Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 20, 2021

FinalSaturday, Mar 20, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CGY	0	0	0	0		CGY	5	13	13	31
TOR	1	1	0	2		TOR	11	13	9	33

: CGY 56TOR 64
: CGY 1.99TOR 3.46
PP goals: CGY 0TOR 0
Hits: CGY 36TOR 23
Blocks: CGY 12TOR 16
PIM: CGY 8TOR 4
: CGY 54%TOR 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 2–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 2–0 at home. Zach Hyman (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for TOR: Simmonds–Marner–Matthews skated 8:25 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for TOR: Simmonds–Marner–Matthews skated 8:25 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Simmonds Marner Matthews
Luck
CGY scored 0 goals on 1.99 expected goals (56 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Dillon Dube (CGY) played 6:06, −7:41 down on his 13:47 season average over 50 games.Dube
New line
New look for CGY: Lindholm–Bennett–Tkachuk skated 6:23 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lindholm Bennett Tkachuk
New line
New look for TOR: Thornton–Spezza–Kerfoot skated 6:20 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Thornton Spezza Kerfoot
Goalie
David Rittich (CGY) faced 33 shots and stopped 31 (.939), +9 against a season average of 24.4; the loss.Rittich
Usage
Jake Muzzin (TOR) played 25:04, +3:33 up on his 21:31 season average over 52 games.Muzzin
Usage
Josh Leivo (CGY) played 4:59, −5:55 down on his 10:54 season average over 37 games.Leivo

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · TOR 64 · CGY 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 19% of the game, TOR 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	TOR
	47	56
	1.49	2.32
	1.45	2.18
	5	8
	2	6
	20	29
	+0.012	−0.012
	19%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Ritchie – Monahan
9:3933% CF
L2Lucic – Backlund – Mangiapane
9:2233% CF
L3Lindholm – Bennett – Tkachuk
6:2367% CF
L4Leivo – Ryan – Dube
1:14100% CF
D1Tanev – Hanifin
15:2246% CF
D2Giordano – Andersson
12:3246% CF
D3Nesterov – Välimäki
10:5443% CF

PP1Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Hanifin – Tkachuk
1:5433% CF
PP2Giordano – Lucic – Monahan – Mangiapane – Andersson
1:10100% CF
PK1FMangiapane – Ryan
1:58
PK2FBacklund – Lindholm
1:24
PK1DGiordano – Tanev
4:51
PK2DNesterov – Andersson
1:10

Current CGY line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Simmonds – Marner – Matthews
8:2564% CF
L2Tavares – Galchenyuk – Nylander
7:3157% CF
L3Thornton – Spezza – Kerfoot
6:2050% CF
L4Hyman – Engvall – Mikheyev
6:1262% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
16:3558% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
11:1168% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
6:4725% CF

PP1Thornton – Simmonds – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
3:12100% CF
PP2Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:4183% CF
PK1FHyman – Kerfoot
0:48
PK2FSpezza – Marner
0:38
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
2:21
PK2DBogosian – Brodie
0:43

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

18:31
TORJason Spezza (Jake Muzzin)wrist0.07 xG
CGY: Nesterov, Lindholm, Tkachuk, Dube, VälimäkiTOR: Thornton, Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot
CGY 0 – 1 TOR

2nd period

16:28
TORZach Hyman (John Tavares, Alex Galchenyuk)wrist0.10 xG
CGY: Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk, VälimäkiTOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Galchenyuk, Rielly
CGY 0 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sean Monahan C	L1	-1	2	0.27	2	1	0	19:22	—	—	43	49
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	18:01	—	—	45	54
Brett Ritchie R	L1	0	2	0.20	4	0	0	12:34	—	—	40	60
Andrew Mangiapane L	L2	0	2	0.22	4	0	0	18:11	—	—	41	28
Mikael Backlund C	L2	0	3	0.13	1	1	0	18:01	—	—	39	41
Milan Lucic L	L2	0	1	0.04	2	1	2	15:40	—	—	41	28
Matthew Tkachuk L	L3	-2	1	0.13	4	0	2	19:47	—	—	47	40
Elias Lindholm C	L3	-2	2	0.13	2	0	0	18:10	—	—	43	36
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	2	0.22	5	0	0	16:46	—	—	64	75
Derek Ryan C	L4	0	2	0.19	0	0	2	9:21	—	—	73	27
Dillon Dube C	L4	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:06	—	—	27	4
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	4:59	—	—	63	42
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	1	0.01	4	2	0	23:55	—	—	48	58
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	3	0.07	1	2	2	21:59	—	—	46	51
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	4	0.08	2	3	0	23:11	—	—	50	45
Rasmus Andersson D	D2	-1	3	0.12	1	1	0	20:48	—	—	42	30
Nikita Nesterov D	D3	-1	0	0.04	0	0	0	15:55	—	—	42	27
Juuso Välimäki D	D3	-2	0	0.01	2	0	0	12:39	—	—	42	24

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
David Rittich(start)	L	33	31	2	.939	3.21	56:35

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	2	2	0	24:14	—	—	58	58
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.42	4	3	0	21:38	—	—	64	67
Wayne Simmonds R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	2	12:42	—	—	65	67
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.49	2	0	0	15:12	—	—	50	42
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	1	0	14:47	—	—	25	12
Alex Galchenyuk C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.07	0	0	2	9:56	—	—	46	48
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.56	1	1	0	13:06	—	—	50	85
Joe Thornton C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:22	—	—	50	84
Jason Spezza C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	0	0	0	12:17	—	—	55	86
Zach Hyman L	L4	1	0	1	+1	6	0.60	3	0	0	19:00	—	—	63	68
Ilya Mikheyev R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.35	3	0	0	12:43	—	—	58	53
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	12:41	—	—	52	48
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	2	0	25:27	—	—	53	50
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.06	1	2	0	25:04	—	—	57	58
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	1	0	0	19:54	—	—	69	81
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	19:20	—	—	64	78
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	0	14:15	—	—	31	42
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	0	9:24	—	—	31	33

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	31	31	0	.1000	1.99	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.