Carolina Hurricanes vs. New Jersey DevilsFeb 15, 2018

FinalThursday, Feb 15, 2018· Prudential Center

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

2

@

home

New Jersey DevilsNJD

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	1	0	2		CAR	6	11	12	29
NJD	1	2	2	5		NJD	9	9	4	22

: CAR 53NJD 37
: CAR 1.48NJD 1.50
PP goals: CAR 0NJD 0
Hits: CAR 21NJD 21
Blocks: CAR 6NJD 17
PIM: CAR 4NJD 6
: CAR 53%NJD 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New Jersey Devils beat Carolina Hurricanes 5–2

New Jersey Devils beat Carolina Hurricanes 5–2 at home. Nico Hischier (NJD) led the scoring with 1G 2A. NJD scored 5 goals on 1.50 expected goals (37 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Nico Hischier had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 14:46.Hischier
Points
Stefan Noesen had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:28.Noesen
Points
Damon Severson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:43.Severson
Points
Justin Williams had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:22.Williams
Luck
NJD scored 5 goals on 1.50 expected goals (37 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for CAR: Staal–McGinn–Aho skated 6:07 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal McGinn Aho
New line
New look for NJD: Zacha–Lappin–Bratt skated 9:08 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (53.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Zacha Lappin Bratt
Usage
Stefan Noesen (NJD) played 16:28, +3:13 up on his 13:15 season average over 71 games.Noesen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NJD attacks right (top on phones) →

NJD
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 90 of 90 attempts · NJD 37 · CAR 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NJD
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NJD pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 28% of the game, NJD 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NJD

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NJD
	49	44
	1.20	1.80
	1.15	1.77
	6	11
	2	6
	10	17
	+0.012	−0.012
	28%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Skinner – Di Giuseppe – Lindholm
10:4777% CF
L2Stempniak – Nordstrom – Ryan
8:0657% CF
L3Williams – Rask – Teravainen
7:0275% CF
L4Staal – McGinn – Aho
6:0767% CF
D1van Riemsdyk – Hanifin
12:2136% CF
D2Slavin – Pesce
12:0162% CF
D3Faulk – Fleury
11:2238% CF

PP1Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
3:13100% CF
PP2Williams – Skinner – Rask – Hanifin – Ryan
1:46100% CF
PK1FMcGinn – Lindholm
1:35
PK2FNordstrom – Ryan
0:58
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
2:09
PK2Dvan Riemsdyk – Fleury
0:17

Current CAR line combinations →

New Jersey Devils

L1Zajac – Noesen – Wood
12:1656% CF
L2Palmieri – Hall – Hischier
10:4671% CF
L3Stafford – Hayes – Coleman
9:4110% CF
L4Zacha – Lappin – Bratt
9:0853% CF
D1Greene – Vatanen
15:0343% CF
D2Moore – Severson
13:2455% CF
D3Lovejoy – Butcher
11:4738% CF

PP1Palmieri – Butcher – Wood – Zacha – Bratt
1:43
PP2Stafford – Palmieri – Vatanen – Severson – Hischier
1:07
PK1FZajac – Coleman
3:19
PK2FPalmieri – Zacha
1:30
PK1DGreene – Lovejoy
3:31
PK2DMoore – Vatanen
1:30

Current NJD line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

17:20
CARJeff Skinner (Victor Rask, Justin Williams)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: Williams, Skinner, Rask, Slavin, RyanNJD: Palmieri, Moore, Vatanen, Zacha, Bratt
CAR 1 – 0 NJD
19:41
NJDDamon Severson (Nico Hischier)snap0.03 xG
CAR: Staal, Teravainen, Slavin, Lindholm, AhoNJD: Hall, Severson, Butcher, Bratt, Hischier
CAR 1 – 1 NJD

