Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsDec 23, 2019

FinalMonday, Dec 23, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

6

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

8

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	2	3	1	6		CAR	16	14	10	40
TOR	3	0	5	8		TOR	12	8	19	39

: CAR 67TOR 63
: CAR 3.25TOR 3.93
PP goals: CAR 0TOR 0
Hits: CAR 19TOR 4
Blocks: CAR 10TOR 14
PIM: CAR 8TOR 6
: CAR 53%TOR 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Carolina Hurricanes 8–6

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Carolina Hurricanes 8–6 at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 3A.

Points
Mitch Marner had two goals and 3 assists (5 points) on 4 shots in 24:36.Marner
Points
Martin Necas had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 2 shots in 13:20.Necas
Points
Erik Haula had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 14:52.Haula
Points
John Tavares had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 21:39.Tavares
Points
Zach Hyman had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 21:16.Hyman
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 23:28.Matthews
Points
Jason Spezza had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 8:50.Spezza
Points
Tyson Barrie had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:28.Barrie

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 130 of 130 attempts · TOR 63 · CAR 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 35% of the game, TOR 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TOR
	40	59
	1.22	2.84
	1.19	2.75
	4	13
	2	2
	29	23
	+0.047	−0.047
	35%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Foegele – Svechnikov
10:5113% CF
L2Niederreiter – Teravainen – Aho
9:3956% CF
L3Haula – Dzingel – Necas
9:3244% CF
L4Martinook – McGinn – Wallmark
7:2057% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
16:1525% CF
D2Edmundson – Pesce
13:3530% CF
D3Gardiner – van Riemsdyk
9:4667% CF

PP1Staal – Hamilton – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
3:41100% CF
PP2Gardiner – Niederreiter – Dzingel – Wallmark – Necas
1:53100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
2:12
PK2FMcGinn – Wallmark
1:16
PK1DHamilton – Slavin
3:10
PK2DEdmundson – Pesce
1:44

Current CAR line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
12:1572% CF
L2Kerfoot – Nylander – Kapanen
8:3133% CF
L3Tavares – Engvall – Mikheyev
4:5580% CF
L4Spezza – Gauthier – Timashov
1:3650% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
14:3865% CF
D2Barrie – Rielly
12:2748% CF
D3Ceci – Dermott
7:2371% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:14100% CF
PP2Spezza – Tavares – Rielly – Kerfoot – Timashov
0:30
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:55
PK2FEngvall – Mikheyev
1:14
PK1DMuzzin – Ceci
3:00
PK2DHoll – Rielly
1:00

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:30
TORJason Spezza (John Tavares, Ilya Mikheyev)backhand0.03 xG
CAR: Staal, Edmundson, Pesce, Foegele, SvechnikovTOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Mikheyev
CAR 0 – 1 TOR
3:40
TORWilliam Nylander (John Tavares, Mitch Marner)wrist0.12 xG
CAR: Staal, Hamilton, McGinn, SlavinTOR: Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
CAR 0 – 2 TOR
5:10
TORJohn Tavares (Jason Spezza, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.08 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, AhoTOR: Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Timashov
CAR 0 – 3 TOR
13:49
CARBrock McGinn (Brett Pesce, Lucas Wallmark)wrist0.14 xG
CAR: Edmundson, McGinn, Pesce, WallmarkTOR: Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
CAR 1 – 3 TOR
19:35
CARMartin NecasSH (Lucas Wallmark, Nino Niederreiter)tip-in0.12 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Niederreiter, Dzingel, Wallmark, NecasTOR: Holl, Hyman, Kapanen, Dermott
CAR 2 – 3 TOR

2nd period

15:09
CARMartin Necas (Erik Haula, Ryan Dzingel)snap0.14 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Haula, Dzingel, Pesce, NecasTOR: Spezza, Rielly, Ceci, Kerfoot, Mikheyev
CAR 3 – 3 TOR
15:29
CARErik Haula (Martin Necas)wrist0.02 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Haula, Dzingel, van Riemsdyk, NecasTOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Timashov, Mikheyev
CAR 4 – 3 TOR
16:13
CARAndrei SvechnikovSH (Jordan Staal, Teuvo Teravainen)backhand0.19 xG
CAR: Staal, Gardiner, Teravainen, Slavin, SvechnikovTOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Hyman, Marner
CAR 5 – 3 TOR

