Carolina Hurricanes vs. Detroit Red WingsMar 16, 2021

FinalTuesday, Mar 16, 2021· Little Caesars Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

2

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	1	0	2		CAR	7	19	11	37
DET	2	1	1	4		DET	15	8	5	28

: CAR 61DET 48
: CAR 2.34DET 3.63
PP goals: CAR 1DET 2
Hits: CAR 10DET 12
Blocks: CAR 11DET 14
PIM: CAR 10DET 6
: CAR 54%DET 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–2

Detroit Red Wings beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–2 at home. Filip Hronek (DET) led the scoring with 1G 2A. DET's first power-play unit (Erne, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen and Zadina) scored 2 power-play goals on 12 attempts in 6:34 together.

Points
Filip Hronek had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 23:08.Hronek
Points
Adam Erne had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 19:09.Erne
Points
Dylan Larkin had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:38.Larkin
PP1
DET's first power-play unit (Erne, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen and Zadina) scored 2 power-play goals on 12 attempts in 6:34 together.Erne Larkin Hronek Rasmussen Zadina
Usage
Warren Foegele (CAR) played 4:54, −9:26 down on his 14:20 season average over 52 games.Foegele
Goalie
Jonathan Bernier (DET) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +5 against a season average of 31.5; the win.Bernier
Usage
Adam Erne (DET) played 19:09, +5:21 up on his 13:48 season average over 44 games.Erne
Usage
Christian Djoos (DET) played 8:46, −6:30 down on his 15:16 season average over 35 games.Djoos

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · DET 48 · CAR 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 31% of the game, DET 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	DET
	52	30
	1.99	1.85
	1.92	1.79
	6	7
	1	2
	6	2
	+0.041	−0.041
	31%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Niederreiter – Aho – Necas
11:5378% CF
L2Staal – Fast – Svechnikov
11:2126% CF
L3Paquette – Lorentz – Geekie
5:3383% CF
L4Martinook – McGinn – Foegele
3:39100% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
14:3572% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
13:1256% CF
D3Fleury – Bean
9:3977% CF

PP1Staal – Hamilton – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
4:0888% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Fast – Pesce – Bean – Geekie
1:0467% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
1:57
PK2FFast – Aho
0:58
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
4:25
PK2DHamilton – Slavin
1:48

Current CAR line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Helm – Glendening – Erne
8:4364% CF
L2Mantha – Larkin – Fabbri
8:0941% CF
L3Gagner – Namestnikov – Zadina
6:4114% CF
D1DeKeyser – Hronek
11:0525% CF
D2Staal – Stecher
10:3750% CF
D3Nemeth – Merrill
8:3827% CF

PP1Erne – Larkin – Hronek – Rasmussen – Zadina
6:34100% CF
PP2Gagner – Djoos – Mantha – Fabbri – Svechnikov
1:4950% CF
PK1FHelm – Glendening
3:01
PK2FGagner – Namestnikov
1:39
PK1DDeKeyser – Hronek
3:14
PK2DStaal – Nemeth
1:43

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:21
CARNino NiederreiterPP (Jesper Fast, Jake Bean)tip-in0.09 xG
CAR: Niederreiter, Fast, Pesce, Bean, GeekieDET: Staal, Helm, Merrill, Glendening
CAR 1 – 0 DET
3:35
DETAdam ErnePP (Filip Zadina, Filip Hronek)wrist0.36 xG
CAR: Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, AhoDET: Erne, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina
CAR 1 – 1 DET
12:11
DETAdam ErnePP (Dylan Larkin, Filip Hronek)slap0.15 xG
CAR: Staal, Skjei, McGinn, PesceDET: Erne, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina
CAR 1 – 2 DET

2nd period

1:50
CARSebastian Aho (Martin Necas, Dougie Hamilton)wrist0.01 xG
CAR: Niederreiter, Hamilton, Slavin, Aho, NecasDET: Nemeth, Merrill, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri
CAR 2 – 2 DET
12:28
DETRobby Fabbri (Dylan Larkin, Marc Staal)wrist0.17 xG
CAR: Niederreiter, Skjei, Pesce, Aho, NecasDET: Staal, Nemeth, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri
CAR 2 – 3 DET

3rd period

19:34
DETFilip HronekENwrist0.19 xG
CAR: Staal, Hamilton, Aho, Bean, Necas, SvechnikovDET: Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin, Hronek
CAR 2 – 4 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.19	0	0	0	20:56	—	—	78	72
Martin Necas C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	19:13	—	—	80	74
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.53	0	0	0	14:06	—	—	80	74
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	21:29	—	—	27	8
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.35	1	0	2	21:10	—	—	39	15
Jesper Fast R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	18:17	—	—	24	8
Steven Lorentz C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	0	0	12:37	—	—	77	67
Morgan Geekie C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:37	—	—	78	67
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	1	0	2	6:14	—	—	83	92
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	1	0	16:11	—	—	77	76
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:15	—	—	83	76
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:54	—	—	100	100
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	1	1	0	11	0.46	1	0	2	23:29	—	—	72	59
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.06	1	3	0	21:59	—	—	68	59
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	2	0	23:44	—	—	50	40
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	2	0	21:21	—	—	50	37
Jake Bean D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.08	0	1	0	15:19	—	—	58	50
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	2	10:06	—	—	77	65

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer(start)	L	27	24	3	.889	3.44	58:25

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Darren Helm C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.46	0	1	0	20:27	—	—	42	57
Adam Erne L	L1	2	0	2	0	6	0.84	0	0	0	19:09	—	—	50	65
Luke Glendening C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.19	3	4	0	17:39	—	—	53	75
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.12	0	0	0	21:38	—	—	46	70
Anthony Mantha R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	1	2	18:34	—	—	39	44
Robby Fabbri C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.40	0	2	0	14:32	—	—	41	55
Filip Zadina R	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	17:44	—	—	27	29
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	16:17	—	—	21	25
Sam Gagner C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:06	—	—	25	33
Filip Hronek D	D1	1	2	3	+1	2	0.35	0	0	0	23:08	—	—	46	60
Danny DeKeyser D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	3	0	17:14	—	—	28	20
Marc Staal D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.18	1	1	0	16:45	—	—	48	65
Troy Stecher D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	2	0	0	15:18	—	—	42	54
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:36	—	—	42	62
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	14:20	—	—	20	25
Michael Rasmussen C	—	0	0	0	0	4	0.58	2	0	2	14:09	—	—	17	6
Evgeny Svechnikov L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:19	—	—	15	9
Christian Djoos D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	8:46	—	—	0	0

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	2.34	59:57

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.