2nd period

6:48
NJDStefan Noesen (Travis Zajac, Miles Wood)wrist0.17 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Faulk, Fleury, AhoNJD: Zajac, Moore, Noesen, Butcher, Wood
CAR 1 – 2 NJD
7:43
CARBrett Pesce (Jaccob Slavin, Justin Williams)wrist0.11 xG
CAR: Williams, Rask, Teravainen, Slavin, PesceNJD: Zajac, Greene, Lovejoy, Noesen, Wood
CAR 2 – 2 NJD
17:28
NJDKyle Palmieri (Nico Hischier, John Moore)wrist0.16 xG
CAR: Faulk, Rask, Teravainen, McGinn, FleuryNJD: Palmieri, Moore, Hall, Butcher, Hischier
CAR 2 – 3 NJD

3rd period

8:06
NJDNico Hischier (Taylor Hall, Keith Kinkaid)wrist0.06 xG
CAR: Staal, McGinn, Pesce, Fleury, AhoNJD: Greene, Palmieri, Vatanen, Hall, Hischier
CAR 2 – 4 NJD
8:38
NJDStefan Noesen (Damon Severson)tip-in0.04 xG
CAR: Williams, Rask, Teravainen, van Riemsdyk, HanifinNJD: Zajac, Moore, Noesen, Severson, Wood
CAR 2 – 5 NJD

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Elias Lindholm C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.18	2	0	0	17:35	—	—	67	44
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.17	0	0	2	16:30	—	—	74	53
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	0	0	0	12:09	—	—	82	47
Derek Ryan C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	0	0	15:42	—	—	61	57
Lee Stempniak R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:57	—	—	40	13
Joakim Nordstrom C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	11:23	—	—	60	39
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.26	1	0	0	15:44	—	—	41	57
Justin Williams R	L3	0	2	2	0	3	0.34	0	0	0	14:22	—	—	61	63
Victor Rask C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:45	—	—	59	51
Sebastian Aho C	L4	0	0	0	-3	3	0.04	0	0	0	18:09	—	—	26	15
Jordan Staal C	L4	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	5	1	2	18:02	—	—	33	22
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	2	0	0	16:02	—	—	60	24
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	20:31	—	—	42	41
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	2	0	15:57	—	—	36	17
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	2	0	0	20:53	—	—	64	65
Brett Pesce D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.17	1	0	0	18:18	—	—	71	65
Justin Faulk D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	0	0	0	21:28	—	—	55	26
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.03	3	2	0	17:33	—	—	44	18

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Darling(start)	L	22	17	5	.773	1.50	60:00

New Jersey Devils

NJD skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Travis Zajac C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.07	1	0	0	17:49	—	—	55	65
Stefan Noesen R	L1	2	0	2	+1	2	0.28	3	1	0	16:28	—	—	50	64
Miles Wood L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	1	0	0	14:45	—	—	56	61
Taylor Hall L	L2	0	1	1	+3	1	0.03	1	1	2	17:02	—	—	68	77
Kyle Palmieri C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.38	5	0	0	16:29	—	—	68	63
Nico Hischier C	L2	1	2	3	+3	2	0.13	1	0	0	14:46	—	—	73	73
Blake Coleman L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:32	—	—	13	22
Jimmy Hayes R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:01	—	—	6	12
Drew Stafford R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	11:35	—	—	9	13
Pavel Zacha C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.11	0	1	0	16:12	—	—	38	46
Jesper Bratt L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	0	4	12:38	—	—	55	55
Nick Lappin R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	1	1	0	11:26	—	—	44	61
Andy Greene D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	5	0	22:24	—	—	45	42
Sami Vatanen D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	21:25	—	—	41	39
John Moore D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	0	3	0	19:54	—	—	58	69
Damon Severson D	D2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.05	0	1	0	19:43	—	—	56	68
Ben Lovejoy D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	1	2	0	17:49	—	—	36	45
Will Butcher D	D3	0	0	0	+3	0	0.03	0	0	0	17:02	—	—	48	82

NJD goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Keith Kinkaid(start)	W	29	27	2	.931	1.48	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.