Calgary Flames vs. Buffalo SabresOct 30, 2018

Final / OTTuesday, Oct 30, 2018· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CGY	0	0	1	1	2		CGY	11	16	9	2	38
BUF	1	0	0	0	1		BUF	11	11	5	2	29

: CGY 64BUF 49
: CGY 3.40BUF 2.35
PP goals: CGY 0BUF 0
Hits: CGY 11BUF 24
Blocks: CGY 11BUF 13
PIM: CGY 4BUF 10
: CGY 44%BUF 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1 (OT)

Calgary Flames beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 in overtime at BUF. Sean Monahan (CGY) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for BUF: Sheary–Reinhart–Mittelstadt skated 9:32 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (27.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Sean Monahan had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 22:04.Monahan
New line
New look for BUF: Sheary–Reinhart–Mittelstadt skated 9:32 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (27.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sheary Reinhart Mittelstadt
New line
New look for CGY: Neal–Backlund–Tkachuk skated 7:50 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Neal Backlund Tkachuk
Goalie
Carter Hutton (BUF) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +7 against a season average of 30.8; the overtime loss.Hutton
New line
New look for BUF: Sobotka–Okposo–Thompson skated 9:13 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sobotka Okposo Thompson
Usage
Jason Pominville (BUF) played 16:44, +4:20 up on his 12:24 season average over 72 games.Pominville
Usage
Marco Scandella (BUF) played 23:19, +5:48 up on his 17:31 season average over 62 games.Scandella
Usage
Sam Reinhart (BUF) played 12:58, −6:04 down on his 19:02 season average over 81 games.Reinhart

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · BUF 49 · CGY 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 52% of the game, BUF 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	BUF
	56	46
	2.64	1.94
	2.61	1.91
	8	11
	4	2
	12	13
	−0.072	+0.072
	52%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan
13:3564% CF
L2Neal – Backlund – Tkachuk
7:5053% CF
L3Hathaway – Ryan – Dube
6:3767% CF
L4Frolik – Jankowski – Bennett
2:2017% CF
D1Giordano – Brodie
12:5678% CF
D2Hanifin – Andersson
8:3265% CF
D3Hamonic – Välimäki
6:4750% CF

PP1Giordano – Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Tkachuk
6:27100% CF
PP2Neal – Backlund – Bennett – Hanifin – Ryan
3:29100% CF
PK1FHathaway – Ryan
0:43
PK2FBacklund – Lindholm
0:39
PK1DGiordano – Hamonic
1:22
PK2DBrodie – Välimäki
0:38

Current CGY line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Skinner – Eichel
13:4565% CF
L2Sheary – Reinhart – Mittelstadt
9:3228% CF
L3Berglund – Larsson – Girgensons
9:1747% CF
L4Sobotka – Okposo – Thompson
9:1336% CF
D1Beaulieu – Nelson
10:4659% CF
D2Ristolainen – Dahlin
9:5125% CF
D3Bogosian – Scandella
9:3061% CF

PP1Pominville – Okposo – Skinner – Eichel – Dahlin
1:14100% CF
PP2Sobotka – Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Reinhart
0:46100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
6:20
PK2FSobotka – Berglund
3:08
PK1DBogosian – Scandella
5:27
PK2DBeaulieu – Ristolainen
1:36

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Elias Lindholm C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.54	0	1	0	23:14	—	—	64	71
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	1	0	1	+2	5	0.35	0	0	0	22:09	—	—	67	83
Sean Monahan C	L1	0	2	2	+2	5	1.30	0	0	0	22:04	—	—	67	83
Mikael Backlund C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	19:19	—	—	64	28
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.33	0	0	4	19:16	—	—	60	27
James Neal L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	1	0	17:56	—	—	60	68
Derek Ryan C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:15	—	—	67	70
Dillon Dube C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	12:01	—	—	41	42
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	0	0	9:06	—	—	39	37
Sam Bennett C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	3	0	0	15:14	—	—	45	63
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	1	0	9:50	—	—	32	31
Michael Frolik R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	0	8:36	—	—	47	50
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	0	1	0	25:00	—	—	64	73
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	0	1	0	17:18	—	—	61	61
Noah Hanifin D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	0	0	20:20	—	—	67	63
Rasmus Andersson D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	0	2	0	17:29	—	—	46	54
Travis Hamonic D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	2	0	18:47	—	—	48	49
Juuso Välimäki D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:43	—	—	48	51

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
David Rittich(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	2.35	61:07

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.12	4	0	2	20:17	—	—	59	52
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.24	0	0	0	18:31	—	—	64	59
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.14	0	1	0	16:44	—	—	67	58
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	4	12:59	—	—	25	23
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.39	0	0	0	12:58	—	—	38	46
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	2	0	0	12:56	—	—	36	42
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	0	17:02	—	—	44	65
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	1	0	0	16:31	—	—	44	65
Patrik Berglund C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.65	0	0	0	12:56	—	—	47	65
Vladimir Sobotka C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	16:12	—	—	36	12
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	1	0	12:43	—	—	35	12
Tage Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	0	0	9:34	—	—	39	13
Casey Nelson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	3	0	0	14:27	—	—	67	60
Nathan Beaulieu D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.06	1	1	2	14:01	—	—	50	24
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.15	3	4	0	25:48	—	—	25	54
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	20:11	—	—	41	70
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	2	0	23:19	—	—	44	18
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	1	2	22:47	—	—	56	42

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	O	38	36	2	.947	3.40	62:40

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Calgary Flames vs. Buffalo SabresOct 30, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Calgary Flames edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Calgary Flames

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Calgary Flames

Buffalo Sabres