3rd period

2:35
TORAuston Matthews (Zach Hyman, Mitch Marner)snap0.10 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Martinook, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, WallmarkTOR: Muzzin, Barrie, Hyman, Marner, Matthews
CAR 5 – 4 TOR
5:58
CARErik HaulaSH (Ryan Dzingel, Martin Necas)snap0.17 xG
CAR: Haula, Dzingel, Hamilton, Pesce, NecasTOR: Spezza, Tavares, Ceci, Dermott, Mikheyev
CAR 6 – 4 TOR
11:01
TORMitch Marner (Auston Matthews, Tyson Barrie)snap0.05 xG
CAR: Niederreiter, Edmundson, Teravainen, Pesce, AhoTOR: Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
CAR 6 – 5 TOR
11:54
TORTyson Barrie (Mitch Marner, Zach Hyman)backhand0.09 xG
CAR: Edmundson, Martinook, McGinn, Pesce, WallmarkTOR: Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
CAR 6 – 6 TOR
12:00
TORMitch Marnerbackhand0.25 xG
CAR: Staal, Gardiner, van Riemsdyk, Foegele, SvechnikovTOR: Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews
CAR 6 – 7 TOR
18:20
TORPierre EngvallEN (Zach Hyman)wrist0.95 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Haula, Niederreiter, Hamilton, Teravainen, AhoTOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Ceci, Engvall
CAR 6 – 8 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	1	0	1	-1	5	0.61	2	1	0	17:48	—	—	29	18
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.41	1	0	0	17:00	—	—	29	14
Warren Foegele L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	1	0	2	14:41	—	—	11	0
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	1	1	-1	5	0.34	0	0	0	19:07	—	—	52	42
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.40	3	1	0	18:51	—	—	52	45
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.10	0	0	2	15:03	—	—	57	52
Erik Haula L	L3	2	1	3	+2	3	0.26	1	0	0	14:52	—	—	46	42
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	0	2	2	+3	3	0.12	1	0	0	14:32	—	—	43	31
Martin Necas C	L3	2	2	4	+3	2	0.26	2	0	0	13:20	—	—	50	48
Brock McGinn L	L4	1	0	1	-1	2	0.20	1	0	0	12:11	—	—	43	31
Lucas Wallmark C	L4	0	2	2	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:39	—	—	50	36
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.02	0	0	0	11:18	—	—	46	14
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.13	1	3	0	25:17	—	—	36	28
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	2	0	23:49	—	—	23	14
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.20	0	0	4	20:56	—	—	32	34
Joel Edmundson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.13	2	2	0	17:46	—	—	32	33
Jake Gardiner D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	15:05	—	—	63	32
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	1	0	11:28	—	—	63	31

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek	L	31	27	4	.871	2.27	54:09
James Reimer(start)	—	7	4	3	.571	0.71	5:10

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	2	3	5	+2	4	0.69	0	1	2	24:36	—	—	54	74
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+3	1	0.16	0	1	0	23:28	—	—	70	83
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	3	3	+4	3	0.27	0	0	0	21:16	—	—	67	82
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.42	0	0	0	16:06	—	—	47	51
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	13:56	—	—	57	41
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.30	0	1	0	12:53	—	—	53	49
John Tavares C	L3	1	2	3	-1	4	0.32	0	1	0	21:39	—	—	67	75
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	1	1	-2	3	0.19	0	0	0	15:50	—	—	52	56
Pierre Engvall L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	1.05	0	1	0	12:03	—	—	67	91
Jason Spezza C	L4	1	1	2	-1	1	0.04	0	0	0	8:50	—	—	71	70
Dmytro Timashov L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	4:51	—	—	50	79
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:39	—	—	63	80
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	2	3	2	21:31	—	—	62	74
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	0	0	19:17	—	—	65	81
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.15	0	2	0	23:23	—	—	57	67
Tyson Barrie D	D2	1	1	2	+2	4	0.11	0	0	0	20:28	—	—	52	62
Cody Ceci D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	2	0	17:56	—	—	60	58
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.03	0	2	2	11:39	—	—	60	87

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	40	34	6	.850	3.25	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.