Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay LightningJun 5, 2021

FinalPlayoffsSaturday, Jun 5, 2021· Amalie Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

4

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	4	0	4		CAR	7	11	7	25
TBL	1	4	1	6		TBL	12	10	4	26

: CAR 53TBL 52
: CAR 2.32TBL 3.80
PP goals: CAR 0TBL 3
Hits: CAR 25TBL 21
Blocks: CAR 7TBL 10
PIM: CAR 14TBL 6
: CAR 58%TBL 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 6–4

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 6–4 at home. Nikita Kucherov (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 4:56 together.

Points
Nikita Kucherov had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 6 shots in 20:12.Kucherov
Points
Steven Stamkos had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 13:43.Stamkos
Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:14.Point
Points
Jaccob Slavin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:56.Slavin
Points
Andrei Svechnikov had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:51.Svechnikov
Points
Ondrej Palat had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:06.Palat
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 4:56 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Point
Luck
TBL scored 6 goals on 3.80 expected goals (52 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · TBL 52 · CAR 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 15% of the game, TBL 45%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TBL
	47	43
	1.99	2.56
	1.92	2.33
	7	10
	1	2
	10	4
	+0.057	−0.057
	15%	45%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
11:5358% CF
L2Staal – Foegele – Necas
10:1729% CF
L3Fast – Martinook – McGinn
9:5858% CF
L4Paquette – Lorentz – Geekie
4:2675% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
14:2666% CF
D2Pesce – Bean
9:4525% CF
D3Hakanpää – Skjei
8:4753% CF

PP1Staal – Hamilton – Teravainen – Aho – Necas
2:3033% CF
PP2Fast – Pesce – Foegele – Bean – Svechnikov
0:34
PK1FAho – Necas
1:40
PK2FStaal – Teravainen
1:38
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
3:52
PK2DHakanpää – Slavin
1:58

Current CAR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Kucherov – Point
12:4652% CF
L2Coleman – Goodrow – Gourde
11:0354% CF
L3Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
7:4031% CF
L4Maroon – Johnson – Colton
6:3944% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
12:2648% CF
D2Savard – Sergachev
11:3759% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
10:1224% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
4:56100% CF
PP2Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Cirelli – Sergachev
2:16100% CF
PK1FColeman – Goodrow
1:54
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
0:53
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:16
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
1:38

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:24
TBLBrayden Point (Ondrej Palat, Erik Cernak)tip-in0.08 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, SvechnikovTBL: McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak
CAR 0 – 1 TBL

2nd period

4:30
CARTeuvo Teravainen (Jordan Staal, Andrei Svechnikov)snap0.11 xG
CAR: Staal, Hamilton, Teravainen, Bean, SvechnikovTBL: McDonagh, Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde
CAR 1 – 1 TBL
5:09
CARJesper Fast (Jordan Martinook, Jaccob Slavin)wrist0.15 xG
CAR: Fast, Hamilton, Martinook, McGinn, SlavinTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta
CAR 2 – 1 TBL
9:54
TBLSteven StamkosPP (Alex Killorn, Brayden Point)wrist0.05 xG
CAR: Skjei, Pesce, Aho, NecasTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
CAR 2 – 2 TBL
10:35
CARDougie Hamilton (Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov)wrist0.03 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, SvechnikovTBL: McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak
CAR 3 – 2 TBL
12:41
CARJaccob Slavin (Cedric Paquette, Steven Lorentz)wrist0.02 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Slavin, Paquette, Lorentz, GeekieTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Savard, Cirelli
CAR 4 – 2 TBL
14:38
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Steven Stamkos, Victor Hedman)wrist0.01 xG
CAR: Staal, Skjei, Teravainen, PesceTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli
CAR 4 – 3 TBL
17:10
TBLTyler Johnson (Ross Colton, Patrick Maroon)slap0.10 xG
CAR: Fast, Hamilton, Martinook, McGinn, BeanTBL: Maroon, Johnson, Hedman, Cernak, Colton
CAR 4 – 4 TBL
19:37
TBLSteven StamkosPP (Nikita Kucherov, Anthony Cirelli)wrist0.11 xG
CAR: Staal, Skjei, McGinn, PesceTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli
CAR 4 – 5 TBL

3rd period

6:01
TBLNikita Kucherov (Ondrej Palat)slap0.07 xG
CAR: Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, Bean, SvechnikovTBL: McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak
CAR 4 – 6 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.10	2	0	0	21:42	—	—	56	43
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.24	0	1	0	20:12	—	—	59	50
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	2	2	0	2	0.26	1	0	6	18:51	—	—	57	46
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	1	0	0	20:21	—	—	28	26
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	4	2	2	19:52	—	—	39	54
Warren Foegele L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	14:25	—	—	25	23
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	1	0	0	15:36	—	—	57	45
Jesper Fast R	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.29	0	0	0	14:47	—	—	58	42
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	4	0	2	12:19	—	—	57	45
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	1	0	0	7:50	—	—	60	45
Morgan Geekie C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	1	0	0	6:47	—	—	75	50
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.08	2	0	0	5:28	—	—	75	50
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.06	1	1	0	24:56	—	—	63	43
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	1	0	1	+2	7	0.45	1	1	0	22:20	—	—	68	57
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	0	0	0	21:08	—	—	30	33
Jake Bean D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	14:23	—	—	36	37
Brady Skjei D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	18:04	—	—	53	51
Jani Hakanpää D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	2	0	14:03	—	—	45	43

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	L	26	20	6	.769	3.80	57:14

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.48	1	0	0	21:14	—	—	47	63
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	2	1	3	+1	6	0.58	1	1	0	20:12	—	—	50	62
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.38	2	0	0	17:06	—	—	55	67
Barclay Goodrow C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	1	0	0	17:27	—	—	56	49
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	0	2	0	17:09	—	—	63	51
Blake Coleman L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	1	2	2	16:32	—	—	60	46
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.10	3	0	0	16:32	—	—	29	31
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.43	1	0	0	15:20	—	—	29	31
Steven Stamkos C	L3	2	1	3	-2	2	0.35	0	0	0	13:43	—	—	29	30
Tyler Johnson C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	9:37	—	—	40	65
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.24	1	0	0	8:38	—	—	50	85
Ross Colton C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.18	2	1	0	8:26	—	—	46	55
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	21:03	—	—	47	55
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	19:05	—	—	53	64
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	1	0	22:47	—	—	70	75
David Savard D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	0	4	13:32	—	—	53	53
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	1	1	-2	3	0.27	1	3	0	24:41	—	—	36	41
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:56	—	—	32	50

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	25	21	4	.840	2.32	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.