Carolina Hurricanes vs. St. Louis BluesNov 6, 2018

FinalTuesday, Nov 6, 2018· Enterprise Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	0	0	1		CAR	14	13	12	39
STL	3	0	1	4		STL	11	3	6	20

: CAR 71STL 36
: CAR 3.64STL 1.72
PP goals: CAR 1STL 1
Hits: CAR 16STL 16
Blocks: CAR 12STL 17
PIM: CAR 6STL 10
: CAR 40%STL 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

St. Louis Blues beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–1

St. Louis Blues beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–1 at home. Ryan O'Reilly (STL) led the scoring with 3G 0A. STL's first power-play unit (Maroon, Bozak, O'Reilly, Tarasenko and Dunn) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 3:03 together.

Points
Ryan O'Reilly had a hat trick (3 points) on 5 shots in 22:08.O'Reilly
Points
Tyler Bozak had 2 assists (2 points) in 15:32.Bozak
Points
Vladimir Tarasenko had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:41.Tarasenko
PP1
STL's first power-play unit (Maroon, Bozak, O'Reilly, Tarasenko and Dunn) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 3:03 together.Maroon Bozak O'Reilly Tarasenko Dunn
New line
New look for STL: O'Reilly–Tarasenko–Schwartz skated 10:59 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (36% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.O'Reilly Tarasenko Schwartz
New line
New look for STL: Perron–Fabbri–Thomas skated 7:57 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (31.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Perron Fabbri Thomas
Goalie
Chad Johnson (STL) faced 39 shots and stopped 38 (.974), +18 against a season average of 21.4; the win.Johnson
Luck
CAR scored 1 goal on 3.64 expected goals (71 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)STL attacks right (top on phones) →

STL
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · STL 36 · CAR 71

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

STL
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

STL pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 53% of the game, STL 19%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

STL

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	STL
	68	34
	3.52	1.37
	3.40	1.36
	14	6
	4	2
	16	8
	−0.078	+0.078
	53%	19%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Staal – Foegele
10:1160% CF
L2Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
9:4859% CF
L3Martinook – Wallmark – Svechnikov
8:2283% CF
L4McGinn – Zykov – Roy
4:0675% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
13:1068% CF
D2de Haan – Faulk
12:3888% CF
D3Pesce – van Riemsdyk
11:1342% CF

PP1Faulk – Ferland – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
4:38100% CF
PP2Williams – Staal – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark
4:0983% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
2:18
PK2FMartinook – Foegele
1:30
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
2:05
PK2Dde Haan – Faulk
1:49

Current CAR line combinations →

St. Louis Blues

L1O'Reilly – Tarasenko – Schwartz
10:5936% CF
L2Perron – Fabbri – Thomas
7:5731% CF
L3Steen – Bozak – Sanford
5:0463% CF
L4Maroon – Sundqvist – Barbashev
3:3325% CF
D1Parayko – Dunn
11:1252% CF
D2Gunnarsson – Pietrangelo
10:4039% CF
D3Edmundson – Schmaltz
7:5413% CF

PP1Maroon – Bozak – O'Reilly – Tarasenko – Dunn
3:03100% CF
PP2Steen – Perron – Pietrangelo – Schwartz – Fabbri
2:5650% CF
PK1FO'Reilly – Schwartz
2:46
PK2FSteen – Bozak
2:38
PK1DGunnarsson – Pietrangelo
3:52
PK2DEdmundson – Parayko
2:26

Current STL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:57
STLRyan O'Reilly (Vladimir Tarasenko, Alex Pietrangelo)wrist0.12 xG
CAR: Ferland, Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, AhoSTL: Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, O'Reilly, Tarasenko, Schwartz
CAR 0 – 1 STL
14:01
STLRobby Fabbri (David Perron, Robert Thomas)backhand0.07 xG
CAR: Martinook, Slavin, Pesce, Wallmark, SvechnikovSTL: Perron, Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Fabbri, Thomas
CAR 0 – 2 STL
19:34
CARJaccob SlavinPP (Justin Williams, Lucas Wallmark)slap0.04 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Hamilton, Slavin, WallmarkSTL: Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Bozak, Barbashev
CAR 1 – 2 STL
19:55
STLRyan O'ReillyPP (Tyler Bozak, Vladimir Tarasenko)wrist0.15 xG
CAR: Staal, McGinn, Pesce, van RiemsdykSTL: Maroon, Bozak, O'Reilly, Tarasenko, Dunn
CAR 1 – 3 STL

3rd period

16:50
STLRyan O'ReillyEN (Alexander Steen, Tyler Bozak)wrist0.23 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Faulk, Slavin, Foegele, AhoSTL: Steen, Bozak, O'Reilly, Edmundson, Parayko
CAR 1 – 4 STL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.92	3	0	0	20:17	—	—	63	71
Warren Foegele L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	1	1	0	16:47	—	—	54	70
Justin Williams R	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.29	1	0	0	16:38	—	—	67	78
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.38	0	0	0	18:27	—	—	58	58
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	17:32	—	—	58	60
Micheal Ferland L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	2	1	0	14:56	—	—	61	58
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	1	1	-1	5	0.34	0	1	0	17:14	—	—	84	91
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	2	0	0	15:48	—	—	85	83
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	14:21	—	—	71	71
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	1	0	0	13:39	—	—	71	76
Valentin Zykov L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	6:38	—	—	75	95
Nicolas Roy C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	6:04	—	—	50	48
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	1	0	1	-3	1	0.08	0	1	0	23:55	—	—	66	55
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	1	1	2	19:05	—	—	68	59
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.19	3	1	0	22:53	—	—	82	89
Calvin de Haan D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	17:05	—	—	77	90
Brett Pesce D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	4	0	18:06	—	—	33	34
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	2	2	14:38	—	—	61	80

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	L	19	16	3	.842	1.49	59:45

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	3	0	3	+2	5	0.62	0	0	0	22:08	—	—	30	31
Jaden Schwartz L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	0	2	0	19:17	—	—	35	31
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.15	2	0	0	17:41	—	—	30	25
David Perron L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.17	0	1	2	14:55	—	—	38	44
Robby Fabbri C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.07	2	0	0	14:14	—	—	35	31
Robert Thomas C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:15	—	—	24	20
Alexander Steen L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:51	—	—	44	16
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:32	—	—	38	20
Zachary Sanford L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	10:21	—	—	43	18
Ivan Barbashev L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:28	—	—	28	21
Oskar Sundqvist C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	1	0	11:13	—	—	36	32
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	9:26	—	—	22	52
Colton Parayko D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	3	2	0	22:01	—	—	47	56
Vince Dunn D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	3	2	19:06	—	—	47	39
Alex Pietrangelo D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	1	1	0	25:06	—	—	40	41
Carl Gunnarsson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.02	1	2	2	18:58	—	—	31	26
Joel Edmundson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	2	20:18	—	—	7	3
Jordan Schmaltz D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	2	0	10:26	—	—	13	10

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	W	39	38	1	.974	3.64	59:54

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.