Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 26, 2017

FinalThursday, Oct 26, 2017· Air Canada Centre

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

6

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	3	1	2	6		CAR	16	11	11	38
TOR	1	2	0	3		TOR	15	12	7	34

: CAR 71TOR 64
: CAR 2.63TOR 3.81
PP goals: CAR 0TOR 0
Hits: CAR 11TOR 16
Blocks: CAR 14TOR 16
PIM: CAR 6TOR 2
: CAR 53%TOR 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3 at TOR. Teuvo Teravainen (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. CAR scored 6 goals on 2.63 expected goals (71 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Teuvo Teravainen had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 14:29.Teravainen
Points
Josh Jooris had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 9:51.Jooris
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:11.Matthews
Points
Victor Rask had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:25.Rask
Points
Haydn Fleury had 2 assists (2 points) in 13:21.Fleury
Luck
CAR scored 6 goals on 2.63 expected goals (71 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 38 shots and stopped 32 (.842), +5 against a season average of 33.5; the loss.Andersen
Usage
Zach Hyman (TOR) played 13:26, −3:58 down on his 17:24 season average over 81 games.Hyman

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 135 of 135 attempts · TOR 64 · CAR 71

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 18% of the game, TOR 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TOR
	84	71
	3.16	4.22
	2.92	4.14
	13	19
	7	7
	35	23
	+0.067	−0.067
	18%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Lindholm – Aho
13:2852% CF
L2Williams – Skinner – Ryan
13:2667% CF
L3Rask – Teravainen – McGinn
11:1954% CF
L4Kruger – Nordstrom – Jooris
7:4241% CF
D1Slavin – Pesce
17:2849% CF
D2Faulk – Hanifin
16:4768% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Fleury
10:2752% CF

PP1Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
0:16
PK1FKruger – Nordstrom
0:57
PK2FStaal – Lindholm
0:30
PK1DSlavin – van Riemsdyk
0:41
PK2DFaulk – Pesce
0:30

Current CAR line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
12:0553% CF
L2Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
9:4836% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
7:0640% CF
L4Moore – Martin – Marner
4:3755% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
17:5749% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
17:3449% CF
D3Polak – Borgman
14:2244% CF

PP1Marleau – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander – Matthews
0:53
PP2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
0:51100% CF
PK1FMoore – Brown
0:14
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
0:14

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:20
CARJosh Jooris (Trevor van Riemsdyk, Joakim Nordstrom)slap0.07 xG
CAR: Kruger, Nordstrom, Jooris, van Riemsdyk, FleuryTOR: Moore, Polak, Martin, Marner, Borgman
CAR 1 – 0 TOR
2:53
CARTeuvo Teravainen (Victor Rask)snap0.16 xG
CAR: Rask, Teravainen, McGinn, Slavin, PesceTOR: van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Zaitsev
CAR 2 – 0 TOR
9:19
TORAuston Matthews (Patrick Marleau)wrist0.14 xG
CAR: Staal, Skinner, Slavin, Pesce, LindholmTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Rielly, Matthews
CAR 2 – 1 TOR
16:08
CARElias Lindholm (Sebastian Aho, Haydn Fleury)tip-in0.06 xG
CAR: Staal, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, AhoTOR: Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Brown
CAR 3 – 1 TOR

2nd period

5:47
TORDominic Moore (Matt Martin, Morgan Rielly)backhand0.04 xG
CAR: Kruger, Faulk, Nordstrom, Jooris, HanifinTOR: Hainsey, Moore, Martin, Rielly, Marner
CAR 3 – 2 TOR
7:11
TORZach Hyman (Jake Gardiner, Auston Matthews)backhand0.11 xG
CAR: Williams, Skinner, Slavin, Pesce, RyanTOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev
CAR 3 – 3 TOR
13:37
CARVictor Rask (Teuvo Teravainen)snap0.02 xG
CAR: Rask, Teravainen, McGinn, Slavin, PesceTOR: Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Borgman
CAR 4 – 3 TOR

3rd period

10:15
CARBrock McGinn (Haydn Fleury, Teuvo Teravainen)snap0.03 xG
CAR: Rask, McGinn, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, FleuryTOR: Hainsey, Moore, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly
CAR 5 – 3 TOR
12:19
CARJosh Jooris (Jeff Skinner)wrist0.11 xG
CAR: Kruger, Skinner, Jooris, van Riemsdyk, FleuryTOR: Hainsey, Bozak, Rielly, Brown, Matthews
CAR 6 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Elias Lindholm C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.32	1	0	0	18:21	—	—	46	51
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	3	0	2	17:20	—	—	50	54
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	1	1	0	16:52	—	—	54	62
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.39	0	1	0	16:45	—	—	66	51
Justin Williams R	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.29	0	0	0	16:44	—	—	67	50
Derek Ryan C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	0	0	2	16:32	—	—	63	50
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	1	2	3	+2	1	0.20	0	0	0	14:29	—	—	50	59
Victor Rask C	L3	1	1	2	+3	1	0.02	0	0	0	13:25	—	—	50	58
Brock McGinn L	L3	1	0	1	+3	5	0.13	1	0	0	12:36	—	—	52	57
Marcus Kruger C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:02	—	—	50	16
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	10:50	—	—	37	8
Josh Jooris R	L4	2	0	2	+1	4	0.20	0	0	0	9:51	—	—	45	16
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	3	0	24:33	—	—	46	36
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	2	4	2	22:24	—	—	50	38
Noah Hanifin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.34	0	1	0	21:22	—	—	62	45
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	21:17	—	—	63	46
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	1	1	+4	0	0.00	0	3	0	16:53	—	—	58	54
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	2	2	+4	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:21	—	—	43	53

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Darling(start)	W	34	31	3	.912	3.81	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	0	4	0.33	1	1	0	18:11	—	—	52	64
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.64	0	0	0	16:48	—	—	56	65
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.30	0	0	2	13:26	—	—	53	63
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	0	0	0	20:01	—	—	44	44
Leo Komarov R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	3	1	0	15:54	—	—	40	42
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	2	1	0	15:51	—	—	39	35
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.09	1	0	0	15:18	—	—	45	28
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.11	1	0	0	15:11	—	—	36	27
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:35	—	—	39	24
Mitch Marner R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	0	0	0	16:28	—	—	48	75
Dominic Moore C	L4	1	0	1	-1	2	0.16	0	0	0	10:23	—	—	44	87
Matt Martin L	L4	0	1	1	0	4	1.16	1	0	0	8:04	—	—	56	89
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	1	1	0	22:55	—	—	44	48
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	2	0	21:08	—	—	47	40
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	3	4	0	21:08	—	—	48	62
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.20	0	0	0	21:08	—	—	51	63
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	0	0	-2	5	0.19	1	2	0	16:38	—	—	46	68
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	3	0	15:14	—	—	41	56

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	38	32	6	.842	2.63	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.