Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington CapitalsMar 30, 2018

FinalFriday, Mar 30, 2018· Capital One Arena

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	2	2	4		CAR	8	17	5	30
WSH	0	1	0	1		WSH	6	10	5	21

: CAR 53WSH 50
: CAR 2.90WSH 2.25
PP goals: CAR 0WSH 0
Hits: CAR 6WSH 22
Blocks: CAR 13WSH 14
PIM: CAR 4WSH 2
: CAR 58%WSH 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Washington Capitals 4–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Washington Capitals 4–1 at WSH. Derek Ryan (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for WSH: Eller–Smith-Pelly–Vrana skated 12:18 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (43.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Derek Ryan had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 11:28.Ryan
New line
New look for WSH: Eller–Smith-Pelly–Vrana skated 12:18 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (43.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Eller Smith-Pelly Vrana
New line
New look for WSH: Beagle–Connolly–Stephenson skated 6:42 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (20% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Beagle Connolly Stephenson
Usage
Phillip Di Giuseppe (CAR) played 15:17, +4:53 up on his 10:24 season average over 48 games.Di Giuseppe
Usage
T.J. Oshie (WSH) played 14:04, −4:24 down on his 18:28 season average over 73 games.Oshie
Usage
Derek Ryan (CAR) played 11:28, −4:12 down on his 15:40 season average over 79 games.Ryan
Usage
Brooks Orpik (WSH) played 13:37, −5:49 down on his 19:26 season average over 80 games.Orpik
Usage
Brock McGinn (CAR) played 17:41, +3:14 up on his 14:27 season average over 79 games.McGinn

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 103 of 103 attempts · WSH 50 · CAR 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 40% of the game, WSH 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	WSH
	59	53
	2.38	2.38
	2.30	2.21
	7	11
	4	8
	18	16
	+0.047	−0.047
	40%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Zykov – Aho
14:0062% CF
L2Skinner – Di Giuseppe – Lindholm
13:0959% CF
L3Williams – Staal – McGinn
12:4858% CF
L4Stempniak – Nordstrom – Ryan
6:5947% CF
D1Faulk – Slavin
18:1965% CF
D2Dahlbeck – Fleury
16:0964% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Hanifin
15:4541% CF

PP1Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
0:570% CF
PP2Williams – Skinner – van Riemsdyk – Hanifin – Ryan
0:53100% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
1:30
PK2FLindholm – Ryan
0:17
PK1DSlavin – van Riemsdyk
2:25

Current CAR line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson
14:5156% CF
L2Eller – Smith-Pelly – Vrana
12:1843% CF
L3Oshie – Backstrom – Burakovsky
8:2364% CF
L4Beagle – Connolly – Stephenson
6:4220% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
17:1060% CF
D2Carlson – Kempny
15:4344% CF
D3Orpik – Djoos
7:5717% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
2:500% CF
PK1FBeagle – Stephenson
0:58
PK2FEller – Smith-Pelly
0:34
PK1DOrpik – Niskanen
0:55
PK2DCarlson – Orlov
0:55

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

2:35
WSHMichal Kempny (John Carlson, T.J. Oshie)slap0.02 xG
CAR: Skinner, Dahlbeck, Di Giuseppe, Lindholm, FleuryWSH: Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Burakovsky, Kempny
CAR 0 – 1 WSH
3:15
CARDerek Ryan (Joakim Nordstrom, Jaccob Slavin)wrist0.05 xG
CAR: Stempniak, Faulk, Nordstrom, Slavin, RyanWSH: Orpik, Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Djoos
CAR 1 – 1 WSH
11:43
CARJustin Faulk (Phillip Di Giuseppe, Derek Ryan)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: Faulk, Nordstrom, Di Giuseppe, Slavin, RyanWSH: Oshie, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Stephenson
CAR 2 – 1 WSH

3rd period

14:32
CARSebastian Aho (Valentin Zykov, Teuvo Teravainen)wrist0.08 xG
CAR: Teravainen, Zykov, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin, AhoWSH: Ovechkin, Eller, Orlov, Smith-Pelly, Kempny
CAR 3 – 1 WSH
17:50
CARBrock McGinnEN (Jordan Staal, Justin Williams)wrist0.67 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, SlavinWSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Eller, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Connolly
CAR 4 – 1 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.16	0	0	0	17:12	—	—	56	52
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	16:58	—	—	58	50
Valentin Zykov L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	0	1	0	16:05	—	—	52	52
Elias Lindholm C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	56	66
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.31	0	0	0	16:03	—	—	54	65
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.27	0	1	0	15:17	—	—	54	57
Brock McGinn L	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.98	2	0	0	17:41	—	—	50	34
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	1	0	0	16:31	—	—	58	76
Justin Williams R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	0	0	0	15:04	—	—	58	76
Derek Ryan C	L4	1	1	2	+2	1	0.05	1	0	0	11:28	—	—	44	30
Lee Stempniak R	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	0	2	9:45	—	—	38	29
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	0	1	1	+2	3	0.16	1	0	2	8:39	—	—	55	43
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	1	1	+3	4	0.03	0	3	0	23:46	—	—	57	49
Justin Faulk D	D1	1	0	1	+3	3	0.19	1	2	0	21:50	—	—	61	62
Haydn Fleury D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	1	0	17:36	—	—	56	62
Klas Dahlbeck D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:21	—	—	58	46
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	0	5	0	20:58	—	—	40	32
Noah Hanifin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:49	—	—	43	42

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Darling(start)	W	21	20	1	.952	2.25	60:00

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.46	2	0	0	21:16	—	—	54	56
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.19	0	0	0	20:01	—	—	52	48
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	2	0	2	17:16	—	—	67	76
Lars Eller C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	0	0	0	17:02	—	—	41	35
Devante Smith-Pelly R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	5	2	0	15:37	—	—	38	42
Jakub Vrana L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	1	0	0	14:29	—	—	48	39
Nicklas Backstrom C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.44	1	0	0	17:30	—	—	58	72
Andre Burakovsky L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.24	0	1	0	15:18	—	—	61	55
T.J. Oshie R	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.15	1	0	0	14:04	—	—	57	61
Brett Connolly R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:57	—	—	14	16
Chandler Stephenson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	0	9:42	—	—	15	12
Jay Beagle C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:10	—	—	27	37
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	2	1	0	25:27	—	—	59	60
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	3	4	0	22:46	—	—	54	62
John Carlson D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	22:22	—	—	45	45
Michal Kempny D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.07	1	2	0	18:50	—	—	44	46
Brooks Orpik D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	13:37	—	—	24	26
Christian Djoos D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	13:04	—	—	36	27

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	2.23	59:32

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.