Carolina Hurricanes vs. Florida PanthersMar 2, 2019

Final / OTSaturday, Mar 2, 2019· BB&T Center

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

4

@

home

Florida PanthersFLA

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CAR	2	0	1	1	4		CAR	7	9	9	1	26
FLA	2	0	1	0	3		FLA	12	9	11	2	34

: CAR 46FLA 56
: CAR 1.55FLA 2.16
PP goals: CAR 0FLA 0
Hits: CAR 14FLA 27
Blocks: CAR 14FLA 12
PIM: CAR 6FLA 2
: CAR 44%FLA 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Florida Panthers 4–3 (OT)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Florida Panthers 4–3 in overtime at FLA. Henrik Borgstrom (FLA) led the scoring with 2G 1A. CAR scored 4 goals on 1.55 expected goals (46 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Henrik Borgstrom had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 8:16.Borgstrom
Points
Mark Pysyk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:38.Pysyk
Points
Dryden Hunt had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 7:45.Hunt
Points
Jamie McGinn had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 11:10.McGinn
Luck
CAR scored 4 goals on 1.55 expected goals (46 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for CAR: McKegg–Maenalanen–Wallmark skated 10:16 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (41.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.McKegg Maenalanen Wallmark
New line
New look for FLA: Brouwer–Sheahan–Vatrano skated 10:57 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (48% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brouwer Sheahan Vatrano
Usage
Henrik Borgstrom (FLA) played 8:16, −3:49 down on his 12:05 season average over 49 games.Borgstrom

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 102 of 102 attempts · FLA 56 · CAR 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 21% of the game, FLA 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	FLA
	50	58
	1.73	1.66
	1.70	1.63
	12	5
	4	8
	28	22
	−0.084	+0.084
	21%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Niederreiter – Aho
15:4444% CF
L2Staal – Ferland – Teravainen
13:1042% CF
L3Martinook – McGinn – Svechnikov
10:4367% CF
L4McKegg – Maenalanen – Wallmark
10:1641% CF
D1Faulk – Pesce
19:0846% CF
D2Hamilton – Slavin
19:0135% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Fleury
13:0958% CF

PK1FStaal – McGinn
0:58
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
0:51
PK1DSlavin – van Riemsdyk
1:36
PK2DFaulk – Fleury
0:37

Current CAR line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov
14:1547% CF
L2Dadonov – Trocheck – Hawryluk
12:2356% CF
L3Brouwer – Sheahan – Vatrano
10:5748% CF
L4McGinn – Hunt – Borgstrom
5:5567% CF
D1Matheson – Ekblad
18:5570% CF
D2Yandle – Pysyk
18:4843% CF
D3Brown – McCoshen
11:3150% CF

PP1Yandle – Dadonov – Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov
2:08100% CF
PP2McGinn – Trocheck – Ekblad – Vatrano – Borgstrom
1:38100% CF

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:26
CARBrock McGinnwrist0.09 xG
CAR: Martinook, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, SvechnikovFLA: Brouwer, Yandle, Sheahan, Matheson, Vatrano
CAR 1 – 0 FLA
2:05
CARGreg McKegg (Lucas Wallmark, Trevor van Riemsdyk)wrist0.15 xG
CAR: McKegg, Maenalanen, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, WallmarkFLA: McGinn, Brown, McCoshen, Hunt, Borgstrom
CAR 2 – 0 FLA
5:01
FLAHenrik Borgstrom (Dryden Hunt, Mark Pysyk)wrist0.03 xG
CAR: Staal, Ferland, Hamilton, Teravainen, SlavinFLA: Yandle, McGinn, Pysyk, Hunt, Borgstrom
CAR 2 – 1 FLA
11:50
FLAMark Pysyk (Jamie McGinn, Henrik Borgstrom)wrist0.04 xG
CAR: Faulk, Teravainen, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, SvechnikovFLA: Yandle, McGinn, Pysyk, Hunt, Borgstrom
CAR 2 – 2 FLA

3rd period

5:32
FLAHenrik Borgstrom (Jamie McGinn, Dryden Hunt)snap0.08 xG
CAR: Staal, Ferland, Teravainen, van Riemsdyk, FleuryFLA: Yandle, McGinn, McCoshen, Hunt, Borgstrom
CAR 2 – 3 FLA
8:19
CARBrett Pesce (Jordan Staal)backhand0.05 xG
CAR: Staal, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, PesceFLA: Yandle, Dadonov, Pysyk, Trocheck, Hawryluk
CAR 3 – 3 FLA

OT period

1:46
CARSebastian Aho (Nino Niederreiter)tip-in0.08 xG
CAR: Niederreiter, Hamilton, AhoFLA: Yandle, Huberdeau, Barkov
CAR 4 – 3 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.31	0	0	0	20:28	—	—	48	68
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.32	1	0	0	18:22	—	—	48	68
Justin Williams R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	3	0	16:32	—	—	44	66
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	0	0	0	18:21	—	—	39	43
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.05	1	0	0	16:58	—	—	36	34
Micheal Ferland L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	14:13	—	—	40	41
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:54	—	—	63	59
Brock McGinn L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.14	1	0	0	12:50	—	—	57	51
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	1	0	11:20	—	—	62	65
Lucas Wallmark C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	3	0	0	12:01	—	—	39	36
Greg McKegg C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	1	2	0	11:52	—	—	42	36
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	2	11:11	—	—	41	30
Justin Faulk D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	2	0	23:42	—	—	53	53
Brett Pesce D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	0	1	2	20:53	—	—	44	53
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	1	0	24:30	—	—	33	39
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	3	3	0	21:41	—	—	42	45
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	1	1	0	3	0.10	0	0	0	16:40	—	—	54	57
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.18	1	0	0	14:50	—	—	58	66

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	34	31	3	.912	2.16	61:46

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.33	0	0	0	20:56	—	—	48	42
Mike Hoffman C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	1	0	0	20:55	—	—	48	35
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	1	1	0	20:43	—	—	50	49
Vincent Trocheck C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.24	3	1	0	20:08	—	—	60	45
Evgenii Dadonov L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	0	0	17:24	—	—	55	33
Jayce Hawryluk R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	1	0	13:15	—	—	56	36
Frank Vatrano R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	3	1	0	15:56	—	—	55	60
Riley Sheahan C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	2	0	0	14:49	—	—	49	47
Troy Brouwer R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	4	2	0	13:34	—	—	47	50
Jamie McGinn L	L4	0	2	2	+2	3	0.21	5	0	0	11:10	—	—	69	69
Henrik Borgstrom C	L4	2	1	3	+2	2	0.12	0	0	0	8:16	—	—	58	51
Dryden Hunt L	L4	0	2	2	+2	1	0.00	1	0	0	7:45	—	—	62	67
Mike Matheson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	2	0	23:57	—	—	62	41
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	1	0	23:48	—	—	69	52
Keith Yandle D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	24:18	—	—	42	43
Mark Pysyk D	D2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.04	0	2	0	21:38	—	—	44	40
Ian McCoshen D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	0	2	12:40	—	—	53	65
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	12:08	—	—	47	56

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Samuel Montembeault(start)	O	26	22	4	.846	1.55	61:44

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.