Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 17, 2022

FinalThursday, Mar 17, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

2

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	0	2	2		CAR	14	8	14	36
TOR	1	1	1	3		TOR	6	6	9	21

: CAR 71TOR 45
: CAR 2.54TOR 2.19
PP goals: CAR 0TOR 0
Hits: CAR 41TOR 36
Blocks: CAR 14TOR 20
PIM: CAR 2TOR 4
: CAR 53%TOR 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Carolina Hurricanes 3–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 at home. Jaccob Slavin (CAR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Erik Kallgren (TOR) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +9 against a season average of 27.5; the win.

Points
Jaccob Slavin had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:00.Slavin
Goalie
Erik Kallgren (TOR) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +9 against a season average of 27.5; the win.Kallgren
New line
New look for TOR: Kerfoot–Nylander–Kase skated 7:13 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (26.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Nylander Kase
New line
New look for TOR: Spezza–Clifford–Robertson skated 5:14 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Spezza Clifford Robertson
Usage
Justin Holl (TOR) played 23:35, +3:25 up on his 20:10 season average over 68 games.Holl
Usage
Timothy Liljegren (TOR) played 13:23, −3:04 down on his 16:27 season average over 60 games.Liljegren
Usage
Nino Niederreiter (CAR) played 18:25, +3:38 up on his 14:47 season average over 74 games.Niederreiter
Usage
Derek Stepan (CAR) played 7:38, −3:13 down on his 10:51 season average over 57 games.Stepan

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · TOR 45 · CAR 71

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 33% of the game, TOR 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TOR
	64	47
	2.18	1.79
	1.99	1.60
	11	10
	6	8
	28	28
	−0.023	+0.023
	33%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Niederreiter – Fast
9:5763% CF
L2Trocheck – Martinook – Necas
8:4367% CF
L3Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
8:1850% CF
L4Stepan – Lorentz – Kotkaniemi
6:3456% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
17:4056% CF
D2Slavin – Bear
14:2872% CF
D3Cole – Smith
11:4353% CF

PP1Trocheck – Teravainen – Slavin – Aho – Svechnikov
3:0867% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Fast – Bear – Necas – Kotkaniemi
2:3950% CF
PK1FFast – Necas
0:53
PK2FStaal – Trocheck
0:26
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
0:54
PK2DCole – Slavin
0:53

Current CAR line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Bunting – Marner
9:3657% CF
L2Engvall – Kampf – Mikheyev
8:2244% CF
L3Kerfoot – Nylander – Kase
7:1327% CF
L4Spezza – Clifford – Robertson
5:1467% CF
D1Brodie – Holl
16:4445% CF
D2Rielly – Lyubushkin
16:2145% CF
D3Liljegren – Sandin
11:0336% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Kase – Marner
1:0233% CF
PP2Spezza – Bunting – Sandin – Robertson – Mikheyev
0:51
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:21
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
1:17
PK1DBrodie – Holl
3:22
PK2DRielly – Lyubushkin
1:31

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:48
TORIlya Mikheyev (Justin Holl)backhand0.06 xG
CAR: Stepan, Slavin, Bear, Lorentz, KotkaniemiTOR: Holl, Rielly, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev
CAR 0 – 1 TOR

2nd period

4:39
TORMitch Marner (John Tavares, Timothy Liljegren)wrist0.09 xG
CAR: Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Bear, SvechnikovTOR: Tavares, Bunting, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin
CAR 0 – 2 TOR

3rd period

4:09
CAREthan Bear (Jesper Fast, Jaccob Slavin)wrist0.12 xG
CAR: Staal, Niederreiter, Fast, Slavin, BearTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Lyubushkin
CAR 1 – 2 TOR
7:20
TOROndrej Kase (William Nylander, Alexander Kerfoot)snap0.19 xG
CAR: Cole, Martinook, Pesce, Aho, NecasTOR: Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Kase, Lyubushkin
CAR 1 – 3 TOR
19:56
CARVincent Trocheck (Andrei Svechnikov, Jaccob Slavin)wrist0.07 xG
CAR: Staal, Trocheck, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, SvechnikovTOR: Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Kase, Kampf
CAR 2 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.25	2	0	0	18:25	—	—	64	80
Jesper Fast R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	3	0	0	16:28	—	—	67	80
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	+2	5	0.65	3	0	0	15:47	—	—	70	79
Vincent Trocheck C	L2	1	0	1	+1	6	0.54	5	0	0	20:30	—	—	57	80
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	0	0	0	18:28	—	—	58	52
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	0	0	13:50	—	—	61	53
Sebastian Aho C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	19:45	—	—	42	8
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	0	2	0	18:22	—	—	48	23
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	3	0	2	17:49	—	—	50	24
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	0	0	13:12	—	—	62	58
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	9:45	—	—	58	46
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	3	0	7:38	—	—	55	47
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	2	0	21:41	—	—	50	40
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.10	3	1	0	19:33	—	—	56	52
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	2	2	0	4	0.24	2	0	0	24:00	—	—	64	67
Ethan Bear D	D2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.25	3	1	0	18:21	—	—	71	74
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	3	0	14:53	—	—	48	30
Brendan Smith D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	12:28	—	—	53	36

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	21	18	3	.857	2.19	57:05

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.51	3	1	0	19:55	—	—	52	64
John Tavares C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.24	3	0	0	18:04	—	—	53	51
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	2	13:41	—	—	46	40
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	17:54	—	—	36	35
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	2	0	0	15:21	—	—	50	79
Ilya Mikheyev R	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.34	3	0	0	14:21	—	—	50	77
William Nylander R	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	18:04	—	—	23	42
Ondrej Kase R	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.52	0	2	0	15:03	—	—	23	20
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	14:46	—	—	29	29
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	2	0	9:50	—	—	39	35
Kyle Clifford L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	0	0	9:25	—	—	73	43
Nick Robertson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:10	—	—	54	30
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	3	0	24:27	—	—	40	49
Justin Holl D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	4	3	0	23:35	—	—	48	44
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.21	1	1	0	23:22	—	—	48	54
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	7	2	2	19:25	—	—	45	61
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	1	0	14:14	—	—	38	29
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:23	—	—	33	22

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Erik Kallgren(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	2.54	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.