Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay LightningFeb 25, 2021

FinalThursday, Feb 25, 2021· Amalie Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

1

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	0	0	1		CAR	13	12	7	32
TBL	0	1	2	3		TBL	6	8	8	22

: CAR 60TBL 36
: CAR 3.75TBL 2.56
PP goals: CAR 0TBL 0
Hits: CAR 12TBL 17
Blocks: CAR 7TBL 15
PIM: CAR 12TBL 10
: CAR 55%TBL 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–1 at home. Brett Pesce (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for CAR: Fast–Aho–Svechnikov skated 8:19 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (77.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for CAR: Fast–Aho–Svechnikov skated 8:19 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (77.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Fast Aho Svechnikov
Usage
Erik Cernak (TBL) played 8:24, −11:38 down on his 20:02 season average over 45 games.Cernak
Luck
CAR scored 1 goal on 3.75 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for CAR: Staal–McGinn–Foegele skated 7:10 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal McGinn Foegele
Usage
Haydn Fleury (CAR) played 8:48, −6:44 down on his 15:32 season average over 46 games.Fleury
Usage
Jan Rutta (TBL) played 19:28, +3:32 up on his 15:56 season average over 34 games.Rutta
Usage
Martin Necas (CAR) played 14:00, −3:21 down on his 17:21 season average over 52 games.Necas
Usage
Nino Niederreiter (CAR) played 12:29, −3:18 down on his 15:47 season average over 55 games.Niederreiter

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 96 of 96 attempts · TBL 36 · CAR 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 46% of the game, TBL 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TBL
	41	38
	2.39	2.33
	2.33	2.29
	11	4
	1	2
	1	0
	+0.093	−0.093
	46%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Fast – Aho – Svechnikov
8:1978% CF
L2Niederreiter – Trocheck – Necas
7:4945% CF
L3Martinook – Paquette – Lorentz
7:1954% CF
L4Staal – McGinn – Foegele
7:1050% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
11:0956% CF
D2Hamilton – Slavin
9:4159% CF
D3Fleury – Bean
4:1760% CF

PP1Staal – Trocheck – Hamilton – Aho – Svechnikov
5:58100% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Fast – Pesce – Bean – Necas
1:03100% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
2:22
PK2FMartinook – Aho
2:07
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
4:31
PK2DSlavin – Fleury
0:58

Current CAR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Johnson
9:2344% CF
L2Goodrow – Gourde – Joseph
8:0856% CF
L3Maroon – Smith – Volkov
7:5225% CF
L4Palat – Coleman – Point
7:2633% CF
D1Hedman – Sergachev
8:4645% CF
D2McDonagh – Rutta
7:0550% CF
D3Cernak – Foote
0:00

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
4:5443% CF
PP2Maroon – Johnson – Coleman – Gourde – Sergachev
3:02
PK1FColeman – Goodrow
4:32
PK2FKillorn – Gourde
1:34
PK1DMcDonagh – Rutta
3:01
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
1:58

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:23
CARBrett Pesce (Jesper Fast, Sebastian Aho)snap0.13 xG
CAR: Fast, Skjei, Pesce, Aho, SvechnikovTBL: McDonagh, Palat, Coleman, Point, Cernak
CAR 1 – 0 TBL

2nd period

12:39
TBLMikhail Sergachev (Brayden Point)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: Fast, Skjei, Pesce, Aho, SvechnikovTBL: Hedman, Palat, Coleman, Point, Sergachev
CAR 1 – 1 TBL

3rd period

6:22
TBLYanni Gourde (Victor Hedman)wrist0.12 xG
CAR: Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Fleury, FoegeleTBL: Hedman, Gourde, Joseph, Rutta, Volkov
CAR 1 – 2 TBL
18:44
TBLBarclay GoodrowENwrist0.37 xG
CAR: Trocheck, Slavin, Aho, Bean, Necas, SvechnikovTBL: McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Rutta
CAR 1 – 3 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.59	1	0	0	21:29	—	—	60	53
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	1	0	0	18:24	—	—	69	57
Jesper Fast R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	13:43	—	—	58	53
Vincent Trocheck C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.39	1	1	0	18:18	—	—	46	46
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	0	2	14:00	—	—	44	44
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	0	0	0	12:29	—	—	41	41
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.52	0	0	2	14:02	—	—	53	71
Steven Lorentz C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	2	10:49	—	—	55	70
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	3	1	0	9:48	—	—	60	80
Jordan Staal C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.51	2	0	2	20:12	—	—	46	42
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	1	0	0	13:36	—	—	48	40
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	0	0	0	10:57	—	—	50	44
Brett Pesce D	D1	1	0	1	0	4	0.39	0	3	2	23:49	—	—	43	44
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	21:49	—	—	57	53
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.08	1	0	0	22:56	—	—	41	34
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.17	0	1	2	22:22	—	—	65	55
Jake Bean D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:26	—	—	30	54
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:48	—	—	77	85

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer(start)	L	21	19	2	.905	2.18	58:34

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	20:18	—	—	45	35
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	0	0	16:54	—	—	44	30
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	14:27	—	—	37	27
Yanni Gourde C	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.13	0	0	0	17:47	—	—	55	72
Barclay Goodrow C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.46	1	2	0	15:30	—	—	57	67
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.34	1	0	0	11:18	—	—	64	77
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	6	13:22	—	—	44	34
Alexander Volkov R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	0	2	0	9:03	—	—	29	29
Gemel Smith C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:03	—	—	31	17
Blake Coleman L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	0	0	17:35	—	—	33	45
Brayden Point C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	69	71
Ondrej Palat L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	2	0	15:28	—	—	64	56
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.28	1	0	0	26:47	—	—	52	56
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.42	4	2	0	24:19	—	—	45	52
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	4	0	21:18	—	—	44	43
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.16	0	1	2	19:28	—	—	44	39
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	1	1	0	10:21	—	—	48	47
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	3	1	0	8:24	—	—	67	71

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	3.75	59:57

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.