Carolina Hurricanes vs. Nashville PredatorsMay 27, 2021

Final / OTPlayoffsThursday, May 27, 2021· Bridgestone Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

4

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

Goals	1	2	3	1OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	1OT	T
CAR	1	1	1	1	4		CAR	9	5	16	1	31
NSH	1	2	0	0	3		NSH	11	10	5	1	27

: CAR 66NSH 59
: CAR 2.39NSH 2.75
PP goals: CAR 1NSH 1
Hits: CAR 32NSH 28
Blocks: CAR 11NSH 20
PIM: CAR 8NSH 6
: CAR 45%NSH 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Nashville Predators 4–3 (OT)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 4–3 in overtime at NSH. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. CAR's first power-play unit (Trocheck, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho and Necas) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 3:42 together.

Points
Sebastian Aho had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:49.Aho
Points
Brock McGinn had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:03.McGinn
Points
Dougie Hamilton had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:00.Hamilton
Points
Mikael Granlund had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:43.Granlund
Points
Jaccob Slavin had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 25:42.Slavin
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Trocheck, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho and Necas) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 3:42 together.Trocheck Hamilton Teravainen Aho Necas
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg and Carrier) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 4:17 together.Josi Johansen Granlund Forsberg Carrier
Usage
Roman Josi (NSH) played 17:49, −10:57 down on his 28:46 season average over 5 games.Josi

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · NSH 59 · CAR 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 26% of the game, NSH 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NSH
	72	60
	2.30	2.62
	2.24	2.55
	11	12
	4	6
	25	22
	−0.020	+0.020
	26%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1McGinn – Aho – Necas
6:5950% CF
L2Staal – Niederreiter – Foegele
6:0344% CF
L3Trocheck – Teravainen – Svechnikov
6:0040% CF
L4Fast – Martinook – Lorentz
4:5560% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
16:3759% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
14:0153% CF
D3Hakanpää – Bean
8:0955% CF

PP1Trocheck – Hamilton – Teravainen – Aho – Necas
3:42100% CF
PP2Staal – Niederreiter – Fast – Bean – Svechnikov
0:39
PK1FAho – Necas
2:12
PK2FMcGinn – Foegele
1:00
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:34
PK2DHakanpää – Slavin
1:37

Current CAR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Jarnkrok – Granlund – Kunin
11:1652% CF
L2Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot
10:4946% CF
L3Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg
9:3842% CF
L4Richardson – Haula – Cousins
8:4342% CF
D1Benning – Harpur
12:0437% CF
D2Ellis – Ekholm
11:3548% CF
D3Josi – Carrier
11:1753% CF

PP1Josi – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg – Carrier
4:17100% CF
PP2Duchene – Ekholm – Haula – Jarnkrok – Cousins
1:57100% CF
PK1FGranlund – Sissons
1:39
PK2FHaula – Jarnkrok
0:46
PK1DEkholm – Benning
1:16
PK2DHarpur – Carrier
0:44

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:44
NSHNick Cousins (Erik Haula, Ben Harpur)deflected0.11 xG
CAR: Staal, Fast, Skjei, Pesce, FoegeleNSH: Richardson, Haula, Cousins, Benning, Harpur
CAR 0 – 1 NSH
4:21
CARBrock McGinn (Martin Necas)wrap-around0.04 xG
CAR: Hamilton, McGinn, Slavin, Aho, NecasNSH: Richardson, Josi, Haula, Cousins, Carrier
CAR 1 – 1 NSH

2nd period

1:13
NSHMikael Granlund (Ryan Ellis)wrist0.10 xG
CAR: Skjei, McGinn, Pesce, Aho, NecasNSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Granlund, Kunin
CAR 1 – 2 NSH
7:32
NSHRyan JohansenPP (Roman Josi, Mikael Granlund)deflected0.16 xG
CAR: Staal, Slavin, PesceNSH: Josi, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg, Carrier
CAR 1 – 3 NSH
13:34
CARSebastian AhoPP (Dougie Hamilton)deflected0.11 xG
CAR: Trocheck, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho, NecasNSH: Ekholm, Haula, Sissons, Carrier
CAR 2 – 3 NSH

3rd period

13:59
CARDougie Hamilton (Jaccob Slavin, Brock McGinn)wrist0.14 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, McGinn, Slavin, AhoNSH: Ellis, Sissons, Benning, Trenin, Jeannot
CAR 3 – 3 NSH

OT period

1:06
CARSebastian Aho (Jaccob Slavin)deflected0.12 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, McGinn, Slavin, AhoNSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Granlund, Kunin
CAR 4 – 3 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Martin Necas C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	1	1	0	20:04	—	—	44	38
Sebastian Aho C	L1	2	0	2	+2	4	0.50	1	0	2	19:49	—	—	58	56
Brock McGinn L	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.12	5	0	0	15:03	—	—	53	49
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	1	0	0	17:13	—	—	57	44
Warren Foegele L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	0	0	0	15:20	—	—	64	47
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	9:16	—	—	36	22
Vincent Trocheck C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	4	1	0	17:37	—	—	28	13
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.07	0	0	0	17:20	—	—	46	52
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	3	0	2	16:48	—	—	74	77
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	6	0	0	12:29	—	—	57	41
Jesper Fast R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	9:48	—	—	50	41
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.24	2	0	0	8:51	—	—	67	54
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	2	2	+3	2	0.03	1	2	0	25:42	—	—	62	66
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	1	1	2	+3	1	0.15	1	1	2	22:00	—	—	60	62
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.19	0	2	0	22:36	—	—	60	39
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.07	2	1	2	21:55	—	—	48	36
Jani Hakanpää D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	3	0	15:30	—	—	42	37
Jake Bean D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	10:14	—	—	52	25

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	W	27	24	3	.889	2.75	61:06

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.45	2	0	2	19:43	—	—	52	64
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	1	0	15:52	—	—	54	64
Luke Kunin C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	4	0	0	13:23	—	—	54	66
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.09	3	1	0	16:40	—	—	46	54
Yakov Trenin C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	2	1	0	13:35	—	—	46	57
Tanner Jeannot L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.26	4	1	0	13:10	—	—	52	58
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	2	1	0	16:35	—	—	39	63
Ryan Johansen C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.47	1	2	0	16:20	—	—	39	62
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	2	0	0	13:32	—	—	42	65
Erik Haula L	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.12	2	0	0	17:22	—	—	44	40
Nick Cousins C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.26	1	1	0	12:51	—	—	40	37
Brad Richardson R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	0	10:05	—	—	42	37
Ben Harpur D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	1	1	0	17:18	—	—	36	47
Matt Benning D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	17:18	—	—	35	49
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	1	0	23:27	—	—	52	54
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.04	0	2	2	19:46	—	—	39	39
Alexandre Carrier D	D3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.09	0	6	0	24:59	—	—	51	56
Roman Josi D	D3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.12	0	1	0	17:49	—	—	58	78

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	31	27	4	.871	2.39	61:06

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.