Carolina Hurricanes vs. Nashville PredatorsMay 23, 2021

Final / OTPlayoffsSunday, May 23, 2021· Bridgestone Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

3

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

4

Goals	1	2	3	1OT	2OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	1OT	2OT	T
CAR	1	1	1	0	0	3		CAR	17	15	12	7	10	61
NSH	1	1	1	0	1	4		NSH	5	9	12	11	6	43

: CAR 129NSH 72
: CAR 5.25NSH 3.86
PP goals: CAR 0NSH 1
Hits: CAR 33NSH 32
Blocks: CAR 15NSH 31
PIM: CAR 6NSH 10
: CAR 55%NSH 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Carolina Hurricanes 4–3 (OT)

Nashville Predators beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–3 in overtime at home. Luke Kunin (NSH) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 61 shots and stopped 58 (.951), +19 against a season average of 42.0; the win.

Points
Brock McGinn had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:20.McGinn
Points
Luke Kunin had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 25:16.Kunin
Points
Jordan Martinook had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:44.Martinook
Points
Mattias Ekholm had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 34:56.Ekholm
Points
Mikael Granlund had 2 assists (2 points) in 30:57.Granlund
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 61 shots and stopped 58 (.951), +19 against a season average of 42.0; the win.Saros
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Ekholm, Haula, Jarnkrok, Cousins and Forsberg) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:42 together.Ekholm Haula Jarnkrok Cousins Forsberg
Usage
Erik Haula (NSH) played 29:33, +11:04 up on his 18:29 season average over 5 games.Haula

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 201 of 201 attempts · NSH 72 · CAR 129

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 45% of the game, NSH 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NSH
	133	77
	5.07	3.86
	4.82	3.63
	14	14
	6	11
	26	31
	+0.051	−0.051
	45%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
21:1167% CF
L2Martinook – McGinn – Lorentz
18:3053% CF
L3Niederreiter – Trocheck – Necas
15:5367% CF
L4Staal – Fast – Foegele
15:3173% CF
D1Hamilton – Skjei
16:4770% CF
D2Pesce – Bean
14:4680% CF
D3Hakanpää – Lajoie
14:1574% CF

PP1Staal – Trocheck – Hamilton – Aho – Svechnikov
5:11100% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Fast – Teravainen – Bean – Necas
2:41100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
1:13
PK2FStaal – Trocheck
0:34
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:22
PK2DHakanpää – Hamilton
0:51

Current CAR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg
16:4849% CF
L2Granlund – Kunin – Tolvanen
14:4130% CF
L3Haula – Jarnkrok – Cousins
13:4129% CF
L4Sissons – Trenin – Olivier
12:1335% CF
D1Josi – Carrier
29:0337% CF
D2Ellis – Ekholm
25:1447% CF
D3Benning – Harpur
22:1317% CF

PP1Ekholm – Haula – Jarnkrok – Cousins – Forsberg
1:42100% CF
PP2Josi – Granlund – Carrier – Kunin – Tolvanen
1:29
PK1FGranlund – Sissons
3:08
PK2FJarnkrok – Johansen
0:54
PK1DEllis – Ekholm
5:33
PK2DBenning – Harpur
2:19

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:57
NSHLuke Kunin (Mikael Granlund, Ryan Ellis)backhand0.15 xG
CAR: Trocheck, Skjei, Martinook, McGinn, PesceNSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Granlund, Kunin, Tolvanen
CAR 0 – 1 NSH
18:03
CARVincent Trocheck (Martin Necas)wrist0.04 xG
CAR: Niederreiter, Trocheck, Hamilton, Lajoie, NecasNSH: Haula, Jarnkrok, Cousins, Benning, Harpur
CAR 1 – 1 NSH

2nd period

4:53
NSHRyan Johansen (Matt Duchene, Mattias Ekholm)backhand0.12 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Martinook, McGinn, Lorentz, BeanNSH: Duchene, Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg
CAR 1 – 2 NSH
18:05
CARBrock McGinn (Steven Lorentz, Jordan Martinook)slap0.02 xG
CAR: Skjei, Martinook, McGinn, Pesce, LorentzNSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen, Trenin, Olivier
CAR 2 – 2 NSH

3rd period

0:13
CARBrock McGinn (Jordan Martinook, Jordan Staal)wrist0.04 xG
CAR: Staal, Hamilton, Skjei, Martinook, McGinnNSH: Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Olivier
CAR 3 – 2 NSH
3:15
NSHNick CousinsPP (Erik Haula, Mattias Ekholm)deflected0.11 xG
CAR: Hakanpää, Martinook, Foegele, LajoieNSH: Ekholm, Haula, Jarnkrok, Cousins, Forsberg
CAR 3 – 3 NSH

2OT period

16:10
NSHLuke Kunin (Mikael Granlund, Calle Jarnkrok)snap0.15 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, SvechnikovNSH: Josi, Jarnkrok, Granlund, Carrier, Kunin
CAR 3 – 4 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	1.03	0	2	0	31:39	—	—	68	54
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.63	1	0	2	30:09	—	—	65	45
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.21	0	0	0	29:23	—	—	67	47
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	2	2	0	1	0.02	5	1	0	21:44	—	—	52	34
Brock McGinn L	L2	2	0	2	0	4	0.11	3	0	0	21:20	—	—	51	34
Steven Lorentz C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.17	1	2	0	20:22	—	—	53	32
Vincent Trocheck C	L3	1	0	1	0	5	0.64	1	1	0	25:21	—	—	64	64
Martin Necas C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.23	2	1	0	22:46	—	—	65	66
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.61	2	0	2	21:21	—	—	67	67
Jordan Staal C	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.20	2	0	0	26:53	—	—	69	74
Jesper Fast R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	4	0	0	21:26	—	—	72	72
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	0	0	19:30	—	—	69	71
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.20	1	3	0	39:02	—	—	62	57
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	0	7	0.32	3	1	2	33:28	—	—	62	66
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	2	1	0	40:16	—	—	59	50
Jake Bean D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	27:03	—	—	67	55
Jani Hakanpää D	D3	0	0	0	0	5	0.06	5	3	0	26:13	—	—	68	58
Maxime Lajoie D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	1	0	0	18:02	—	—	72	60

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	L	43	39	4	.907	3.86	95:29

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	2	2	0	26:28	—	—	39	37
Ryan Johansen C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.33	0	2	0	22:56	—	—	45	61
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	1	1	+1	7	0.84	1	1	0	22:25	—	—	49	61
Mikael Granlund C	L2	0	2	2	+2	0	0.07	1	1	0	30:57	—	—	38	46
Luke Kunin C	L2	2	0	2	+2	6	0.58	4	2	0	25:16	—	—	35	47
Eeli Tolvanen R	L2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.23	2	2	0	20:12	—	—	32	47
Erik Haula L	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.10	2	1	2	29:33	—	—	26	24
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.28	2	1	0	27:17	—	—	32	31
Nick Cousins C	L3	1	0	1	-1	4	0.46	3	2	2	22:13	—	—	34	40
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	1	1	2	20:48	—	—	36	49
Mathieu Olivier R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	2	0	2	16:06	—	—	35	45
Yakov Trenin C	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.42	3	1	0	15:36	—	—	38	58
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	2	1	0	33:45	—	—	36	37
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.12	1	4	0	33:37	—	—	39	39
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.01	0	1	0	34:56	—	—	44	53
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	2	2	0	34:28	—	—	51	65
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	3	2	27:50	—	—	23	39
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	4	4	0	26:27	—	—	18	29

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	61	58	3	.951	5.25	96:10

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.