Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay LightningNov 3, 2022

Final / SOThursday, Nov 3, 2022· Amalie Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

4

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CAR	1	1	1	0	1	4		CAR	15	21	14	5	55
TBL	0	3	0	0	0	3		TBL	8	11	4	3	26

: CAR 93TBL 49
: CAR 4.68TBL 2.40
PP goals: CAR 1TBL 2
Hits: CAR 38TBL 32
Blocks: CAR 11TBL 22
PIM: CAR 12TBL 10
: CAR 62%TBL 38%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 (SO)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 in a shootout at TBL. Martin Necas (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 55 shots and stopped 52 (.945), +24 against a season average of 31.3; the overtime loss.

Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 55 shots and stopped 52 (.945), +24 against a season average of 31.3; the overtime loss.Vasilevskiy
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Burns, Noesen, Aho, Necas and Svechnikov) scored 1 power-play goal on 15 attempts in 5:11 together.Burns Noesen Aho Necas Svechnikov
Usage
Nick Paul (TBL) played 10:05, −6:09 down on his 16:14 season average over 79 games.Paul
Usage
Mikhail Sergachev (TBL) played 29:21, +5:37 up on his 23:44 season average over 78 games.Sergachev
Usage
Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) played 22:48, +4:50 up on his 17:58 season average over 63 games.Svechnikov
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 24:31, +4:26 up on his 20:05 season average over 81 games.Kucherov
Luck
CAR scored 3 goals on 4.68 expected goals (93 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Brayden Point (TBL) played 23:17, +3:39 up on his 19:38 season average over 81 games.Point

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 142 of 142 attempts · TBL 49 · CAR 93

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 54% of the game, TBL 17%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TBL
	68	40
	2.78	1.61
	2.74	1.53
	14	13
	5	6
	22	23
	+0.119	−0.119
	54%	17%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Necas – Kotkaniemi – Svechnikov
12:0371% CF
L2Staal – Fast – Martinook
11:2678% CF
L3Teravainen – Aho – Jarvis
9:2460% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Noesen
5:0950% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
16:3270% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
12:5267% CF
D3de Haan – Chatfield
9:0336% CF

PP1Burns – Noesen – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
5:11100% CF
PP2Stastny – Teravainen – Pesce – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
2:3386% CF
PK1FStaal – Stepan
2:08
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
2:05
PK1DBurns – Slavin
2:03
PK2DSkjei – Pesce
1:09

Current CAR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
11:1629% CF
L2Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
6:5431% CF
L3Killorn – Stamkos – Paul
5:0575% CF
L4Namestnikov – Colton – Koepke
4:3940% CF
D1Sergachev – Perbix
11:5622% CF
D2Cole – Cernak
10:2653% CF
D3Fleury – Foote
8:3843% CF

PP1Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov – Point – Sergachev
3:59100% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Sergachev – Colton – Hagel
1:18100% CF
PK1FStamkos – Paul
1:59
PK2FKillorn – Bellemare
1:20
PK1DCole – Cernak
2:29
PK2DFleury – Sergachev
0:55

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:29
CARSeth Jarvis (Paul Stastny)wrist0.09 xG
CAR: Stastny, Slavin, Chatfield, Kotkaniemi, JarvisTBL: Perry, Fleury, Point, Sergachev, Koepke
CAR 1 – 0 TBL

2nd period

5:50
TBLRoss ColtonPP (Mikhail Sergachev, Brandon Hagel)tip-in0.10 xG
CAR: Burns, Fast, Martinook, SlavinTBL: Perry, Killorn, Sergachev, Colton, Hagel
CAR 1 – 1 TBL
9:19
TBLNick Paul (Steven Stamkos)tip-in0.06 xG
CAR: de Haan, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi, SvechnikovTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Fleury, Perbix
CAR 1 – 2 TBL
14:01
CARMartin NecasPP (Brent Burns, Andrei Svechnikov)slap0.10 xG
CAR: Burns, Noesen, Aho, Necas, SvechnikovTBL: Cole, Paul, Bellemare, Cernak
CAR 2 – 2 TBL
19:00
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Alex Killorn, Brayden Point)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: Staal, Slavin, PesceTBL: Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point
CAR 2 – 3 TBL

3rd period

13:34
CARBrady SkjeiSH (Sebastian Aho)wrist0.01 xG
CAR: Burns, Fast, Skjei, AhoTBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Point, Foote
CAR 3 – 3 TBL

Decided in the shootout: CAR 4 – 3 TBL.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.42	3	0	2	22:48	—	—	57	70
Martin Necas C	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.37	0	0	0	20:31	—	—	65	88
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.41	3	0	0	16:53	—	—	72	86
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	6	0	0	16:33	—	—	78	54
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	3	0	2	14:37	—	—	76	59
Jesper Fast R	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.23	3	0	0	14:36	—	—	79	59
Sebastian Aho C	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.63	3	0	0	23:02	—	—	52	69
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.49	1	0	0	18:08	—	—	59	67
Seth Jarvis R	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.36	2	0	0	15:43	—	—	57	70
Stefan Noesen R	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	1	0	0	11:16	—	—	53	51
Paul Stastny C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	0	0	0	9:23	—	—	53	51
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	8:36	—	—	47	40
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	1	3	2	25:04	—	—	69	75
Brady Skjei D	D1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.05	3	2	0	20:33	—	—	71	85
Brent Burns D	D2	0	1	1	+1	7	0.29	2	1	0	25:14	—	—	66	50
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.09	1	0	0	22:47	—	—	65	51
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	4	2	6	12:41	—	—	40	55
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	2	0	12:03	—	—	47	63

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	26	23	3	.885	2.40	65:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.28	4	1	0	24:31	—	—	30	16
Brayden Point C	L1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.27	1	1	2	23:17	—	—	31	17
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	19:18	—	—	23	14
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	2	2	0	15:13	—	—	26	55
Corey Perry R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	0	2	11:19	—	—	32	56
Patrick Maroon L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.40	2	0	0	9:00	—	—	29	59
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.25	1	1	0	19:41	—	—	59	56
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:57	—	—	59	44
Nick Paul L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.06	2	0	0	10:05	—	—	75	64
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.37	4	0	0	17:10	—	—	43	39
Ross Colton C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.24	0	0	2	10:28	—	—	48	41
Cole Koepke L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	1	0	9:13	—	—	33	8
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.10	3	4	0	29:21	—	—	27	22
Nick Perbix D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	3	0	18:43	—	—	25	10
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	1	2	21:58	—	—	40	30
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	5	2	21:55	—	—	48	44
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	3	0	0	14:49	—	—	47	62
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	14:47	—	—	38	59

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	O	55	52	3	.945	4.68	65:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.