Calgary Flames vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 9, 2018

FinalFriday, Mar 9, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CGY	1	0	1	2		CGY	15	10	12	37
OTT	0	0	1	1		OTT	9	9	12	30

: CGY 70OTT 61
: CGY 3.64OTT 2.33
PP goals: CGY 0OTT 0
Hits: CGY 16OTT 19
Blocks: CGY 14OTT 22
PIM: CGY 4OTT 4
: CGY 56%OTT 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames edge Ottawa Senators 2–1

Calgary Flames beat Ottawa Senators 2–1 at OTT. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Mike Condon (OTT) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +8 against a season average of 29.0; the loss.

Goalie
Mike Condon (OTT) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +8 against a season average of 29.0; the loss.Condon
New line
New look for OTT: Burrows–Pyatt–McCormick skated 5:59 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (41.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Burrows Pyatt McCormick
Luck
CGY scored 2 goals on 3.64 expected goals (70 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (OTT) played 20:02, +3:20 up on his 16:42 season average over 77 games.Pageau
Usage
Michael Stone (CGY) played 11:57, −4:51 down on his 16:48 season average over 81 games.Stone
Usage
Travis Hamonic (CGY) played 25:32, +4:54 up on his 20:38 season average over 73 games.Hamonic
Usage
Tom Pyatt (OTT) played 9:40, −4:27 down on his 14:07 season average over 80 games.Pyatt
Usage
Mark Jankowski (CGY) played 9:37, −3:48 down on his 13:25 season average over 71 games.Jankowski

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 131 of 131 attempts · OTT 61 · CGY 70

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 33% of the game, OTT 19%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	OTT
	78	58
	4.29	1.58
	4.25	1.51
	17	7
	11	2
	26	14
	+0.031	−0.031
	33%	19%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
14:0152% CF
L2Ferland – Gaudreau – Monahan
13:1357% CF
L3Jankowski – Hathaway – Bennett
8:3556% CF
L4Stajan – Brouwer – Lazar
8:3150% CF
D1Hamonic – Brodie
20:3168% CF
D2Giordano – Hamilton
17:4437% CF
D3Stone – Kulak
9:4070% CF

PP1Giordano – Gaudreau – Hamilton – Monahan – Tkachuk
1:20100% CF
PP2Brouwer – Backlund – Stone – Brodie – Bennett
1:03100% CF
PK1FStajan – Frolik
0:59
PK2FJankowski – Hathaway
0:27
PK1DHamonic – Brodie
1:33
PK2DStone – Kulak
0:27

Current CGY line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Stone – Pageau
12:0354% CF
L2Hoffman – Duchene – Dzingel
12:0156% CF
L3Gaborik – Smith – Paajarvi
9:1341% CF
L4Burrows – Pyatt – McCormick
5:5941% CF
D1Karlsson – Claesson
15:0039% CF
D2Borowiecki – Ceci
11:2350% CF
D3Harpur – Chabot
3:5933% CF

PP1Karlsson – Hoffman – Duchene – Stone – Pageau
1:1975% CF
PP2Gaborik – Ryan – Dzingel – Ceci – Chabot
1:04100% CF
PK1FPaajarvi – Pageau
0:57
PK2FPyatt – Smith
0:35
PK1DKarlsson – Claesson
1:03
PK2DCeci – Harpur
0:57

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:25
CGYSam Bennett (Micheal Ferland, Brett Kulak)backhand0.14 xG
CGY: Ferland, Hamilton, Kulak, Monahan, BennettOTT: Ryan, Karlsson, Paajarvi, Pageau, Harpur
CGY 1 – 0 OTT

3rd period

11:42
CGYMatt Stajan (Curtis Lazar, Johnny Gaudreau)tip-in0.05 xG
CGY: Stajan, Stone, Gaudreau, Kulak, LazarOTT: Ryan, Karlsson, Stone, Claesson, Pageau
CGY 2 – 0 OTT
12:55
OTTJean-Gabriel PageauPSsnap0.30 xG
CGY: Giordano, Gaudreau, Hamilton, MonahanOTT: Borowiecki, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci
CGY 2 – 1 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Backlund C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.35	1	0	0	20:27	—	—	48	76
Michael Frolik R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	0	19:29	—	—	54	81
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.77	1	1	0	19:05	—	—	56	77
Johnny Gaudreau L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.16	1	0	0	17:41	—	—	58	79
Sean Monahan C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.41	2	0	0	17:07	—	—	64	81
Micheal Ferland L	L2	0	1	1	+1	5	0.88	0	1	0	14:26	—	—	62	81
Sam Bennett C	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.46	2	0	0	11:59	—	—	60	63
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	11:26	—	—	67	56
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:37	—	—	56	38
Troy Brouwer R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	1	0	12:29	—	—	54	46
Matt Stajan C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.10	0	0	0	11:36	—	—	57	65
Curtis Lazar C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	2	10:29	—	—	46	43
Travis Hamonic D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	1	2	0	25:32	—	—	68	81
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	25:28	—	—	69	84
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	4	2	23:29	—	—	41	54
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	1	2	0	22:24	—	—	44	58
Michael Stone D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	2	1	0	11:57	—	—	68	73
Brett Kulak D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.06	0	0	0	11:19	—	—	73	78

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
David Rittich(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	2.33	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	1	1	-1	5	0.56	1	3	0	20:02	—	—	34	13
Mark Stone R	L1	0	0	-1	0	0.35	0	1	0	20:01	—	—	46	21
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	0	-2	1	0.06	0	0	0	16:52	—	—	46	27
Matt Duchene C	L2	0	0	0	0	0.13	1	0	2	20:23	—	—	63	65
Mike Hoffman C	L2	0	0	0	3	0.17	0	0	2	19:24	—	—	49	29
Ryan Dzingel C	L2	0	0	0	2	0.39	1	0	0	18:31	—	—	43	23
Marian Gaborik R	L3	0	0	0	3	0.23	0	1	0	15:03	—	—	48	42
Zack Smith C	L3	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	2	0	13:11	—	—	33	30
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	0	0	11:41	—	—	33	18
Tom Pyatt L	L4	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:40	—	—	29	18
Alexandre Burrows R	L4	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	8:47	—	—	36	38
Max McCormick L	L4	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	6:56	—	—	39	26
Erik Karlsson D	D1	0	0	-2	5	0.07	1	3	0	27:43	—	—	40	36
Fredrik Claesson D	D1	0	0	-1	2	0.02	3	1	0	17:34	—	—	43	38
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	23:49	—	—	42	14
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	0	0	1	0.03	7	3	0	17:22	—	—	58	31
Thomas Chabot D	D3	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	4	0	17:00	—	—	33	13
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	-1	2	0.01	1	1	0	13:44	—	—	48	42

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Condon(start)	L	37	35	2	.946	3.64	58:17

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.