43	—	—	54	60
Michael Frolik R	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.86	1	0	0	15:22	—	—	50	53
Sean Monahan C	L2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.24	0	0	0	20:15	—	—	55	50
Johnny Gaudreau L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	19:53	—	—	55	50
Elias Lindholm C	L2	1	1	2	+1	6	0.71	0	0	0	19:45	—	—	63	57
Derek Ryan C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:09	—	—	42	36
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:31	—	—	33	40
Dillon Dube C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	0	0	9:19	—	—	50	75
Sam Bennett C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	2	1	0	11:07	—	—	48	60
James Neal L	L4	0	0	0	0	5	0.32	0	0	4	10:55	—	—	48	70
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	2	1	0	9:58	—	—	48	70
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.21	1	3	2	25:31	—	—	60	57
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.06	0	1	0	23:45	—	—	53	48
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	2	0	20:41	—	—	46	59
Noah Hanifin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	3	2	0	18:36	—	—	51	60
Juuso Välimäki D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	14:43	—	—	32	44
Rasmus Andersson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	12:29	—	—	53	57

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	2.63	59:54

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.20	2	0	0	22:35	—	—	38	39
Nazem Kadri C	L1	1	0	1	-2	1	0.27	1	0	0	21:14	—	—	40	47
Patrick Marleau C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.19	4	1	2	19:29	—	—	43	52
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.63	2	0	0	21:26	—	—	54	43
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	5	1	0	19:11	—	—	62	52
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	2	0	4	15:49	—	—	56	42
Tyler Ennis R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	0	0	9:01	—	—	70	67
Josh Leivo L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.33	1	0	0	8:58	—	—	67	61
Frederik Gauthier C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	0	0	8:16	—	—	73	73
Connor Brown R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	3	1	2	12:47	—	—	48	38
Par Lindholm C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	1	1	0	12:43	—	—	40	22
Andreas Johnsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	7:20	—	—	40	20
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.13	0	0	0	26:40	—	—	57	46
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	20:16	—	—	59	54
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.06	1	0	0	23:20	—	—	49	44
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	18:49	—	—	36	47
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:09	—	—	41	35
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:12	—	—	48	37

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	33	31	2	.939	2.65	58:27

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.