Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsDec 19, 2017

FinalTuesday, Dec 19, 2017· Air Canada Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	0	0	1		CAR	13	12	8	33
TOR	4	0	4	8		TOR	14	10	12	36

: CAR 72TOR 60
: CAR 3.29TOR 4.34
PP goals: CAR 0TOR 3
Hits: CAR 22TOR 13
Blocks: CAR 10TOR 21
PIM: CAR 13TOR 15
: CAR 58%TOR 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Carolina Hurricanes 8–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Carolina Hurricanes 8–1 at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 3A. TOR's first power-play unit (van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly and Marner) scored 2 power-play goals on 7 attempts in 1:41 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 6 shots in 13:15.Marner
Points
Tyler Bozak had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 4 shots in 13:34.Bozak
Points
James van Riemsdyk had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 13:09.van Riemsdyk
Points
Zach Hyman had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:25.Hyman
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly and Marner) scored 2 power-play goals on 7 attempts in 1:41 together.van Riemsdyk Bozak Kadri Rielly Marner
New line
New look for TOR: Marleau–Hyman–Nylander skated 12:10 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marleau Hyman Nylander
Luck
TOR scored 8 goals on 4.34 expected goals (60 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for CAR: Skinner–Lindholm–Aho skated 8:07 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (52.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Lindholm Aho

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · TOR 60 · CAR 72

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 39% of the game, TOR 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TOR
	76	55
	3.20	3.14
	3.15	3.04
	10	8
	5	6
	16	19
	+0.027	−0.027
	39%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Staal – McGinn
11:4082% CF
L2Skinner – Lindholm – Aho
8:0752% CF
L3Kruger – Nordstrom – Jooris
6:5236% CF
L4Rask – Teravainen – Ryan
3:5229% CF
D1Pesce – Hanifin
13:4045% CF
D2van Riemsdyk – Fleury
8:4567% CF
D3Faulk – Slavin
8:0858% CF

PP1Williams – Staal – Skinner – Hanifin – Ryan
3:4286% CF
PP2Faulk – Rask – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
3:41100% CF
PK1FKruger – Lindholm
1:24
PK2FStaal – Nordstrom
1:22
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
1:50

Current CAR line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Hyman – Nylander
12:1050% CF
L2Komarov – Kadri – Brown
11:3926% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Marner
9:3663% CF
L4Moore – Martin – Kapanen
7:2650% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
12:4024% CF
D2Carrick – Borgman
8:4960% CF
D3Polak – Gardiner
8:3350% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
1:41100% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Gardiner – Bozak – Carrick – Marner
1:15100% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
4:25
PK2FMoore – Brown
3:02
PK1DHainsey – Polak
5:42
PK2DGardiner – Rielly
0:10

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:52
TORLeo KomarovSH (Ron Hainsey, Zach Hyman)wrist0.14 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Skinner, Hanifin, RyanTOR: Hainsey, Polak, Komarov, Hyman
CAR 0 – 1 TOR
5:33
TORMitch MarnerPP (Morgan Rielly, James van Riemsdyk)wrist0.08 xG
CAR: Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, PesceTOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
CAR 0 – 2 TOR
9:07
CARJeff Skinner (Teuvo Teravainen, Haydn Fleury)wrist0.16 xG
CAR: Faulk, Skinner, Rask, Teravainen, FleuryTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander
CAR 1 – 2 TOR
10:34
TORJames van RiemsdykPP (Tyler Bozak, Mitch Marner)wrist0.03 xG
CAR: Kruger, Slavin, Lindholm, van RiemsdykTOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
CAR 1 – 3 TOR
13:28
TORTyler Bozak (Mitch Marner)wrist0.09 xG
CAR: Kruger, Faulk, Skinner, Jooris, FleuryTOR: van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner
CAR 1 – 4 TOR

3rd period

9:25
TORPatrick Marleau (Tyler Bozak, Mitch Marner)wrist0.01 xG
CAR: Faulk, Skinner, Slavin, Lindholm, AhoTOR: Marleau, Bozak, Carrick, Marner, Borgman
CAR 1 – 5 TOR
9:31
TORKasperi Kapanenwrist0.05 xG
CAR: Faulk, Nordstrom, Rask, Hanifin, RyanTOR: Moore, Martin, Carrick, Kapanen, Borgman
CAR 1 – 6 TOR
14:05
TORWilliam Nylander (Zach Hyman)wrist0.08 xG
CAR: Skinner, Pesce, Lindholm, Hanifin, AhoTOR: Marleau, Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander
CAR 1 – 7 TOR
18:33
TORConnor CarrickPP (James van Riemsdyk, Tyler Bozak)backhand0.19 xG
CAR: Kruger, Slavin, Pesce, LindholmTOR: van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner
CAR 1 – 8 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	0	0	0	19:41	—	—	81	85
Justin Williams R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.59	0	0	5	18:32	—	—	76	74
Brock McGinn L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.29	2	0	0	15:28	—	—	82	84
Elias Lindholm C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.38	1	0	0	19:32	—	—	53	39
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.17	1	1	2	19:21	—	—	53	39
Jeff Skinner L	L2	1	0	1	-3	7	0.61	0	1	0	18:41	—	—	54	51
Joakim Nordstrom C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	2	0	0	11:02	—	—	36	37
Marcus Kruger C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:36	—	—	36	15
Josh Jooris R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	0	4	9:44	—	—	44	14
Victor Rask C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	0	0	0	15:28	—	—	48	38
Derek Ryan C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	0	0	13:37	—	—	39	38
Teuvo Teravainen C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.20	0	0	0	13:36	—	—	48	39
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	0	0	-3	6	0.18	2	1	0	23:34	—	—	45	26
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	2	19:56	—	—	50	44
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	3	2	0	16:52	—	—	69	72
Haydn Fleury D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	14:35	—	—	61	68
Justin Faulk D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.09	2	0	0	20:16	—	—	56	44
Jaccob Slavin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	0	3	0	16:40	—	—	68	41

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Darling(start)	L	36	28	8	.778	4.34	59:53

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.13	1	1	0	19:25	—	—	48	58
William Nylander R	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.42	0	0	0	16:05	—	—	47	64
Patrick Marleau C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.29	0	0	0	14:41	—	—	52	60
Leo Komarov R	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.24	1	1	5	17:28	—	—	24	26
Connor Brown R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	17:08	—	—	26	24
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	1	2	16:25	—	—	25	23
Tyler Bozak C	L3	1	3	4	+2	4	0.26	0	0	0	13:34	—	—	58	71
Mitch Marner R	L3	1	3	4	+2	6	0.70	0	0	0	13:15	—	—	60	74
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	1	2	3	+1	3	0.92	0	1	4	13:09	—	—	60	80
Dominic Moore C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	0	0	12:49	—	—	44	39
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	2	9:52	—	—	37	40
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	0	0	0	9:11	—	—	50	51
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	6	0	21:55	—	—	21	18
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.03	1	2	0	21:00	—	—	30	33
Connor Carrick D	D2	1	0	1	+3	3	0.56	1	3	0	17:37	—	—	56	71
Andreas Borgman D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	2	2	0	16:24	—	—	59	71
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	2	2	21:21	—	—	47	61
Jake Gardiner D	D3	0	0	0	+2	3	0.16	2	1	0	20:41	—	—	45	59

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	3.29	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.