Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington CapitalsFeb 14, 2023

FinalTuesday, Feb 14, 2023· Capital One Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	2	0	3		CAR	5	16	9	30
WSH	1	1	0	2		WSH	10	13	13	36

: CAR 63WSH 62
: CAR 2.58WSH 3.80
PP goals: CAR 1WSH 0
Hits: CAR 19WSH 16
Blocks: CAR 14WSH 15
PIM: CAR 6WSH 2
: CAR 41%WSH 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Washington Capitals 3–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat Washington Capitals 3–2 at WSH. Joe Snively (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Frederik Andersen (CAR) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +11 against a season average of 25.0; the win.

Points
Joe Snively had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:36.Snively
Points
Stefan Noesen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 8:03.Noesen
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (CAR) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +11 against a season average of 25.0; the win.Andersen
New line
New look for WSH: Oshie–Strome–Snively skated 10:16 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (43.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Oshie Strome Snively
Usage
Stefan Noesen (CAR) played 8:03, −4:21 down on his 12:24 season average over 77 games.Noesen
Luck
WSH scored 2 goals on 3.80 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Anthony Mantha (WSH) played 17:57, +3:47 up on his 14:10 season average over 66 games.Mantha
Usage
Erik Gustafsson (WSH) played 22:50, +3:06 up on his 19:44 season average over 69 games.Gustafsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · WSH 62 · CAR 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 23% of the game, WSH 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	WSH
	66	64
	2.96	3.61
	2.89	3.15
	11	17
	7	6
	31	18
	−0.103	+0.103
	23%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Necas – Kotkaniemi – Svechnikov
14:3250% CF
L2Teravainen – Aho – Jarvis
12:3770% CF
L3Staal – Fast – Martinook
11:2850% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Noesen
6:4541% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
18:1754% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
17:4655% CF
D3de Haan – Chatfield
12:4142% CF

PP1Noesen – Skjei – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
0:31100% CF
PK1FStaal – Martinook
2:36
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
2:30
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:43
PK2DBurns – Slavin
2:40

Current CAR line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Kuznetsov – Mantha – Sheary
12:2348% CF
L2Backstrom – Johansson – Milano
10:5458% CF
L3Oshie – Strome – Snively
10:1643% CF
L4Eller – Hathaway – Aube-Kubel
8:3645% CF
D1Orlov – Jensen
16:0036% CF
D2Gustafsson – van Riemsdyk
11:5258% CF
D3Irwin – Fehérváry
8:3737% CF

PP1Oshie – Backstrom – Johansson – Kuznetsov – Gustafsson
3:5367% CF
PP2Orlov – Mantha – Sheary – van Riemsdyk – Strome
1:4775% CF
PK1FEller – Hathaway
0:31
PK1DJensen – van Riemsdyk
0:31

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:00
CARBrent Burns (Jordan Staal, Jordan Martinook)wrist0.05 xG
CAR: Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, SlavinWSH: Irwin, Kuznetsov, Mantha, Sheary, Fehérváry
CAR 1 – 0 WSH
19:02
WSHT.J. Oshie (Joe Snively, Dmitry Orlov)tip-in0.05 xG
CAR: de Haan, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, JarvisWSH: Oshie, Orlov, Gustafsson, Strome, Snively
CAR 1 – 1 WSH

2nd period

2:33
CARPaul Stastny (Calvin de Haan, Stefan Noesen)deflected0.08 xG
CAR: Stastny, Stepan, de Haan, Noesen, ChatfieldWSH: Oshie, Irwin, Strome, Fehérváry, Snively
CAR 2 – 1 WSH
6:23
WSHJoe Snively (Trevor van Riemsdyk)snap0.18 xG
CAR: Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, SvechnikovWSH: Oshie, Gustafsson, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Snively
CAR 2 – 2 WSH
11:38
CARStefan NoesenPP (Brady Skjei, Teuvo Teravainen)tip-in0.10 xG
CAR: Noesen, Skjei, Teravainen, Aho, SvechnikovWSH: Eller, Jensen, van Riemsdyk, Hathaway
CAR 3 – 2 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	4	0	4	17:49	—	—	50	45
Martin Necas C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.48	0	1	2	16:44	—	—	49	47
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	1	0	0	16:09	—	—	46	47
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	1	1	-1	5	0.23	2	2	0	18:20	—	—	59	70
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	0	0	0	17:44	—	—	69	73
Seth Jarvis R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	1	0	0	14:13	—	—	64	72
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	0	1	0	17:37	—	—	50	54
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.18	3	1	0	16:04	—	—	50	51
Jesper Fast R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.05	3	0	0	14:38	—	—	50	53
Paul Stastny C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.26	0	0	0	8:56	—	—	37	18
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	0	0	8:14	—	—	37	18
Stefan Noesen R	L4	1	1	2	+1	1	0.10	1	0	0	8:03	—	—	41	19
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	24:13	—	—	52	37
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	1	2	0	23:02	—	—	50	28
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	3	0	22:05	—	—	55	46
Brent Burns D	D2	1	0	1	0	3	0.16	0	2	0	21:45	—	—	55	44
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	1	1	0	14:30	—	—	45	59
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	13:54	—	—	43	56

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	3.80	60:00

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.23	1	0	0	20:45	—	—	48	43
Anthony Mantha R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.50	2	0	0	17:57	—	—	56	57
Conor Sheary L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	2	16:19	—	—	44	43
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	19:22	—	—	55	42
Nicklas Backstrom C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	17:19	—	—	59	51
Sonny Milano L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.41	0	0	0	13:08	—	—	58	52
Dylan Strome C	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.26	0	3	0	18:00	—	—	45	66
T.J. Oshie R	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.71	0	1	0	17:21	—	—	44	67
Joe Snively C	L3	1	1	2	+1	3	0.27	0	0	0	13:36	—	—	39	61
Lars Eller C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	2	0	12:44	—	—	44	48
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	11:29	—	—	52	56
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.46	0	0	0	9:55	—	—	44	47
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	0	1	0	23:49	—	—	38	38
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	5	1	0	18:57	—	—	47	52
Erik Gustafsson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.03	2	0	0	22:50	—	—	57	70
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.50	0	4	0	20:27	—	—	58	76
Martin Fehérváry D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	1	0	16:59	—	—	45	38
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	1	0	0	10:25	—	—	44	30

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	L	30	27	3	.900	2.58	58:07

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.