Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington CapitalsDec 27, 2018

FinalThursday, Dec 27, 2018· Capital One Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	0	1	1		CAR	8	8	13	29
WSH	0	2	1	3		WSH	16	9	8	33

: CAR 57WSH 56
: CAR 2.65WSH 4.01
PP goals: CAR 0WSH 1
Hits: CAR 24WSH 30
Blocks: CAR 8WSH 13
PIM: CAR 8WSH 8
: CAR 45%WSH 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–1

Washington Capitals beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–1 at home. John Carlson (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. WSH's first power-play unit (Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson and Kuznetsov) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 4:59 together.

Points
John Carlson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 25:05.Carlson
PP1
WSH's first power-play unit (Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson and Kuznetsov) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 4:59 together.Ovechkin Oshie Backstrom Carlson Kuznetsov
New line
New look for WSH: Smith-Pelly–Boyd–Stephenson skated 8:53 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (30% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Smith-Pelly Boyd Stephenson
Luck
CAR scored 1 goal on 2.65 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Matt Niskanen (WSH) played 16:54, −5:06 down on his 22:00 season average over 79 games.Niskanen
Usage
Clark Bishop (CAR) played 13:41, +4:27 up on his 9:14 season average over 19 games.Bishop
Usage
Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) played 18:23, +3:47 up on his 14:36 season average over 81 games.Svechnikov
Usage
Tom Wilson (WSH) played 13:58, −4:15 down on his 18:13 season average over 62 games.Wilson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · WSH 56 · CAR 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 31% of the game, WSH 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	WSH
	59	49
	2.72	2.87
	2.63	2.76
	14	11
	5	4
	24	22
	+0.005	−0.005
	31%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
11:2752% CF
L2Williams – Ferland – Bishop
10:0671% CF
L3Martinook – Foegele – Wallmark
8:4947% CF
L4Rask – McGinn – Kuokkanen
3:1763% CF
D1Slavin – Pesce
14:2448% CF
D2de Haan – Faulk
14:1467% CF
D3Hamilton – van Riemsdyk
11:1254% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
4:1475% CF
PP2Ferland – Rask – Hamilton – Wallmark – Kuokkanen
1:56100% CF
PK1FMcGinn – Wallmark
3:15
PK2FMartinook – Foegele
2:00
PK1Dde Haan – Faulk
3:28
PK2DSlavin – Pesce
3:08

Current CAR line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom
11:2630% CF
L2Smith-Pelly – Boyd – Stephenson
8:5330% CF
L3Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky
8:0544% CF
L4Kuznetsov – Wilson – Vrana
7:4081% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
12:2052% CF
D2Carlson – Kempny
12:1457% CF
D3Bowey – Siegenthaler
11:5442% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
4:5991% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Carlson – Connolly – Vrana
1:26
PK1FEller – Wilson
3:17
PK2FBoyd – Stephenson
2:03
PK1DNiskanen – Orlov
2:28
PK2DCarlson – Kempny
2:26

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:33
WSHChandler Stephensonwrist0.10 xG
CAR: Williams, de Haan, Rask, Slavin, KuokkanenWSH: Niskanen, Orlov, Smith-Pelly, Boyd, Stephenson
CAR 0 – 1 WSH
18:16
WSHT.J. OshiePP (John Carlson, Alex Ovechkin)tip-in0.12 xG
CAR: Martinook, Slavin, van Riemsdyk, FoegeleWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov
CAR 0 – 2 WSH

3rd period

12:25
CARSebastian Aho (Micheal Ferland)wrist0.02 xG
CAR: Ferland, Hamilton, Teravainen, van Riemsdyk, AhoWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kempny
CAR 1 – 2 WSH
19:09
WSHJohn CarlsonEN (Nicklas Backstrom)wrist0.23 xG
CAR: Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Hamilton, Foegele, AhoWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kempny
CAR 1 – 3 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.24	1	0	2	21:23	—	—	54	59
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.45	0	1	0	20:53	—	—	48	61
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	0	4	18:23	—	—	46	44
Justin Williams R	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.17	1	0	0	15:57	—	—	63	59
Micheal Ferland L	L2	0	1	1	0	5	0.84	3	0	0	15:52	—	—	72	70
Clark Bishop C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	13:41	—	—	64	63
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:35	—	—	50	29
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	1	0	0	15:23	—	—	48	25
Warren Foegele L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	3	0	0	14:33	—	—	50	34
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	3	1	0	10:43	—	—	60	40
Janne Kuokkanen C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:09	—	—	39	26
Victor Rask C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	0	8:21	—	—	42	27
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	0	1	0	22:50	—	—	48	55
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	18:57	—	—	45	45
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.14	1	1	0	23:35	—	—	61	48
Calvin de Haan D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	4	0	0	19:13	—	—	63	58
Dougie Hamilton D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	1	0	17:26	—	—	55	42
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	1	1	0	11:45	—	—	54	43

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	L	32	30	2	.938	3.78	58:23

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.37	2	0	0	21:08	—	—	35	34
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	1	1	0	5	0.71	0	0	2	20:07	—	—	35	35
T.J. Oshie R	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.19	3	0	2	17:48	—	—	30	27
Chandler Stephenson C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	12:58	—	—	38	46
Devante Smith-Pelly R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.23	6	1	0	12:13	—	—	27	40
Travis Boyd C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:38	—	—	33	44
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	0	2	0	18:00	—	—	48	42
Brett Connolly R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	1	2	13:00	—	—	52	43
Andre Burakovsky L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	1	0	10:16	—	—	43	33
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.73	0	0	0	15:13	—	—	74	80
Tom Wilson R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.42	4	0	0	13:58	—	—	71	78
Jakub Vrana L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.36	1	0	0	12:44	—	—	73	83
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	2	0	21:35	—	—	45	67
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	3	2	0	16:54	—	—	57	80
John Carlson D	D2	1	1	2	0	2	0.37	0	1	0	25:05	—	—	49	37
Michal Kempny D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	0	0	2	18:42	—	—	49	40
Madison Bowey D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	5	1	0	16:38	—	—	35	49
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	1	0	14:14	—	—	42	57

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	2.65	59:49

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.