Calgary Flames vs. Nashville PredatorsOct 24, 2017

Final / SOTuesday, Oct 24, 2017· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CGY	0	0	2	0	1	3		CGY	11	11	8	2	32
NSH	2	0	0	0	0	2		NSH	9	12	5	4	30

: CGY 69NSH 47
: CGY 3.97NSH 2.69
PP goals: CGY 0NSH 2
Hits: CGY 21NSH 22
Blocks: CGY 11NSH 20
PIM: CGY 6NSH 8
: CGY 45%NSH 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames edge Nashville Predators 3–2 (SO)

Calgary Flames beat Nashville Predators 3–2 in a shootout at NSH. Roman Josi (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NSH's first power-play unit (Hartnell, Subban, Josi, Johansen and Forsberg) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 2:46 together.

Points
Roman Josi had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 27:00.Josi
Points
Dougie Hamilton had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:44.Hamilton
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Hartnell, Subban, Josi, Johansen and Forsberg) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 2:46 together.Hartnell Subban Josi Johansen Forsberg
Luck
CGY scored 2 goals on 3.97 expected goals (69 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Dougie Hamilton (CGY) played 16:44, −4:51 down on his 21:35 season average over 81 games.Hamilton
New line
New look for CGY: Jankowski–Lazar–Bennett skated 8:41 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (70.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jankowski Lazar Bennett
New line
New look for CGY: Stajan–Versteeg–Brouwer skated 8:16 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stajan Versteeg Brouwer
Usage
P.K. Subban (NSH) played 28:29, +4:25 up on his 24:04 season average over 81 games.Subban

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · NSH 47 · CGY 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 46% of the game, NSH 18%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	NSH
	64	44
	3.82	2.09
	3.74	2.02
	14	8
	4	2
	19	24
	−0.013	+0.014
	46%	18%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
11:4468% CF
L2Ferland – Gaudreau – Monahan
8:4371% CF
L3Jankowski – Lazar – Bennett
8:4171% CF
L4Stajan – Versteeg – Brouwer
8:1640% CF
D1Hamonic – Brodie
17:1263% CF
D2Giordano – Hamilton
12:2870% CF
D3Stone – Kulak
12:2245% CF

PP1Versteeg – Brouwer – Brodie – Gaudreau – Monahan
5:23100% CF
PP2Giordano – Backlund – Hamilton – Bennett – Tkachuk
2:21100% CF
PK1FFrolik – Backlund
2:27
PK2FStajan – Brouwer
0:38
PK1DGiordano – Stone
2:45
PK2DHamonic – Brodie
0:44

Current CGY line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
10:0842% CF
L2Hartnell – Jarnkrok – Aberg
8:0754% CF
L3Smith – Sissons – Fiala
7:4345% CF
L4McLeod – Watson – Gaudreau
5:130% CF
D1Emelin – Subban
18:1738% CF
D2Josi – Ekholm
16:4243% CF
D3Weber – Irwin
11:0844% CF

PP1Hartnell – Subban – Josi – Johansen – Forsberg
2:4683% CF
PP2Ekholm – Smith – Sissons – Fiala – Arvidsson
0:43100% CF
PK1FWatson – Sissons
3:42
PK2FJarnkrok – Arvidsson
3:26
PK1DJosi – Ekholm
3:54
PK2DEmelin – Subban
1:34

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:29
NSHFilip ForsbergPP (Roman Josi, Scott Hartnell)wrist0.05 xG
CGY: Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, StoneNSH: Hartnell, Subban, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg
CGY 0 – 1 NSH
7:43
NSHRoman JosiPP (P.K. Subban, Ryan Johansen)slap0.08 xG
CGY: Giordano, Brouwer, Stone, BennettNSH: Hartnell, Subban, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg
CGY 0 – 2 NSH

3rd period

10:35
CGYMatthew Tkachuk (Dougie Hamilton, Mikael Backlund)wrist0.11 xG
CGY: Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, TkachukNSH: Hartnell, Josi, Ekholm, Aberg, Gaudreau
CGY 1 – 2 NSH
12:55
CGYMicheal Ferland (Johnny Gaudreau, Dougie Hamilton)backhand0.16 xG
CGY: Giordano, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton, MonahanNSH: Josi, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Gaudreau
CGY 2 – 2 NSH

Decided in the shootout: CGY 3 – 2 NSH.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Backlund C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.44	0	1	0	21:24	—	—	70	85
Michael Frolik R	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.39	0	0	0	18:34	—	—	68	53
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.37	0	0	0	15:51	—	—	64	53
Johnny Gaudreau L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.32	0	0	0	21:16	—	—	57	54
Sean Monahan C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.25	0	0	0	18:46	—	—	55	42
Micheal Ferland L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.39	1	0	0	12:10	—	—	67	60
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.44	2	1	0	13:23	—	—	73	97
Curtis Lazar C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.87	3	0	2	12:54	—	—	52	84
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	11:38	—	—	59	86
Troy Brouwer R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:59	—	—	41	35
Kris Versteeg R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	0	0	16:49	—	—	33	29
Matt Stajan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	11:17	—	—	40	25
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	0	27:30	—	—	58	60
Travis Hamonic D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	19:31	—	—	64	62
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.11	3	3	0	23:24	—	—	69	83
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	2	2	+2	2	0.07	2	1	0	16:44	—	—	71	87
Michael Stone D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	4	0	18:10	—	—	44	51
Brett Kulak D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	14:18	—	—	50	58

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	W	30	28	2	.933	2.69	64:53

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.85	0	0	0	21:03	—	—	47	63
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.36	0	2	0	19:41	—	—	44	42
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.18	0	2	0	18:57	—	—	46	55
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:02	—	—	52	50
Pontus Aberg L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	2	14:16	—	—	58	51
Scott Hartnell L	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.02	2	0	0	14:15	—	—	53	64
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.63	0	0	0	17:41	—	—	50	43
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	2	0	0	13:25	—	—	44	35
Kevin Fiala L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	0	2	10:25	—	—	46	52
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	6	1	0	16:49	—	—	28	7
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:40	—	—	5	1
Cody McLeod L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	5:21	—	—	0	0
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	28:29	—	—	38	20
Alexei Emelin D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	7	3	0	20:46	—	—	40	30
Roman Josi D	D2	1	1	2	-2	4	0.27	1	4	0	27:00	—	—	43	56
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	4	2	24:58	—	—	44	58
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:50	—	—	44	15
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	11:22	—	—	39	13

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	O	32	30	2	.938	3.97	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.