Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington CapitalsOct 5, 2019

Final / OTSaturday, Oct 5, 2019· Capital One Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

3

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

2

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CAR	0	0	2	1	3		CAR	12	7	8	1	28
WSH	1	1	0	0	2		WSH	10	9	9	6	34

: CAR 48WSH 66
: CAR 2.89WSH 4.21
PP goals: CAR 1WSH 0
Hits: CAR 19WSH 20
Blocks: CAR 14WSH 8
PIM: CAR 14WSH 10
: CAR 45%WSH 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Washington Capitals 3–2 (OT)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Washington Capitals 3–2 in overtime at WSH. Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. WSH scored 2 goals on 4.21 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Andrei Svechnikov had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:27.Svechnikov
Luck
WSH scored 2 goals on 4.21 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for CAR: Martinook–Foegele–Wallmark skated 6:30 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Martinook Foegele Wallmark
Usage
Warren Foegele (CAR) played 8:41, −5:06 down on his 13:47 season average over 67 games.Foegele
Usage
Jakub Vrana (WSH) played 18:02, +3:12 up on his 14:50 season average over 68 games.Vrana
Usage
Brett Pesce (CAR) played 25:37, +3:48 up on his 21:49 season average over 60 games.Pesce
Usage
Joel Edmundson (CAR) played 22:18, +3:54 up on his 18:24 season average over 67 games.Edmundson
Usage
Nick Jensen (WSH) played 21:52, +4:06 up on his 17:46 season average over 67 games.Jensen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · WSH 66 · CAR 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 26% of the game, WSH 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	WSH
	37	53
	1.73	3.25
	1.62	3.19
	8	8
	4	1
	14	19
	−0.048	+0.048
	26%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – McGinn – Svechnikov
10:1539% CF
L2Haula – Dzingel – Necas
9:2247% CF
L3Niederreiter – Teravainen – Aho
9:1643% CF
L4Martinook – Foegele – Wallmark
6:3029% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
14:0242% CF
D2Edmundson – Pesce
9:5050% CF
D3Gardiner – Fleury
7:4042% CF

PP1Staal – Gardiner – Niederreiter – Aho – Necas
2:5583% CF
PP2Haula – Dzingel – Hamilton – Teravainen – Svechnikov
2:54100% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
2:50
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
2:26
PK1DEdmundson – Pesce
6:06
PK2DHamilton – Slavin
2:14

Current CAR line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
9:2055% CF
L2Oshie – Eller – Vrana
9:1362% CF
L3Hagelin – Panik – Stephenson
7:0154% CF
L4Dowd – Leipsic – Hathaway
5:1375% CF
D1Orlov – Jensen
14:2856% CF
D2Gudas – Fehérváry
7:5358% CF
D3Carlson – Siegenthaler
6:0690% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Panik
6:0275% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Carlson – Panik – Vrana
2:07
PK1FHagelin – Dowd
2:03
PK2FEller – Wilson
1:35
PK1DCarlson – Jensen
2:16
PK2DOrlov – Gudas
1:04

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

17:23
WSHGarnet Hathaway (Brendan Leipsic)wrist0.16 xG
CAR: Haula, Dzingel, Edmundson, Fleury, NecasWSH: Dowd, Gudas, Leipsic, Hathaway, Fehérváry
CAR 0 – 1 WSH

2nd period

11:40
WSHT.J. Oshie (Jakub Vrana, Radko Gudas)backhand0.83 xG
CAR: Edmundson, McGinn, Slavin, Aho, SvechnikovWSH: Oshie, Eller, Orlov, Jensen, Vrana
CAR 0 – 2 WSH

3rd period

2:36
CARErik HaulaPP (Teuvo Teravainen, Andrei Svechnikov)tip-in0.27 xG
CAR: Haula, Dzingel, Hamilton, Teravainen, SvechnikovWSH: Eller, Carlson, Wilson, Siegenthaler
CAR 1 – 2 WSH
9:50
CARJaccob Slavin (Jordan Martinook, Warren Foegele)tip-in0.07 xG
CAR: Martinook, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele, WallmarkWSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry
CAR 2 – 2 WSH

OT period

4:04
CARJake Gardiner (Andrei Svechnikov)snap0.51 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Aho, SvechnikovWSH: Backstrom, Vrana, Fehérváry
CAR 3 – 2 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	4	0	4	19:18	—	—	43	39
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	2	2	0	3	0.25	1	0	2	16:27	—	—	38	22
Brock McGinn L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	2	1	0	14:57	—	—	42	22
Erik Haula L	L2	1	0	1	-1	1	0.41	2	1	2	18:35	—	—	52	46
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	2	0	2	14:42	—	—	42	31
Ryan Dzingel C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	14:02	—	—	53	35
Sebastian Aho C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.44	0	1	0	20:24	—	—	37	30
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	17:26	—	—	47	67
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	1	0	2	14:45	—	—	47	49
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:44	—	—	29	42
Lucas Wallmark C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:15	—	—	31	42
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	0	0	0	8:41	—	—	31	42
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	1	0	1	0	2	0.07	2	1	0	22:42	—	—	46	20
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	22:23	—	—	39	48
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	6	0	25:37	—	—	45	59
Joel Edmundson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.28	0	0	2	22:18	—	—	37	37
Jake Gardiner D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.56	2	3	0	17:19	—	—	44	21
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	10:43	—	—	33	8

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer(start)	W	34	32	2	.941	4.21	64:01

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	0	0	-1	7	0.44	0	0	0	22:53	—	—	54	33
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.34	0	0	0	20:24	—	—	50	29
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.25	3	0	2	18:50	—	—	61	43
Lars Eller C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.14	1	0	2	20:20	—	—	71	98
T.J. Oshie R	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	1.02	2	1	0	19:40	—	—	57	85
Jakub Vrana L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.29	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	70	98
Richard Panik R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	14:55	—	—	50	28
Carl Hagelin L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	14:11	—	—	47	39
Chandler Stephenson C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	0	1	0	13:42	—	—	47	39
Nic Dowd C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	3	0	0	9:48	—	—	69	84
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	0	0	0	9:31	—	—	56	76
Brendan Leipsic L	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.52	2	2	0	8:54	—	—	69	77
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	3	0	0	22:12	—	—	59	73
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.19	3	1	0	21:52	—	—	54	72
Radko Gudas D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	1	2	17:07	—	—	52	55
Martin Fehérváry D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	2	0	0	14:21	—	—	52	50
John Carlson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.50	0	1	0	25:40	—	—	78	55
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	4	14:46	—	—	68	76

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	O	28	25	3	.893	2.89	63:56

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.