Carolina Hurricanes vs. Detroit Red WingsMar 14, 2021

FinalSunday, Mar 14, 2021· Little Caesars Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	1	1	2		CAR	12	8	12	32
DET	0	0	1	1		DET	9	7	10	26

: CAR 46DET 43
: CAR 2.38DET 2.06
PP goals: CAR 0DET 0
Hits: CAR 9DET 11
Blocks: CAR 10DET 10
PIM: CAR 4DET 2
: CAR 56%DET 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Detroit Red Wings 2–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Detroit Red Wings 2–1 at DET. Anthony Mantha (DET) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Anthony Mantha (DET) played 22:29, +4:26 up on his 18:03 season average over 55 games.

Usage
Anthony Mantha (DET) played 22:29, +4:26 up on his 18:03 season average over 55 games.Mantha
Usage
Robby Fabbri (DET) played 23:23, +6:19 up on his 17:04 season average over 29 games.Fabbri
Usage
Filip Hronek (DET) played 20:22, −3:04 down on his 23:26 season average over 55 games.Hronek
Usage
Dylan Larkin (DET) played 24:52, +4:34 up on his 20:18 season average over 43 games.Larkin
Usage
Patrik Nemeth (DET) played 13:31, −4:35 down on his 18:06 season average over 51 games.Nemeth
Usage
Marc Staal (DET) played 14:42, −3:47 down on his 18:29 season average over 55 games.Staal
Usage
Michael Rasmussen (DET) played 11:27, −3:26 down on his 14:53 season average over 39 games.Rasmussen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 89 of 89 attempts · DET 43 · CAR 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 41% of the game, DET 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	DET
	48	37
	2.57	1.84
	2.40	1.79
	12	6
	4	1
	11	12
	+0.081	−0.081
	41%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Niederreiter – Aho – Necas
15:0632% CF
L2Martinook – McGinn – Foegele
11:5662% CF
L3Staal – Fast – Svechnikov
11:2760% CF
L4Paquette – Lorentz – Geekie
8:0167% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
16:3868% CF
D2Hamilton – Slavin
16:2346% CF
D3Fleury – Bean
11:2256% CF

PP1Niederreiter – Fast – Pesce – Bean – Geekie
1:1750% CF
PP2Staal – Hamilton – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
0:410% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
1:50
PK2FMartinook – Aho
1:19
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
2:10
PK2DHamilton – Fleury
1:01

Current CAR line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Mantha – Larkin – Fabbri
14:4571% CF
L2Gagner – Namestnikov – Zadina
8:128% CF
L3Helm – Glendening – Erne
8:0167% CF
D1DeKeyser – Hronek
14:0533% CF
D2Nemeth – Djoos
7:5846% CF
D3Staal – Merrill
6:2440% CF

PP1Ryan – Gagner – Djoos – Mantha – Fabbri
2:02100% CF
PP2Erne – Larkin – Hronek – Rasmussen – Zadina
1:4350% CF
PK1FHelm – Glendening
1:03
PK2FGagner – Namestnikov
0:55
PK1DStaal – Merrill
1:36
PK2DDeKeyser – Hronek
0:12

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

15:13
CARDougie HamiltonSHwrist0.03 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Skjei, Martinook, AhoDET: Erne, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina
CAR 1 – 0 DET

3rd period

1:37
CARNino Niederreiter (Sebastian Aho, Jaccob Slavin)wrist0.14 xG
CAR: Niederreiter, Fleury, Aho, Bean, NecasDET: DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek
CAR 2 – 0 DET
19:50
DETAnthony Mantha (Filip Hronek, Luke Glendening)wrist0.03 xG
CAR: Staal, Hamilton, McGinn, Slavin, AhoDET: Glendening, Djoos, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek
CAR 2 – 1 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	1	2	0	20:38	—	—	35	48
Martin Necas C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	0	2	0	18:24	—	—	36	54
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.16	2	0	0	18:18	—	—	32	40
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	15:16	—	—	62	60
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.35	0	1	0	13:53	—	—	64	64
Warren Foegele L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.38	1	0	0	13:35	—	—	64	64
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	0	17:23	—	—	55	50
Jesper Fast R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	0	2	15:59	—	—	67	59
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	1	0	0	14:49	—	—	62	58
Morgan Geekie C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	10:27	—	—	72	68
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:16	—	—	71	68
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	1	0	0	8:51	—	—	69	61
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	23:49	—	—	64	67
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.09	0	1	2	20:51	—	—	65	72
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.04	0	2	0	22:31	—	—	50	46
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	1	0	1	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	20:58	—	—	50	45
Jake Bean D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.20	0	0	0	15:47	—	—	57	67
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	0	1	0	15:30	—	—	57	70

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.06	59:45

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.52	1	0	0	24:52	—	—	68	63
Robby Fabbri C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.40	1	0	0	23:23	—	—	67	61
Anthony Mantha R	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.24	1	1	0	22:29	—	—	68	66
Sam Gagner C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	17:15	—	—	18	18
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.18	2	1	0	16:35	—	—	11	15
Filip Zadina R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	0	0	15:33	—	—	14	7
Luke Glendening C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:45	—	—	43	52
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	0	0	13:02	—	—	58	68
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	2	0	0	12:33	—	—	67	66
Filip Hronek D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.04	0	3	0	20:22	—	—	27	38
Danny DeKeyser D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:29	—	—	38	42
Christian Djoos D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	1	1	0	16:08	—	—	54	41
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	1	0	0	13:31	—	—	36	30
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	16:44	—	—	57	53
Marc Staal D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:42	—	—	53	72
Troy Stecher D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:21	—	—	37	31
Bobby Ryan R	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	2	0	15:45	—	—	24	42
Michael Rasmussen C	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	11:27	—	—	22	26

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	L	32	30	2	.938	2.38	56:04

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.