Carolina Hurricanes vs. Nashville PredatorsDec 21, 2017

FinalThursday, Dec 21, 2017· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	4	0	0	4		CAR	15	7	10	32
NSH	1	0	0	1		NSH	7	12	10	29

: CAR 51NSH 58
: CAR 2.33NSH 1.98
PP goals: CAR 2NSH 0
Hits: CAR 8NSH 20
Blocks: CAR 12NSH 6
PIM: CAR 8NSH 22
: CAR 36%NSH 64%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 4–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 4–1 at NSH. Noah Hanifin (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin and Ryan) scored 2 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 4:57 together.

Points
Noah Hanifin had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 6 shots in 16:35.Hanifin
Points
Derek Ryan had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:17.Ryan
Points
Jeff Skinner had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:03.Skinner
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin and Ryan) scored 2 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 4:57 together.Williams Skinner Rask Hanifin Ryan
New line
New look for CAR: Williams–McGinn–Ryan skated 9:17 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Williams McGinn Ryan
New line
New look for NSH: Hartnell–Turris–Fiala skated 8:52 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (68.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hartnell Turris Fiala
New line
New look for CAR: Skinner–Rask–Lindholm skated 7:17 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Rask Lindholm
New line
New look for NSH: Bonino–Jarnkrok–Aberg skated 7:22 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bonino Jarnkrok Aberg

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · NSH 58 · CAR 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 36% of the game, NSH 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NSH
	40	58
	1.20	1.80
	1.19	1.74
	2	11
	6	1
	16	12
	−0.078	+0.078
	36%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Teravainen – Aho
10:1940% CF
L2Williams – McGinn – Ryan
9:1740% CF
L3Skinner – Rask – Lindholm
7:1740% CF
L4Kruger – Nordstrom – Di Giuseppe
7:1142% CF
D1Slavin – Pesce
15:4623% CF
D2Faulk – Dahlbeck
13:3957% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Hanifin
9:4845% CF

PP1Williams – Skinner – Rask – Hanifin – Ryan
4:57100% CF
PP2Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
3:07100% CF
PK1FStaal – Nordstrom
2:16
PK2FKruger – Lindholm
1:46
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
2:59
PK2DDahlbeck – van Riemsdyk
2:05

Current CAR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
11:3484% CF
L2Hartnell – Turris – Fiala
8:5269% CF
L3Bonino – Jarnkrok – Aberg
7:2233% CF
L4Watson – Salomaki – Sissons
5:2025% CF
D1Josi – Ekholm
15:3459% CF
D2Emelin – Subban
15:2460% CF
D3Weber – Irwin
10:2860% CF

PP1Hartnell – Subban – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
3:4967% CF
PP2Turris – Josi – Ekholm – Sissons – Fiala
3:15100% CF
PK1FBonino – Jarnkrok
3:14
PK2FWatson – Sissons
2:24
PK1DJosi – Ekholm
3:17
PK2DEmelin – Subban
2:24

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:37
CARDerek RyanPP (Noah Hanifin, Jeff Skinner)tip-in0.12 xG
CAR: Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin, RyanNSH: Josi, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons
CAR 1 – 0 NSH
3:11
CARElias Lindholm (Jeff Skinner, Justin Faulk)tip-in0.09 xG
CAR: Faulk, Skinner, Dahlbeck, Rask, LindholmNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Aberg
CAR 2 – 0 NSH
4:47
CARNoah HanifinPP (Justin Williams, Derek Ryan)slap0.05 xG
CAR: Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin, RyanNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ekholm, Jarnkrok
CAR 3 – 0 NSH
6:29
CARVictor Rask (Noah Hanifin, Trevor van Riemsdyk)backhand0.00 xG
CAR: Skinner, Rask, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, HanifinNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ekholm, Aberg, Forsberg
CAR 4 – 0 NSH
15:33
NSHKevin Fiala (P.K. Subban)tip-in0.06 xG
CAR: Staal, Skinner, Teravainen, Slavin, PesceNSH: Hartnell, Emelin, Subban, Turris, Fiala
CAR 4 – 1 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.09	3	2	0	20:06	—	—	32	23
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	2	17:38	—	—	44	27
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	0	0	15:46	—	—	44	32
Justin Williams R	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.09	0	1	0	16:52	—	—	44	67
Derek Ryan C	L2	1	1	2	0	3	0.35	0	0	0	16:17	—	—	39	60
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	0	0	2	13:18	—	—	35	56
Elias Lindholm C	L3	1	0	1	+2	2	0.25	1	0	0	16:34	—	—	38	28
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	2	2	+1	2	0.30	0	0	0	16:03	—	—	39	38
Victor Rask C	L3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.14	0	0	0	15:54	—	—	35	35
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	1	0	0	11:28	—	—	38	30
Marcus Kruger C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:19	—	—	61	46
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	2	8:35	—	—	47	41
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	3	0	23:05	—	—	28	13
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	2	19:33	—	—	22	9
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	0	1	0	19:41	—	—	57	51
Klas Dahlbeck D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	1	2	0	17:42	—	—	46	49
Noah Hanifin D	D3	1	2	3	+1	6	0.40	0	1	0	16:35	—	—	46	52
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:34	—	—	44	55

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Ward(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	1.98	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	2	0	0	18:09	—	—	78	85
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	4	0	2	18:07	—	—	74	84
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.30	2	0	0	15:51	—	—	73	84
Kyle Turris C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	16:25	—	—	69	55
Kevin Fiala L	L2	1	0	1	+1	8	0.50	0	0	0	15:43	—	—	67	48
Scott Hartnell L	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.28	0	1	12	13:38	—	—	63	51
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:08	—	—	29	27
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	0	0	2	14:12	—	—	29	32
Pontus Aberg L	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	0	1	0	10:18	—	—	31	16
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	17:13	—	—	57	54
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	2	10:59	—	—	55	86
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	6:43	—	—	25	23
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	2	0	0	25:26	—	—	58	39
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.25	0	0	2	24:45	—	—	62	60
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	1	0	0	24:48	—	—	61	69
Alexei Emelin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:04	—	—	60	70
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	0	11:54	—	—	61	77
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	2	11:36	—	—	57	53

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros	—	26	26	0	.1000	1.98	53:31
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	6	2	4	.333	0.35	6:29

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.