Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo SabresNov 18, 2017

FinalSaturday, Nov 18, 2017· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	1	2	3		CAR	8	14	11	33
BUF	0	0	1	1		BUF	4	9	12	25

: CAR 61BUF 52
: CAR 4.89BUF 2.18
PP goals: CAR 0BUF 0
Hits: CAR 10BUF 30
Blocks: CAR 14BUF 15
PIM: CAR 4BUF 8
: CAR 50%BUF 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1 at BUF. Marcus Kruger (CAR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for BUF: Pominville–Pouliot–O'Reilly skated 9:59 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (31.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Marcus Kruger had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:17.Kruger
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Pouliot–O'Reilly skated 9:59 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (31.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Pouliot O'Reilly
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Larsson–Griffith skated 9:15 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (61.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Larsson Griffith
New line
New look for CAR: Kruger–Nordstrom–Di Giuseppe skated 9:26 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (73.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kruger Nordstrom Di Giuseppe
Luck
CAR scored 3 goals on 4.89 expected goals (61 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Marcus Kruger (CAR) played 14:17, +3:31 up on his 10:46 season average over 47 games.Kruger
Usage
Noah Hanifin (CAR) played 13:10, −5:46 down on his 18:56 season average over 78 games.Hanifin
Usage
Evander Kane (BUF) played 22:39, +3:07 up on his 19:32 season average over 77 games.Kane

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · BUF 52 · CAR 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 40% of the game, BUF 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	BUF
	55	47
	2.86	1.67
	2.84	1.64
	10	11
	2	6
	7	16
	−0.024	+0.024
	40%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Teravainen – Aho
12:0543% CF
L2Skinner – Rask – Lindholm
10:1743% CF
L3Kruger – Nordstrom – Di Giuseppe
9:2674% CF
L4Williams – McGinn – Ryan
8:0954% CF
D1Slavin – Pesce
15:5944% CF
D2Faulk – Fleury
13:3958% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Hanifin
10:4969% CF

PP1Williams – Skinner – McGinn – Slavin – Ryan
3:3888% CF
PP2Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
2:47100% CF
PK1FStaal – Lindholm
1:50
PK2FKruger – Ryan
0:50
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
3:06
PK2Dvan Riemsdyk – Fleury
0:52

Current CAR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Kane – Reinhart – Eichel
14:3448% CF
L2Pominville – Pouliot – O'Reilly
9:5932% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Griffith
9:1562% CF
L4Nolan – Girgensons – Criscuolo
5:3936% CF
D1Beaulieu – McCabe
15:3246% CF
D2Falk – Scandella
12:4752% CF
D3Gorges – Antipin
11:1641% CF

PP1Okposo – Scandella – O'Reilly – Kane – Eichel
2:36100% CF
PP2Okposo – Kane – Beaulieu – Eichel – Antipin
0:44100% CF
PK1FO'Reilly – Girgensons
1:33
PK2FPouliot – Larsson
1:19
PK1DGorges – McCabe
2:49
PK2DFalk – Scandella
2:01

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

14:46
CARJustin Williams (Marcus Kruger, Brett Pesce)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Faulk, Hanifin, RyanBUF: Kane, Beaulieu, Reinhart, Eichel, Antipin
CAR 1 – 0 BUF

3rd period

12:27
BUFEvander Kane (Ryan O'Reilly)wrist0.07 xG
CAR: Williams, Faulk, McGinn, Fleury, RyanBUF: O'Reilly, Kane, Beaulieu, McCabe, Reinhart
CAR 1 – 1 BUF
15:15
CARSebastian Aho (Teuvo Teravainen, Haydn Fleury)wrist0.15 xG
CAR: Staal, Faulk, Di Giuseppe, Slavin, AhoBUF: Pominville, Pouliot, Falk, Scandella, O'Reilly
CAR 2 – 1 BUF
19:19
CARJoakim NordstromEN (Marcus Kruger, Jaccob Slavin)wrist0.66 xG
CAR: Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce, RyanBUF: Pominville, Okposo, Kane, Beaulieu, McCabe, Eichel
CAR 3 – 1 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.19	1	1	0	18:50	—	—	48	48
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	1.28	1	0	0	17:38	—	—	54	65
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.96	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	48	58
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.23	0	0	0	17:12	—	—	50	73
Elias Lindholm C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:43	—	—	47	65
Victor Rask C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:50	—	—	38	61
Marcus Kruger C	L3	0	2	2	+1	2	0.17	0	1	2	14:17	—	—	71	80
Joakim Nordstrom C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.75	1	0	0	12:47	—	—	61	50
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	2	0	0	11:45	—	—	71	68
Justin Williams R	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.13	2	0	2	16:18	—	—	48	74
Derek Ryan C	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.40	0	0	0	14:58	—	—	53	77
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	0	0	0	14:15	—	—	53	57
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.28	0	2	0	25:30	—	—	52	41
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	3	0	21:59	—	—	45	37
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	1	1	0	19:28	—	—	57	78
Haydn Fleury D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.04	1	4	0	18:02	—	—	53	82
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	2	0	14:52	—	—	63	86
Noah Hanifin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	1	0	0	13:10	—	—	59	66

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Darling(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	2.18	59:47

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.45	0	0	0	22:55	—	—	50	42
Evander Kane L	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.57	0	0	0	22:39	—	—	48	42
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	17:18	—	—	53	45
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.16	0	1	0	20:13	—	—	31	15
Benoit Pouliot L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.13	1	0	0	15:15	—	—	41	17
Jason Pominville R	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:15	—	—	41	17
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.30	3	0	2	17:10	—	—	58	43
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	2	0	2	14:31	—	—	60	40
Seth Griffith C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:26	—	—	64	60
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	2	9:31	—	—	33	65
Kyle Criscuolo C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	7:56	—	—	29	64
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	1	0	0	6:54	—	—	36	86
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	20:29	—	—	45	14
Nathan Beaulieu D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	1	1	0	19:36	—	—	51	19
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	2	0	23:34	—	—	50	63
Justin Falk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	7	3	0	18:07	—	—	44	54
Josh Gorges D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	4	3	0	17:41	—	—	42	46
Victor Antipin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	2	16:33	—	—	38	4

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	L	32	30	2	.938	3.32	58:57

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.