Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington CapitalsMar 26, 2019

FinalTuesday, Mar 26, 2019· Capital One Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

1

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	1	0	1		CAR	10	7	11	28
WSH	1	0	3	4		WSH	10	11	7	28

: CAR 63WSH 53
: CAR 2.24WSH 3.61
PP goals: CAR 0WSH 0
Hits: CAR 25WSH 20
Blocks: CAR 14WSH 16
PIM: CAR 4WSH 0
: CAR 57%WSH 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–1

Washington Capitals beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–1 at home. Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH) led the scoring with 0G 3A. New look for WSH: Oshie–Hagelin–Kuznetsov skated 12:05 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (34.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Evgeny Kuznetsov had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:17.Kuznetsov
Points
Alex Ovechkin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 20:48.Ovechkin
Points
John Carlson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:48.Carlson
New line
New look for WSH: Oshie–Hagelin–Kuznetsov skated 12:05 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (34.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Oshie Hagelin Kuznetsov
New line
New look for WSH: Eller–Connolly–Vrana skated 11:51 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Eller Connolly Vrana
Usage
John Carlson (WSH) played 21:48, −3:18 down on his 25:06 season average over 79 games.Carlson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · WSH 53 · CAR 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 32% of the game, WSH 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	WSH
	72	56
	2.30	2.94
	2.26	2.90
	16	11
	7	4
	25	25
	+0.062	−0.062
	32%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Niederreiter – Aho
14:1065% CF
L2Staal – Teravainen – Svechnikov
13:2359% CF
L3Ferland – Martinook – Wallmark
9:5344% CF
L4McKegg – McGinn – Maenalanen
7:3750% CF
D1Faulk – Pesce
19:1562% CF
D2Hamilton – Slavin
16:2758% CF
D3de Haan – van Riemsdyk
14:0063% CF

PK1FStaal – McGinn
1:55
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
0:48
PK1Dde Haan – Faulk
1:50
PK2DSlavin – Pesce
1:43

Current CAR line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
13:5141% CF
L2Oshie – Hagelin – Kuznetsov
12:0535% CF
L3Eller – Connolly – Vrana
11:5163% CF
L4Dowd – Boyd – Burakovsky
8:2444% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
18:5150% CF
D2Orpik – Jensen
10:1558% CF
D3Carlson – Djoos
8:5726% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
2:29100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Carlson – Wilson – Vrana
0:470% CF

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:29
WSHT.J. Oshie (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Carl Hagelin)snap0.25 xG
CAR: Faulk, Ferland, Martinook, Pesce, WallmarkWSH: Oshie, Niskanen, Hagelin, Orlov, Kuznetsov
CAR 0 – 1 WSH

2nd period

15:38
CARDougie Hamilton (Justin Williams, Nino Niederreiter)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Niederreiter, Hamilton, Slavin, AhoWSH: Oshie, Niskanen, Hagelin, Carlson, Kuznetsov
CAR 1 – 1 WSH

3rd period

4:31
WSHAlex Ovechkin (Tom Wilson, Evgeny Kuznetsov)slap0.06 xG
CAR: Faulk, Niederreiter, Martinook, Pesce, AhoWSH: Ovechkin, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson
CAR 1 – 2 WSH
11:16
WSHJohn Carlson (Dmitry Orlov, Evgeny Kuznetsov)tip-in0.05 xG
CAR: Williams, Niederreiter, Hamilton, Slavin, AhoWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov
CAR 1 – 3 WSH
17:33
WSHNicklas BackstromEN (Alex Ovechkin, John Carlson)slap0.68 xG
CAR: Williams, Niederreiter, Ferland, Hamilton, Slavin, AhoWSH: Orpik, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson
CAR 1 – 4 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	0	2	17:57	—	—	58	37
Justin Williams R	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.35	0	1	0	17:50	—	—	64	39
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.13	2	0	0	17:20	—	—	63	37
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	3	0	0	17:48	—	—	61	56
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	16:54	—	—	57	58
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	1	1	0	14:20	—	—	60	57
Micheal Ferland L	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.39	1	0	0	14:02	—	—	46	42
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	3	2	0	13:58	—	—	41	36
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	3	1	0	12:23	—	—	44	41
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	1	0	0	12:33	—	—	47	44
Greg McKegg C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	0	0	11:26	—	—	63	49
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	10:31	—	—	64	47
Justin Faulk D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	2	2	0	24:10	—	—	53	46
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.33	0	1	0	22:34	—	—	56	46
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	2	0	20:33	—	—	59	28
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.16	2	1	0	19:10	—	—	51	21
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	2	0	17:21	—	—	55	55
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	1	0	0	16:12	—	—	62	63

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	L	27	24	3	.889	2.93	58:58

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	1	1	2	+3	5	0.56	2	0	0	20:48	—	—	50	60
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.68	0	1	0	18:52	—	—	42	56
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.49	4	0	0	18:41	—	—	46	55
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	3	3	+2	3	0.36	0	2	0	19:17	—	—	40	60
T.J. Oshie R	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.35	0	0	0	17:05	—	—	31	44
Carl Hagelin L	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:14	—	—	36	46
Brett Connolly R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.61	0	1	0	15:37	—	—	56	80
Jakub Vrana L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	0	0	0	14:37	—	—	59	72
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	14:20	—	—	63	72
Andre Burakovsky L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	12:21	—	—	36	52
Travis Boyd C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	9:37	—	—	41	34
Nic Dowd C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	9:12	—	—	42	24
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	1	1	+3	1	0.07	3	0	0	20:55	—	—	48	71
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	20:43	—	—	49	79
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	3	0	19:44	—	—	52	77
Brooks Orpik D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	5	4	0	17:54	—	—	44	45
John Carlson D	D3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.05	1	1	0	21:48	—	—	38	35
Christian Djoos D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:25	—	—	29	21

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	W	28	27	1	.964	2.24	59:50

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.