Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsDec 30, 2023

FinalSaturday, Dec 30, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	1	1	3		CAR	9	11	8	28
TOR	0	0	2	2		TOR	11	10	6	27

: CAR 52TOR 52
: CAR 2.62TOR 2.08
PP goals: CAR 2TOR 0
Hits: CAR 27TOR 28
Blocks: CAR 12TOR 11
PIM: CAR 8TOR 10
: CAR 39%TOR 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 at TOR. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. CAR's first power-play unit (Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov and Jarvis) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 3:21 together.

Points
Sebastian Aho had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 18:43.Aho
Points
Timothy Liljegren had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:30.Liljegren
Points
Andrei Svechnikov had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:48.Svechnikov
Points
Max Domi had 2 assists (2 points) in 11:55.Domi
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov and Jarvis) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 3:21 together.Burns Bunting Aho Svechnikov Jarvis
Usage
Jesper Fast (CAR) played 3:38, −9:06 down on his 12:44 season average over 72 games.Fast
New line
New look for CAR: Noesen–Necas–Drury skated 5:56 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Noesen Necas Drury
New line
New look for TOR: Gregor–Holmberg–McMann skated 7:36 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gregor Holmberg McMann

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 104 of 104 attempts · TOR 52 · CAR 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 39% of the game, TOR 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TOR
	47	54
	1.69	2.05
	1.68	1.90
	5	11
	5	4
	16	22
	−0.084	+0.084
	39%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Martinook – Jarvis
11:4638% CF
L2Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
9:3550% CF
L3Noesen – Necas – Drury
5:5633% CF
L4Fast – Bunting – Kotkaniemi
0:00
D1Skjei – Pesce
14:1750% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
12:5737% CF
D3Orlov – Chatfield
12:4643% CF

PP1Burns – Bunting – Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
3:21100% CF
PP2Noesen – Skjei – Teravainen – Necas – Drury
1:01100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
2:03
PK2FStaal – Jarvis
1:56
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:22
PK2DBurns – Slavin
1:38

Current CAR line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
11:1264% CF
L2Marner – Matthews – Knies
11:1157% CF
L3Gregor – Holmberg – McMann
7:3656% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Domi – Robertson
7:1156% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
12:4968% CF
D2McCabe – Benoit
10:5733% CF
D3Giordano – Liljegren
10:0469% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:1586% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Bertuzzi – Domi – Liljegren – Robertson
1:07
PK1FJarnkrok – Marner
1:27
PK2FNylander – Gregor
0:53
PK1DGiordano – Brodie
2:28
PK2DMcCabe – Liljegren
1:28

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Seth Jarvis R	L1	1	0	1	-2	4	0.49	3	2	0	21:38	—	—	41	66
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.07	2	0	0	16:41	—	—	40	60
Jordan Martinook L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	1	2	0	15:35	—	—	38	62
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	18:52	—	—	58	48
Sebastian Aho C	L2	1	2	3	+1	4	0.76	0	0	0	18:43	—	—	50	32
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	2	2	+1	3	0.08	7	0	0	16:48	—	—	48	30
Stefan Noesen R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	1	3	0	14:07	—	—	50	60
Jack Drury C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:55	—	—	55	77
Martin Necas C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	12:44	—	—	22	18
Michael Bunting L	L4	1	0	1	0	3	0.49	1	1	0	13:28	—	—	48	40
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	2	9:58	—	—	46	39
Jesper Fast R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	3:38	—	—	100	100
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	3	0	20:50	—	—	53	61
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	0	0	20:45	—	—	46	43
Brent Burns D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	0	0	2	22:17	—	—	38	53
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	1	0	21:01	—	—	46	58
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	15:36	—	—	58	43
Dmitry Orlov D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	2	15:24	—	—	40	25

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pyotr Kochetkov(start)	W	27	25	2	.926	2.08	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.28	0	0	0	20:37	—	—	63	86
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	2	0	0	19:02	—	—	58	77
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.38	2	0	0	17:38	—	—	50	67
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	0	1	2	23:12	—	—	56	72
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.27	1	2	2	22:29	—	—	56	73
Matthew Knies L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	2	0	2	13:37	—	—	48	72
Noah Gregor L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:44	—	—	60	3
Pontus Holmberg R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	9:42	—	—	58	4
Bobby McMann C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	8:20	—	—	56	3
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	+2	2	0.14	1	0	0	13:20	—	—	48	37
Max Domi C	L4	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	1	1	2	11:55	—	—	50	41
Nick Robertson L	L4	1	0	1	+2	1	0.06	3	1	0	10:48	—	—	46	39
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	1	1	0	25:16	—	—	64	90
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	18:13	—	—	64	85
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	2	18:53	—	—	40	20
Simon Benoit D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	13:32	—	—	28	10
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	1	1	2	+2	3	0.13	2	1	0	19:30	—	—	67	43
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	17:29	—	—	57	29

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Martin Jones(start)	L	27	25	2	.926	1.98	58:54

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Michael Bunting (CAR PP) 1st 2:24 · assists Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov · Forecheck turnover · 16.7 mph shot.

Michael Bunting · 1st 2:24 · CAR PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 16.7 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Seth Jarvis · 2nd 13:52 · CAR PP

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 19.0 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Entry to goal: 2.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Timothy Liljegren · 3rd 4:16 · TOR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 52.4 mph
Distance: 29 ft
Entry to goal: 4.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Sebastian Aho · 3rd 19:05 · CAR EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 2-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 65.9 mph
Distance: 36 ft
Entry to goal: 1.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Robertson · 3rd 19:50 · TOR

Play: point-shot
Passes: 0
Shot: 32.8 mph
Distance: 60 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsDec 30, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Carolina Hurricanes edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Carolina Hurricanes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Carolina Hurricanes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goal anatomy

Michael Bunting · 1st 2:24 · CAR PP

Seth Jarvis · 2nd 13:52 · CAR PP

Timothy Liljegren · 3rd 4:16 · TOR

Sebastian Aho · 3rd 19:05 · CAR EN

Nick Robertson · 3rd 19:50 · TOR