Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo SabresDec 15, 2017

Final / OTFriday, Dec 15, 2017· KeyBank Center

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

5

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CAR	0	1	3	1	5		CAR	7	15	9	3	34
BUF	0	1	3	0	4		BUF	12	14	13	2	41

: CAR 56BUF 66
: CAR 2.95BUF 3.34
PP goals: CAR 0BUF 0
Hits: CAR 17BUF 19
Blocks: CAR 13BUF 7
PIM: CAR 6BUF 6
: CAR 38%BUF 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Buffalo Sabres 5–4 (OT)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 5–4 in overtime at BUF. Jack Eichel (BUF) led the scoring with 3G 1A. CAR won it by committee.

Points
Jack Eichel had a hat trick and an assist (4 points) on 11 shots in 19:57.Eichel
Points
Jake McCabe had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 18:28.McCabe
Points
Evander Kane had 3 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 20:43.Kane
Points
Derek Ryan had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:39.Ryan
Points
Elias Lindholm had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:29.Lindholm
Points
Jaccob Slavin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:19.Slavin
Points
Jordan Staal had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:05.Staal
Points
Justin Williams had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:47.Williams

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · BUF 66 · CAR 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 24% of the game, BUF 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	BUF
	53	66
	2.59	3.32
	2.57	3.27
	11	16
	2	4
	10	12
	−0.106	+0.106
	24%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Staal – McGinn
12:0872% CF
L2Kruger – Nordstrom – Di Giuseppe
7:5940% CF
L3Rask – Teravainen – Aho
6:0620% CF
L4Skinner – Lindholm – Ryan
6:0050% CF
D1Slavin – Pesce
17:4246% CF
D2Faulk – Fleury
11:4822% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Hanifin
10:1469% CF

PP1Williams – Staal – Skinner – Hanifin – Ryan
1:43100% CF
PP2Faulk – Rask – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
0:55
PK1FStaal – Nordstrom
2:02
PK2FKruger – Lindholm
1:16
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
2:29
PK2Dvan Riemsdyk – Fleury
1:16

Current CAR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – O'Reilly – Girgensons
13:3052% CF
L2Pominville – Kane – Eichel
10:5570% CF
L3Pouliot – Reinhart – Rodrigues
8:0857% CF
L4Larsson – Wilson – Fasching
5:4540% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
19:3255% CF
D2McCabe – Antipin
13:5554% CF
D3Bogosian – Beaulieu
13:3152% CF

PP1Kane – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Rodrigues
2:37100% CF
PP2Pominville – Okposo – Scandella – O'Reilly – Fasching
1:13100% CF
PK1FKane – Eichel
0:46
PK2FPouliot – Larsson
0:44
PK1DBogosian – McCabe
0:44
PK2DScandella – Ristolainen
0:33

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

10:16
CARJustin Williams (Brock McGinn, Jordan Staal)wrist0.23 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, HanifinBUF: Pominville, Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen
CAR 1 – 0 BUF
10:46
BUFJack Eichel (Evander Kane, Jake McCabe)backhand0.06 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, McGinn, Slavin, PesceBUF: Pominville, Kane, McCabe, Eichel, Antipin
CAR 1 – 1 BUF

3rd period

1:20
BUFJake McCabe (Evander Kane, Jack Eichel)snap0.04 xG
CAR: Faulk, Lindholm, Fleury, Aho, RyanBUF: Pominville, Bogosian, Kane, McCabe, Eichel
CAR 1 – 2 BUF
3:00
CARJordan Staal (Jaccob Slavin, Justin Williams)wrist0.14 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, McGinn, Slavin, PesceBUF: Larsson, Wilson, McCabe, Fasching, Antipin
CAR 2 – 2 BUF
4:03
CARDerek Ryan (Brett Pesce)tip-in0.06 xG
CAR: Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm, Aho, RyanBUF: Pominville, Bogosian, Kane, Beaulieu, Eichel
CAR 3 – 2 BUF
6:57
CARElias Lindholm (Derek Ryan, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.14 xG
CAR: Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm, Aho, RyanBUF: Pominville, Bogosian, Kane, McCabe, Eichel
CAR 4 – 2 BUF
9:24
BUFJack Eichel (Jake McCabe, Kyle Okposo)wrist0.02 xG
CAR: Nordstrom, Slavin, Lindholm, Fleury, RyanBUF: Pominville, Okposo, McCabe, Eichel, Antipin
CAR 4 – 3 BUF
9:34
BUFJack Eichel (Evander Kane)wrist0.04 xG
CAR: Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm, Aho, RyanBUF: Pominville, Kane, McCabe, Eichel, Antipin
CAR 4 – 4 BUF

OT period

2:15
CARJaccob Slavin (Elias Lindholm, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.03 xG
CAR: Slavin, Lindholm, AhoBUF: O'Reilly, McCabe, Eichel
CAR 5 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.40	1	0	0	21:05	—	—	62	70
Justin Williams R	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.72	1	0	0	18:47	—	—	62	66
Brock McGinn L	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.15	4	0	2	14:12	—	—	74	70
Joakim Nordstrom C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	1	0	13:36	—	—	32	33
Marcus Kruger C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.22	0	0	0	11:49	—	—	40	35
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.15	2	1	0	10:12	—	—	36	42
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	16:12	—	—	35	17
Sebastian Aho C	L3	0	2	2	+1	4	0.67	0	0	0	15:23	—	—	28	28
Victor Rask C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:34	—	—	28	15
Derek Ryan C	L4	1	1	2	-1	3	0.08	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	33	33
Jeff Skinner L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	0	2	16:13	—	—	57	46
Elias Lindholm C	L4	1	1	2	0	1	0.14	0	1	0	15:29	—	—	28	32
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.14	0	2	0	24:19	—	—	44	45
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	1	4	0	23:40	—	—	48	51
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	2	1	2	21:20	—	—	27	16
Haydn Fleury D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:10	—	—	28	8
Noah Hanifin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	2	1	0	20:19	—	—	63	69
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	12:48	—	—	69	81

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Ward(start)	W	41	37	4	.902	3.34	62:13

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.17	0	0	0	23:22	—	—	50	56
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.39	1	2	2	17:20	—	—	58	65
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.61	1	0	2	17:02	—	—	49	51
Evander Kane L	L2	0	3	3	+1	4	0.53	3	0	0	20:43	—	—	68	69
Jack Eichel C	L2	3	1	4	+1	11	0.33	1	1	0	19:57	—	—	69	68
Jason Pominville R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.30	1	0	0	15:37	—	—	63	62
Benoit Pouliot L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	14:17	—	—	47	57
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.34	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	65	62
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	13:18	—	—	61	60
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	0	2	0	11:55	—	—	37	34
Scott Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	2	0	0	9:03	—	—	40	33
Hudson Fasching R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:25	—	—	40	18
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	2	0	0	26:25	—	—	55	46
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	23:46	—	—	57	52
Jake McCabe D	D2	1	2	3	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	18:28	—	—	56	58
Victor Antipin D	D2	0	0	0	+2	4	0.24	1	0	0	14:59	—	—	54	61
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	0	0	18:35	—	—	55	61
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	2	14:39	—	—	56	75

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	O	34	29	5	.853	2.95	62:15

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.