Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay LightningJan 10, 2019

FinalThursday, Jan 10, 2019· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	1	0	1		CAR	12	8	7	27
TBL	0	0	3	3		TBL	3	12	15	30

: CAR 47TBL 51
: CAR 1.81TBL 3.15
PP goals: CAR 0TBL 2
Hits: CAR 24TBL 29
Blocks: CAR 12TBL 13
PIM: CAR 12TBL 8
: CAR 42%TBL 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–1 at home. Brayden Point (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov and Point) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 3:52 together.

Points
Brayden Point had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 21:21.Point
Points
Steven Stamkos had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:16.Stamkos
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov and Point) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 3:52 together.Stamkos Hedman Palat Kucherov Point
New line
New look for CAR: Williams–McKegg–Svechnikov skated 10:27 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (30% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Williams McKegg Svechnikov
New line
New look for CAR: Ferland–Martinook–Wallmark skated 9:01 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (52.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ferland Martinook Wallmark
Usage
Anton Stralman (TBL) played 17:00, −3:36 down on his 20:36 season average over 46 games.Stralman
Cats
Dan Girardi (TBL) blocked 5 shots in 18:04.Girardi

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 98 of 98 attempts · TBL 51 · CAR 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 35% of the game, TBL 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TBL
	38	46
	1.37	1.52
	1.34	1.47
	7	10
	4	6
	8	5
	−0.070	+0.070
	35%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – McKegg – Svechnikov
10:2730% CF
L2Teravainen – McGinn – Aho
10:1675% CF
L3Ferland – Martinook – Wallmark
9:0153% CF
L4Rask – Maenalanen – Foegele
7:5333% CF
D1Slavin – Pesce
13:3440% CF
D2Hamilton – van Riemsdyk
13:0952% CF
D3de Haan – Faulk
12:4641% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
2:02100% CF
PP2Rask – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark – Svechnikov
1:44100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
1:50
PK2FMcGinn – Wallmark
1:13
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
3:05
PK2Dde Haan – Faulk
1:59

Current CAR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Kucherov – Point
11:2267% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Palat
8:5250% CF
L3Paquette – Martel – Joseph
6:1414% CF
L4Gourde – Erne – Cirelli
4:4020% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
13:0075% CF
D2Coburn – Stralman
11:5547% CF
D3Girardi – Hedman
11:5156% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Kucherov – Point
3:5283% CF
PP2Killorn – McDonagh – Johnson – Gourde – Cirelli
1:54
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:16
PK2FPaquette – Joseph
0:56
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:47
PK2DStralman – Hedman
1:15

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:34
CARJustin Williams (Dougie Hamilton, Trevor van Riemsdyk)wrist0.12 xG
CAR: Williams, McKegg, Ferland, Hamilton, van RiemsdykTBL: Girardi, Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat
CAR 1 – 0 TBL

3rd period

11:56
TBLOndrej PalatPP (Steven Stamkos, Brayden Point)wrist0.09 xG
CAR: de Haan, Faulk, Teravainen, AhoTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point
CAR 1 – 1 TBL
16:45
TBLBrayden PointPP (Nikita Kucherov, Victor Hedman)slap0.15 xG
CAR: Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, AhoTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point
CAR 1 – 2 TBL
19:34
TBLBrayden PointEN (Steven Stamkos, Alex Killorn)wrist0.92 xG
CAR: Williams, Ferland, Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, AhoTBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Point, Cernak
CAR 1 – 3 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Justin Williams R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.22	0	1	0	16:06	—	—	36	43
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	4	14:54	—	—	32	40
Greg McKegg C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	1	2	12:25	—	—	35	35
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.33	0	1	0	21:46	—	—	67	57
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	0	0	2	19:40	—	—	69	50
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	1	0	0	13:52	—	—	69	47
Micheal Ferland L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	5	0	0	14:32	—	—	48	50
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	1	0	13:22	—	—	46	49
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	0	11:56	—	—	55	77
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	0	2	12:08	—	—	44	58
Victor Rask C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	12:05	—	—	38	47
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	10:39	—	—	25	15
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	1	0	22:24	—	—	33	13
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	20:25	—	—	50	30
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	1	1	2	19:23	—	—	48	53
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	16:17	—	—	50	50
Justin Faulk D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	3	0	20:16	—	—	44	62
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	1	0	19:23	—	—	43	52

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	L	29	27	2	.931	2.23	59:06

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	2	1	3	+1	3	1.13	0	0	0	21:21	—	—	58	57
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.38	0	3	0	21:16	—	—	63	72
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	1	0	0	17:14	—	—	63	69
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	2	2	0	3	0.23	0	0	2	19:16	—	—	53	43
Ondrej Palat L	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.14	1	1	0	16:35	—	—	48	39
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.15	3	0	0	15:55	—	—	58	43
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	4	2	0	10:53	—	—	27	56
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	9:24	—	—	13	0
Danick Martel L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:32	—	—	30	21
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	14:58	—	—	71	51
Yanni Gourde C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	2	14:41	—	—	64	38
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	2	0	2	9:06	—	—	62	39
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	22:26	—	—	61	69
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	5	1	0	19:14	—	—	71	94
Anton Stralman D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	17:00	—	—	47	23
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	3	0	0	16:39	—	—	45	39
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0	1	2	21:02	—	—	55	36
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	5	5	0	18:04	—	—	45	32

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	1.81	59:24

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.