Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay LightningOct 16, 2018

FinalTuesday, Oct 16, 2018· Amalie Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

2

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	1	0	2		CAR	12	14	14	40
TBL	1	1	2	4		TBL	8	13	6	27

: CAR 70TBL 50
: CAR 3.36TBL 3.67
PP goals: CAR 0TBL 1
Hits: CAR 16TBL 16
Blocks: CAR 13TBL 20
PIM: CAR 2TBL 8
: CAR 51%TBL 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–2

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–2 at home. Tyler Johnson (TBL) led the scoring with 3G 0A. Louis Domingue (TBL) faced 40 shots and stopped 38 (.950), +9 against a season average of 31.2; the win.

Points
Tyler Johnson had a hat trick (3 points) on 6 shots in 17:43.Johnson
Points
Dan Girardi had 2 assists (2 points) in 19:47.Girardi
Goalie
Louis Domingue (TBL) faced 40 shots and stopped 38 (.950), +9 against a season average of 31.2; the win.Domingue
Usage
Micheal Ferland (CAR) played 19:18, +5:17 up on his 14:01 season average over 70 games.Ferland
Usage
Martin Necas (CAR) played 6:43, −3:52 down on his 10:35 season average over 6 games.Necas
Usage
Brayden Point (TBL) played 14:21, −4:38 down on his 18:59 season average over 78 games.Point
Usage
Brock McGinn (CAR) played 10:29, −3:52 down on his 14:21 season average over 81 games.McGinn
Usage
Anton Stralman (TBL) played 23:39, +3:12 up on his 20:27 season average over 46 games.Stralman

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · TBL 50 · CAR 70

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 27% of the game, TBL 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TBL
	50	53
	2.41	2.74
	2.36	2.71
	5	10
	10	5
	12	22
	+0.038	−0.038
	27%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
13:3459% CF
L2Williams – Staal – Foegele
11:3438% CF
L3Martinook – Wallmark – Svechnikov
9:4250% CF
L4McGinn – Zykov – Necas
5:1038% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
14:3850% CF
D2de Haan – Faulk
12:3062% CF
D3Pesce – van Riemsdyk
12:2027% CF

PP1Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Zykov – Aho
4:20100% CF
PP2Williams – Ferland – Hamilton – Slavin – Svechnikov
3:2771% CF
PK1FMartinook – Foegele
0:40
PK2FStaal – McGinn
0:27
PK1Dde Haan – van Riemsdyk
0:40
PK2DSlavin – Pesce
0:27

Current CAR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Palat – Kucherov
13:0646% CF
L2Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
9:0838% CF
L3Stamkos – Gourde – Point
9:0554% CF
L4Miller – Paquette – Erne
6:4964% CF
D1Stralman – McDonagh
15:3760% CF
D2Girardi – Hedman
15:0048% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
13:0446% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller
0:48100% CF
PP2Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
0:19100% CF
PK1FGourde – Cirelli
2:04
PK2FJohnson – Joseph
0:55
PK1DStralman – McDonagh
4:36
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
3:03

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:25
CARMicheal Ferland (Teuvo Teravainen, Sebastian Aho)backhand0.09 xG
CAR: Ferland, Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, AhoTBL: Girardi, Killorn, Hedman, Joseph, Cirelli
CAR 1 – 0 TBL
12:42
TBLTyler JohnsonSH (Mathieu Joseph, Dan Girardi)wrist0.14 xG
CAR: Williams, Ferland, Hamilton, Slavin, SvechnikovTBL: Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Joseph
CAR 1 – 1 TBL

2nd period

6:07
TBLTyler Johnson (Adam Erne, J.T. Miller)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, Wallmark, SvechnikovTBL: Coburn, Johnson, Miller, Erne, Sergachev
CAR 1 – 2 TBL
12:48
CARMartin Necas (Warren Foegele, Valentin Zykov)slap0.09 xG
CAR: de Haan, Faulk, Zykov, Foegele, NecasTBL: Stralman, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Palat
CAR 2 – 2 TBL

3rd period

7:02
TBLYanni GourdePP (Ondrej Palat)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: de Haan, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, FoegeleTBL: Johnson, Palat, Gourde, Point, Sergachev
CAR 2 – 3 TBL
18:04
TBLTyler JohnsonEN (Nikita Kucherov, Dan Girardi)wrist0.90 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Faulk, Slavin, Foegele, SvechnikovTBL: Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov
CAR 2 – 4 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.25	0	1	0	20:26	—	—	59	70
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.54	0	0	0	20:12	—	—	60	72
Micheal Ferland L	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.77	0	0	0	19:18	—	—	55	67
Justin Williams R	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.15	2	0	0	18:23	—	—	37	18
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	17:11	—	—	38	11
Warren Foegele L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.27	1	1	0	15:09	—	—	42	19
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.06	1	0	0	16:43	—	—	46	32
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	1	1	0	14:42	—	—	53	44
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.19	0	0	0	14:30	—	—	52	44
Valentin Zykov L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	1	0	0	11:38	—	—	44	45
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	10:29	—	—	44	41
Martin Necas C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	0	0	2	6:43	—	—	44	45
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	2	1	0	22:25	—	—	50	42
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	0	7	0.17	3	1	0	22:06	—	—	51	39
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	1	2	0	20:19	—	—	64	82
Calvin de Haan D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	4	0	0	16:45	—	—	58	74
Brett Pesce D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	5	0	18:39	—	—	32	32
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:42	—	—	33	22

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	L	26	23	3	.885	2.77	57:33

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tyler Johnson C	L1	3	0	3	+2	6	1.26	0	2	2	17:43	—	—	41	26
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.14	0	1	0	17:36	—	—	50	59
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	15:04	—	—	48	47
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	1	0	16:50	—	—	40	35
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	0	0	2	14:12	—	—	42	33
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:15	—	—	33	34
Yanni Gourde C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.29	0	1	0	16:55	—	—	55	48
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	15:59	—	—	53	53
Brayden Point C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	0	0	2	14:21	—	—	50	42
J.T. Miller C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.11	0	0	0	12:01	—	—	68	93
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.95	2	1	0	10:34	—	—	68	94
Adam Erne L	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.08	2	0	2	9:37	—	—	67	94
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	5	0	23:45	—	—	62	73
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	23:39	—	—	62	62
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	3	0	21:58	—	—	49	39
Dan Girardi D	D2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.02	0	2	0	19:47	—	—	43	32
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	0	3	0	15:46	—	—	50	66
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	2	1	0	13:58	—	—	44	54

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Louis Domingue(start)	W	40	38	2	.950	3.36	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.