Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 12, 2021

Final / OTFriday, Nov 12, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CGY	0	0	1	0	1		CGY	10	10	9	2	31
TOR	0	0	1	1	2		TOR	13	13	7	4	37

: CGY 56TOR 68
: CGY 2.51TOR 4.14
PP goals: CGY 0TOR 0
Hits: CGY 34TOR 16
Blocks: CGY 16TOR 14
PIM: CGY 6TOR 2
: CGY 48%TOR 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Calgary Flames 2–1 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 2–1 in overtime at home. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Dan Vladar (CGY) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +11 against a season average of 26.4; the overtime loss.

Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:59.Nylander
Goalie
Dan Vladar (CGY) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +11 against a season average of 26.4; the overtime loss.Vladar
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 4.14 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
CGY scored 1 goal on 2.51 expected goals (56 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
William Nylander (TOR) played 21:59, +3:45 up on his 18:14 season average over 80 games.Nylander
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 24:18, +3:45 up on his 20:34 season average over 72 games.Matthews
Usage
Timothy Liljegren (TOR) played 13:09, −3:18 down on his 16:27 season average over 60 games.Liljegren
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 24:03, +3:13 up on his 20:50 season average over 71 games.Marner

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · TOR 68 · CGY 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 17% of the game, TOR 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	TOR
	59	66
	2.52	3.82
	2.45	3.67
	16	14
	5	7
	26	28
	+0.003	−0.003
	17%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Lindholm – Tkachuk
11:2064% CF
L2Lewis – Backlund – Dube
10:4637% CF
L3Coleman – Monahan – Mangiapane
10:3555% CF
L4Richardson – Lucic – Pitlick
8:2640% CF
D1Hanifin – Andersson
17:4951% CF
D2Tanev – Kylington
17:0348% CF
D3Gudbranson – Zadorov
11:5048% CF

PP1Lucic – Backlund – Mangiapane – Hanifin – Dube
1:00
PP2Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Andersson – Tkachuk
0:530% CF
PK1FLewis – Coleman
2:13
PK2FBacklund – Lindholm
1:55
PK1DTanev – Gudbranson
2:15
PK2DHanifin – Andersson
1:12

Current CGY line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
9:0756% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Marner
7:3357% CF
L3Spezza – Simmonds – Ritchie
6:0950% CF
L4Engvall – Kase – Kampf
6:0163% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
17:4952% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
16:4041% CF
D3Liljegren – Sandin
11:4156% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
3:3550% CF
PP2Spezza – Ritchie – Bunting – Engvall – Sandin
2:22100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:07
PK2FKerfoot – Engvall
0:41
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
1:20
PK2DBrodie – Rielly
0:38

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

4:55
CGYOliver Kylington (Johnny Gaudreau)backhand0.12 xG
CGY: Lewis, Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, KylingtonTOR: Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner
CGY 1 – 0 TOR
12:54
TOROndrej Kase (William Nylander, Alexander Kerfoot)tip-in0.08 xG
CGY: Lewis, Backlund, Tanev, Kylington, DubeTOR: Kerfoot, Nylander, Kase, Liljegren, Sandin
CGY 1 – 1 TOR

OT period

2:32
TORAuston Matthews (William Nylander)wrist0.10 xG
CGY: Gaudreau, Lindholm, AnderssonTOR: Rielly, Nylander, Matthews
CGY 1 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Elias Lindholm C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	17:35	—	—	60	51
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	17:00	—	—	60	46
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	3	0	0	15:16	—	—	65	59
Mikael Backlund C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.26	2	0	0	17:23	—	—	36	31
Trevor Lewis C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	4	3	0	15:09	—	—	36	33
Dillon Dube C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	1	0	0	13:47	—	—	39	35
Andrew Mangiapane L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	1	0	0	16:44	—	—	52	67
Sean Monahan C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	0	2	0	15:37	—	—	52	69
Blake Coleman L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.39	2	0	0	15:22	—	—	57	72
Milan Lucic L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	6	1	0	13:04	—	—	32	17
Tyler Pitlick C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	5	0	0	12:32	—	—	35	12
Brad Richardson R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	4	0	0	10:56	—	—	43	24
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	3	0	24:10	—	—	49	48
Rasmus Andersson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	0	2	2	22:18	—	—	50	50
Chris Tanev D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.13	2	1	2	22:15	—	—	48	36
Oliver Kylington D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.29	1	1	0	19:22	—	—	43	35
Erik Gudbranson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	1	0	16:49	—	—	42	19
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	16:17	—	—	48	34

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dan Vladar(start)	O	37	35	2	.946	4.14	62:32

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+1	8	0.94	1	1	0	24:18	—	—	63	72
William Nylander R	L1	0	2	2	+2	4	0.58	0	0	0	21:59	—	—	55	61
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.39	0	0	0	13:40	—	—	58	73
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.33	0	2	0	24:03	—	—	54	77
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.64	1	1	0	20:57	—	—	48	71
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.20	1	0	0	14:05	—	—	53	62
Nick Ritchie L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	0	0	12:00	—	—	60	54
Jason Spezza C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	10:50	—	—	53	48
Wayne Simmonds R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	9:14	—	—	26	11
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:42	—	—	42	25
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	0	0	0	12:23	—	—	64	77
Ondrej Kase R	L4	1	0	1	+1	4	0.41	1	1	2	12:16	—	—	58	53
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	2	0	21:19	—	—	56	47
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	5	1	0	21:18	—	—	56	62
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.18	1	2	0	23:52	—	—	49	58
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	2	0	18:19	—	—	42	49
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	0	0	18:14	—	—	59	73
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	1	0	13:09	—	—	57	68

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	31	30	1	.968	2.51	62:30

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.